StockViz.lk

Stockviz is created to bridge the requirement of quality stock information analysis in the Sri Lankan investor community.

[StockViz.lk @StockvizL]

Monthly returns Heatmap reconstructed from VPEL.N price history. El Niño years: 2015 (strong), 2016 (transition), 2023 (moderate). La Niña years: 2020–2022. Returns are approximate monthly close-to-close percentage changes. Not investment advice.

[StockViz.lk @StockvizL]

VPEL — Monthly return vs Ratnapura Rainfall | Seasonal Analysis | El Niño / La Niña Impact

◾️Strongest Avg. Return Month - Oct/ Nov
◾️Weakest Avg. Return Month - Feb / Mar
◾️Correlation of Rainfall vs Return Month - + 0.78
◾️El Nino Impact Months - July/Aug/Sep
#VPEL

[StockViz.lk @StockvizL]

VPEL — Monthly return vs Ratnapura Rainfall | El Niño & La Niña Impact

[Stockviz.CA @stockvizca]

Wall Street opened sharply down after weak jobs data, raising fears of a downturn.
🔴Tech stocks took a hit, with Nasdaq down 3.1%.
🔴Japan's market saw its largest point drop in history.
🔴Markets in Taiwan, South Korea, India, Australia, Hong Kong, and Shanghai also tumbled.

[StockViz.lk @StockvizL]

Top 10 Performing Stock From Q1 - S&P 20

🔹VONE.N - 32.21 %
🔹DIAL.N - 31.46 %
🔹LOFC.N - 27.27 %
🔹CIC.X - 26.56 %
🔹AAIC.N - 22.68 %
🔹HHL.N - 18.26 %
🔹RCL.N - 18.18 %
🔹LLUB.N - 17.87 %
🔹HAYL.N - 14.69 %

#cse #SriLanka #Colombo

[StockViz.lk @StockvizL]

Water scarcity in Gatun Lake has halted operations, impacting the 180 million+ tons moved yearly. With vessel restrictions until April 24, fears of prolonged disruptions and $700 million in toll fee losses loom. #PanamaCanal #SupplyChain #ClimateChange

https://t.co/MhWm1ocgQO

[StockViz.lk @StockvizL]

Impressive Financials Results from VPEL.N

🔴230% YoY Increment in Net Profit.
🔴Q4 profit for FY23/24 is the highest in the past 3 years.
🔴Currently holding a substantial 1.4 Billion in Cash or equivalent.
#stockpick #energy #CSE #investment #vallibel

[StockViz.lk @StockvizL]

VALLIBEL POWER ERATHNA PLC

🔴 All 3 hydro plants shown YoY > 30% power generation increment during Oct, Nov & Dec Months.

🔴 The latest quarter represents the peak power generation period in the last five years.
#hydro #energystock

[StockViz.lk @StockvizL]

@BuhardeenImtiaz The inclusion of a stock in the S&P list doesn't guarantee continuous growth; it may fluctuate in the next quarter/months. Conversely, removal doesn't always lead to a decline. e.g. SLTL, despite its recent exclusion, its stock price has increased, contributing to the ASI gain.

[StockViz.lk @StockvizL]

Return vs Risk Metrics
Top 10 Market Caps vs ASPI - Jan 2024

📉 ASPI experienced an overall negative return in January.
📈 SLTL and CTC were the only stocks that yielded positive returns.
📉 LOLC counters displayed significant negative returns.
#CSE #SriLanka #Investment

[StockViz.lk @StockvizL]

Risk Analysis - Top 10 Market Caps |Y23

1⃣ DIST,COMB,MELS have given highest returns

2⃣ JKH,CTC shown lowest volatility

3⃣ CTC,DIST,MELS,JKH counters with highest Sharpe ratios, good returns with lowest risk

4⃣ Maximum fall in the value of JKH & CTC counters are less than 10%

[StockViz.lk @StockvizL]

Understanding risk metrics is crucial for investors. Drawdown analysis, measuring the largest decline from peak to trough, is a key indicator. It unveils a stock's historical downside, aiding in informed decision-making and risk management.
#Investing #RiskMetrics #SriLanka #cse

[Ian McMillan, CMT @the_chart_life]

US stocks going out to all-time highs.

Chinese stocks back to their 2009 lows.

[StockViz.lk @StockvizL]

VALLIBEL POWER ERATHNA PLC

🔴 All 3 hydro plants shown YoY > 30% power generation increment during Oct, Nov & Dec Months.

🔴 The latest quarter represents the peak power generation period in the last five years.
#hydro #energystock

[StockViz.lk @StockvizL]

VALLIBEL POWER ERATHNA PLC
POWER GENERATION (kWh)

🔴VPEL operates 3 mini hydro plants: Erathna, Denawaka Ganga, and Kiriwaneliya.
🔴 All 3 Hydro Plants noticed higher power output in the months of Sep & Oct 2023.

Will trend continue is Nov & Dec as well ? #power #hydrogen

[StockViz.lk @StockvizL]

Banks Sector Performance - 2023

Bank Index has given ~ over 100% cumulative return in Y2023.

🔵Higher Sharpe ratio means returns are higher relative to the portfolio's risk.

🔵Calmar ratio >3 means profit significantly exceeds the drawdown.

#NewYear2024 #cse #srilankanews

[StockViz.lk @StockvizL]

VALLIBEL POWER ERATHNA PLC
POWER GENERATION (kWh)

🔴VPEL operates 3 mini hydro plants: Erathna, Denawaka Ganga, and Kiriwaneliya.
🔴 All 3 Hydro Plants noticed higher power output in the months of Sep & Oct 2023.

Will trend continue is Nov & Dec as well ? #power #hydrogen

[Brian Feroldi @BrianFeroldi]

10 visuals every investor should memorize:

1: You make far more money by holding through bull markets than you lose by holding through bear markets.

[StockViz.lk @StockvizL]

Risk Analysis - Top 10 Market Caps |Y23

1⃣ DIST,COMB,MELS have given highest returns

2⃣ JKH,CTC shown lowest volatility

3⃣ CTC,DIST,MELS,JKH counters with highest Sharpe ratios, good returns with lowest risk

4⃣ Maximum fall in the value of JKH & CTC counters are less than 10%

[StockViz.lk @StockvizL]

ASI Monthly Return - 10 Years

📈 The latter half of the year has witnessed a robust performance in the stock market.
💹 In 2020 and 2021, notable gains exceeding 5% were observed in Aug, Sep, Nov, and Dec.
🚀 Strategic stock selection is paramount for optimizing returns.
#CSE

[StockViz.lk @StockvizL]

Stock Price Movement Prediction based on Markov Chain Model

1⃣ JKH has higher probability to have 2 up days

2⃣ CALT,BIL is likely to move up on next day, if stock price fall on a given day

3⃣ EXPO has a higher probability to come down , if previous day was a price up.

#CSE

[StockViz.lk @StockvizL]

What is Markov Chain ?

- is a mathematical tool used in stock prediction that relies on the idea of a memoryless process, where future stock market conditions depend solely on the current state. It involves :

#cse #investing #trading #markov #stockviz

[StockViz.lk @StockvizL]

In summary, Markov chain models offer a simplified framework for understanding and predicting stock market behavior in the short term, but for more accurate and comprehensive predictions, other factors and models may be necessary.

#cse #investing #trade #markov #stockmarkets

[StockViz.lk @StockvizL]

What is Markov Chain ?

- is a mathematical tool used in stock prediction that relies on the idea of a memoryless process, where future stock market conditions depend solely on the current state. It involves :

#cse #investing #trading #markov #stockviz

[StockViz.lk @StockvizL]

3⃣Prediction: By studying historical data and estimating transition probabilities, Markov chain can make short-term predictions about future market states, such as the likelihood of a bullish or bearish market

#cse #investing #trade #markov #StockMarket