FINAL 2025 FULL-YEAR PERFORMANCE
+505.20% vs. +17.25% for S&P-500
Truly life-changing year for me. Full portfolio transparency the entire way shared with thousands of members.
No meme stocks and no 0DTE options. Just deep-research on themes & industries.
Proud & humbled.
The issue with threatening the Fed and the bond vigilantes with trade is that... they don't care. Jobs data remains strong, which is emboldening their resolve.
However, President Trump does have a card of his own to play if he wants to impact rates: end the war with Iran.
Not only were August's NFP numbers a massive beat (tripling expectations), July's NFP report has also been revised, from a loss of -23K jobs, to a gain of +21K jobs.
Six-month hiring average is now +107,000, the highest level in over two years.
The U.S. job market is strong.
The public has soured on the odds of an end to the U.S.-Iran conflict.
Current Kalshi odds for U.S.-Iran nuclear deal:
- By end of year - 8.8%
- By end of next year - 18%
- By end of 2028 - 32%
Back in April, odds for a U.S.-Iran nuclear deal by the end of year were at 82%
*NBA PUNISHES LA CLIPPERS FOR BALLMER-LEONARD UNDER-THE-TABLE PAY SCANDAL
- CLIPPERS TO PAY $30 MILLION FINE
- CLIPPERS FORFEIT FIVE, CONSECUTIVE FIRST-ROUND PICKS
- BALLMER SUSPENDED FROM ALL LEAGUE & TEAM ACTIVITIES FOR 1-YEAR
- KAWHI LEONARD TO PAY $700K PERSONAL FINE