Statteo

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Win probabilities, BTTS & player stats — every major league
Patterns, not tips · 18+
👇 Free, updated daily

[Statteo @StatteoFootball]

Today's Acca from the Model

Built at 13:00 from the matches left, because an eight-fold that dies at half twelve is no use to anyone.

This morning's card stands as published and still settles tonight — we don't delete the ones going wrong.

MATCH RESULT 8-fold · 34/1

GOALS 8-fold · 40/1

Top four of either as a 4-fold: 3/1 and 5/1
https://t.co/HPkCrq9oH7

[Statteo @StatteoFootball]

The 8 in full:

Brighton v Tromso ✅
Barcelona v Athletic Club ✅
FC Copenhagen v Inter Turku ✅
SC Freiburg v Motherwell ✅
Riga v KI Klaksvik ✅
FK Partizan v Getafe ✅
Larne v Lincoln Red Imps ❌
Fulham v AFC Wimbledon ✅
38/1. One leg.

[Statteo @StatteoFootball]

Four-fold came in.

Brighton, Barcelona, Copenhagen, Freiburg — all four landed.

Riga, Partizan and Fulham won too. Seven from eight.

Larne at 58% the only one that let us down. Beaten at home by Lincoln Red Imps.

Model is improving each week and we're close to the 8 fold landing more and more.

[Statteo @StatteoFootball]

Every card we put out is scored on the site — the four-folds, the eights, landed and lost. https://t.co/LsFZ7aoYR8

[Statteo @StatteoFootball]

The match result 7 from last night:

Bodo/Glimt v NEC Nijmegen ✅
Ipswich v Leicester ✅
Watford v Peterborough ❌
Sabah FA v Hapoel Beer Sheva ✅
Fleetwood v Shrewsbury ✅
Sheffield Wednesday v Wolves ✅
Barnsley v Crewe ✅

68/1.

Watford the only one.

[Statteo @StatteoFootball]

Every card we put out is now scored on the site — the ones that landed and the ones that didn't. Nothing quietly deleted.

https://t.co/LsFZ7aoYR8

[Statteo @StatteoFootball]

Tough night last night!

Both cards 6 out of 7

Watford 56% at home. Lost 1-5. Nothing you can do with that.

Valencia v Betis 0-1 did the goals card.

Two 7-folds, one leg each. Fairly sure we weren't the only ones.

https://t.co/FiZMbKGdkU 18+

[Statteo @StatteoFootball]

Sunday's card.

WINNERS 16/1
Man City · Barcelona · Atalanta · Lille · Atletico

BOTH TEAMS TO SCORE 10/1
Newcastle v Liverpool · Rennes v PSG · Brighton v Villa · Torino v Milan · Le Havre v Monaco

Full Accas and Bet Builder Stats at:
https://t.co/8b9eqldAJB

[Statteo @StatteoFootball]

Yesterday was rough — 42% of calls landed across 66 matches. It was the draws: we said 25%, 30% of games finished level. Now a known fault.

Sunday:
Winners 16/1 (top 4: 8/1)
Goals 10/1 (top 4: 5/1)

Our own fair odds, no margin.

https://t.co/5l9nBjt7EQ

[Statteo @StatteoFootball]

Model predicting a 99/1 8 Fold today

Southampton 4/6
Hibs 8/11
Man Utd 8/11
Luton 4/5
Stockport 4/5
Crewe 5/6
Fleetwood 5/6
Lincoln 5/6

First full card of the season 🙌

Good luck for those who are on!

https://t.co/5l9nBjt7EQ 18+

[Statteo @StatteoFootball]

Our first full Saturday card.

Two 8-folds — different bets, not the same bet twice. One backs who wins, one
backs how the games go. No match on both.

Match result 99/1
Goals 50/1

Don't fancy a leg? Swap it for the next best the model rates.

https://t.co/5l9nBjt7EQ
18+

[Statteo @StatteoFootball]

One of those nights.

Two of Wednesday's five landed. Celtic v Lask got us — BTTS at 54%, and Lask had 1.75 xG to Celtic's 0.87, 8 on target, 2 disallowed. Lost 3-0.

We post the numbers the night before and never change them after.

Thursday's acca later today.

https://t.co/LZTIsE6Zae 18+

[Statteo @StatteoFootball]

Celtic v Lask Linz · Champions League play-off · Celtic Park, 20:00

Celtic 51% | Draw 25% | Lask 24%
xG 1.68 – 1.08
Over 1.5 — 76.8%
BTTS — 54.3%
Over 2.5 — 52.0%

51% at home in Europe is tighter than most would price it.

Every fixture gets this, free: https://t.co/vHNS3lUP94

[Statteo @StatteoFootball]

Five cleared the model tonight.

Over 2.5 · NEC v Bodo/Glimt — 72% Under 2.5 · Rayo v Alaves — 62% BTTS · Slovan v Celje — 58% Under 2.5 · Sheff Wed v Bradford — 55% BTTS · Celtic v Lask Linz — 54%

4-fold 6/1 · 5-fold 12/1 £10 → £70 or £130

Workings on every fixture, free: https://t.co/HPkCrq9oH7

18+ | https://t.co/5t2QmIURiM

[Statteo @StatteoFootball]

Six matches we were most confident about on Saturday. All six came in.

Cambridge United 3-2
East Kilbride 3-0
Hamilton 4-0
Bradford 2-0
Bolton 2-1
Grimsby 1-0

Both teams to score were inconsistent, however. That's this week's job.

Free, no signup: https://t.co/QSk2alwh6U
18+

[Statteo @StatteoFootball]

Bookmakers publish a price. We publish the probability.

Statteo runs its own model over every match — goals for and against, home and away form, recent games weighted heavier.

You get the number. Where you take it is up to you.

https://t.co/QSk2alwh6U · free · 18+

[Statteo @StatteoFootball]

92 EFL clubs. One opening Saturday. Our model's been through all of it.

Leaning hardest, all League One:
Leyton Orient 72%
Bradford 71%
Cambridge United 69%

Not tips — our own probabilities, and we publish the number not a price.

New Accas tab: https://t.co/FiZMbKGdkU
18+

[Statteo @StatteoFootball]

Model: 3.06 total goals.

Full time: PSG 2-1 Villa in the Super Cup.

Statteo had PSG at 68%, over 1.5 at 80.9%, and a likeliest score of 2-0.

Model built off goals scored & conceded, adjusted for venue and form. A model, not a forecast.

https://t.co/8b9eqldAJB · 18+

[Statteo @StatteoFootball]

Eight patterns. Eight landed. @KilmarnockFC 1-5 @CelticFC .

✅ Over 2.5 (68%) — 6 goals
✅ BTTS (64%)
✅ Kasper Høgh anytime scorer — hat-trick
✅ Benjamin Nygren anytime scorer
✅ Camilo Durán score or assist — assisted
✅ Marcin Stryjek 3+ saves
✅ John-Jules 1+ shot on target
✅ H2H over 2.5 trend held

All published at 13:30, locked at kick-off, untouched since.

Evidence the model is working 💪 Check us out and drop a follow.

https://t.co/vHNS3lUP94 · free, no sign-up

#football #model #soccer #footballtips #celtic #kilmarnock #betting #footballbets

[Statteo @StatteoFootball]

@MotherwellFC @JamTarts @CelticFC @RangersFC @mansfieldtownfc @SheffieldUnited https://t.co/8b9eqldAJB

▪️ Win / draw / win probabilities, worked out from goals scored and conceded and form
▪️ Both teams to score & over/unders
▪️ Player stats — shots, goals, assists, cards, all per 90
▪️ An AI that reads it all and flags the patterns worth knowing

[Statteo @StatteoFootball]

Today's numbers, up before kick-off:

@MotherwellFC 75% ·
@JamTarts 74% ·
@CelticFC 59% ·
@RangersFC 54%

@mansfieldtownfc v @SheffieldUnited 34/24/42 — too close to callFrozen at kick-off. Scored tonight.

https://t.co/YGoRdaLElm

18+ | https://t.co/KyrJJXKFx9