Stephen | CFU

Founder, Cash Flow University. The strategies are public. The standard isn't.

[Stephen | CFU @StephenCFU]

I've been trading options since 2008.

The market then looked nothing like today.

→ Liquid chains on names that didn't exist
→ Stocks with options expiring 3 times a week
→ Strategies that used to take days now fill in seconds

What hasn't changed:

The people who win are the ones who learn the boring fundamentals first.

Paper trade. Read the Greeks. Start with money you can afford to lose and not lose sleep over.

The instrument is more powerful than ever.

The discipline to use it correctly is rarer than ever.

#nvda #nvidia #optionstrading #premiumselling #thetagang #cfu #tesla #tsla #optimus

[Stephen | CFU @StephenCFU]

@william_jolook The Liquidity Games

makes for a catchy title

[Stephen | CFU @StephenCFU]

$TSLA robotaxi news is real: Approved to operate in Texas with no driver.

But if capital rotates out of $TSLA to fund the SpaceX, OpenAI, and Anthropic IPOs, even great news can meet a falling stock.

[Stephen | CFU @StephenCFU]

$NVDA did $216B in revenue last year.

But the number that tells you how good the business is?

71% gross margin.

They keep 71 cents of every dollar after the cost of the chip. ~55 cents lands as profit.

Revenue tells you how big. Margin tells you how good.

[Stephen | CFU @StephenCFU]

The quietest corner of the AI trade: memory.

AI data centers are on track to consume ~70% of the world's high-end DRAM this year.

→ Prices up 50%+ and climbing
→ Phones and PCs getting crowded out
→ No relief expected until ~2028

When the bottleneck is physical, the picks and shovels aren't always the chips everyone watches. Sometimes it's the boring memory inside them.

[Stephen | CFU @StephenCFU]

A framework, not a feeling.

Defined risk.
Rules-based entries.
No guessing.

Some months are stronger than others.
Not every trade wins.
A system you can run beats a guru you have to trust.

[Stephen | CFU @StephenCFU]

🪏 Picks and shovels ⛏️

[Stephen | CFU @StephenCFU]

Expensive stocks? Earnings might justify the valuation!

[Stephen | CFU @StephenCFU]

Strategy sold 32 bitcoin last week. The stock dropped ~6%.

The part nobody read: 32 BTC out of 843,706 they hold. That's 0.0038% of the stack. Sold to cover a dividend, above cost basis.

Functionally nothing. The market panicked anyway.

Price reacts to the story, not the size. The headline said "Saylor is selling." Nobody read the number.

Read the number.

[Stephen | CFU @StephenCFU]

@pd_goodrich Thanks PD, appreciate all of your contributions to the community!

[Stephen | CFU @StephenCFU]

68 trades closed in May.

2 closed at a loss.

I'm telling you about the 2 on purpose.

Anyone can post winners.

The number most accounts hide is the one that builds trust.

If the losses aren't in the record,

it isn't a record.

[Stephen | CFU @StephenCFU]

Elon Musk has a rule he calls the "Idiot Index."

If a finished product costs way more than its raw materials, someone's being charged for inefficiency.

Chips are the cleanest example.

→ Inputs: sand, silicon, basic materials. Cheap.
→ Markup: reportedly ~18x by the time it's a finished AI chip.

That markup is where $ASML, $TSM, and $NVDA capture value.

[Stephen | CFU @StephenCFU]

@EthanLevins2 Yes its over, sell me your bitcoin

[Stephen | CFU @StephenCFU]

@aroog1278 Where's my $1M?

[Stephen | CFU @StephenCFU]

@mikepat711 What would stop you?

[Stephen | CFU @StephenCFU]

@SimplyBitcoin $8K

Seemed expensive

[Stephen | CFU @StephenCFU]

@naturebeauty760 looks like vcr

[Stephen | CFU @StephenCFU]

@keezafaith I'll do it for $10

[Stephen | CFU @StephenCFU]

@NoahKingJr a rocket to mars

[Stephen | CFU @StephenCFU]

@QC_Capitals start slow

your future-self will thank you

[Stephen | CFU @StephenCFU]

@7why__ydm lender wants to see enough collateral assets to be sold at death

[Stephen | CFU @StephenCFU]

@EmilySm43 doesn't exist.

lower your expectations or raise your skills