Phil Crone

@thoroughcrowd listed owner. @fml_movies recap writer. Quasi-Actuary. Horse Racing weekend warrior. College basketball obsessor.

[Phil Crone @SteelCard30]

@atTheTrack7 Hey we got a Heartland foal over here!

[Phil Crone @SteelCard30]

@NateSilver538 Big day for @TheCousinSal if this hits

[Phil Crone @SteelCard30]

I don't know if this is that hot a take, but should Golden Tempo even get a champion 3yo nom over Englishman, The Puma, and Further Ado?

[Phil Crone @SteelCard30]

@Flameaway3 @atTheTrack7 I feel this comment in my soul

[Phil Crone @SteelCard30]

@atTheTrack7 @thoroughcrowd @RealDavidCrone I guess I would need to check and see if she's even BC nominated!

[Phil Crone @SteelCard30]

@RealDavidCrone And that 7.92 was a gift!

[Keeneland Racing @keenelandracing]

(6) Horsetron Supreme takes the opener at Keeneland with Albin Jimenez up! (2) Musical follows in second, (5) Tiger's Legacy is third.

[ColtsCouchCrew @coltscouchcrew]

Our @thoroughcrowd filly Unfaithful Rose gets her 3rd win in a row. Rose loves to compete and takes pride in passing other horses. @josebracho1997 did just that beautifully with her today. @EWest592 had her fit, focused and ready to roll. 👋❤️👋

[Darin Zoccali @atTheTrack7]

Really impressive performance by our Vino Rosso filly, Unfaithful Rose. Now a 4x winner, 3rd in a row. Won on turf and dirt. @spendthriftfarm Thanks to @EWest592 for the continued great job and @josebracho1997 who dominates when he rides for @thoroughcrowd!

[ThoroughCrowd @thoroughcrowd]

Unfaithful Rose makes it three wins in a row after another nice win at @JACKThistledown! Another great ride by @josebracho1997 and great conditioning by @EWest592 as usual!

[John G. Dooley @JohnGDooley]

A three way thriller @HSIndyRacing! 📸

QUAINTRELLE ($27.40), stayed rooted to the rail with Albin Jimenez, and got the close call for @EWest592 and @thoroughcrowd in the Maiden Juvenile Fillies Turf Mile over #4 BOSS LADY KAR and #8 DART TO NABERS. The daughter of Improbable starts the 1st leg of the Horseshoe Hat Trick All-Turf Pick 3. More finishes like that, please!

[ThoroughCrowd @thoroughcrowd]

Third yearling acquired from @keenelandsales is Hip 3631 a lovely daughter of a stallion we love, GIRVIN (RIP). Think this filly has a ton of room to grow and improve being an April 28th foal.

https://t.co/6fbiFybCHD

[Phil Crone @SteelCard30]

@RealDavidCrone @EJXD2 @carlyraejepsen Man I really cannot believe another person on this planet pulled the same ITYSL bit you would pull first. Seems like fate

[Phil Crone @SteelCard30]

@atTheTrack7 1) found Kefka's first spot against winners if she breaks her maiden nto 😂
2) Maybe Zedan will be running at Keeneland on BC Saturday!

[Phil Crone @SteelCard30]

@atTheTrack7 @RealDavidCrone @Domsavides @EJXD2 @stoolpresidente Consider the 13% for 25-50k vs 17% for 100-250k. If your goal is to just give yourself a 50/50 shot at blacktype with a horse, the math suggests you'd need either four 100-250k's or five 25-50k's. Pretty simple choice at that point.

[Phil Crone @SteelCard30]

@atTheTrack7 @RealDavidCrone @Domsavides @EJXD2 @stoolpresidente It depends on what game you're playing ultimately, but the idea that buying for $100k vs $10k results in "exponentially" higher likelihood of blacktype doesn't bare out in the data.

[Phil Crone @SteelCard30]

@thoreval @EJXD2 @RealDavidCrone @atTheTrack7 @stoolpresidente So this is an assertion for horses in upcoming sales, not necessarily just what the data says for sales past?

[Phil Crone @SteelCard30]

@thoreval @EJXD2 @RealDavidCrone @atTheTrack7 @stoolpresidente What's "a reasonable path" mean? Blacktype can come from any price range theoretically so it's hard to discuss without context.

To better frame my previous comment - the odds of getting blacktype going in that range didn't justify the extra spend

[Phil Crone @SteelCard30]

@RealDavidCrone @EJXD2 @atTheTrack7 @stoolpresidente Need to update my priors, but the two price bands you want to buy at for yearlings are >$500k or <$20k. The worst was $50k-$200k