Stokastic Sims

Industry-Leading Simulations for Betting, Prediction Markets, DFS and Fantasy Sports | Ask The Sims Anything ⬇️

[Stokastic Sims @Stokastic]

Our first 10,000 Simulations are up for Warriors-Rockets!

Steph Curry and Kevin Durant won two rings together. Tonight they're on opposite benches, with both teams sitting at 8-3.

Are the Warriors for real? This is the median outcome 👇

[Stokastic Sims @Stokastic]

DraftKings has a second Blazers flip.

Avdija 2+ threes, Cissoko 15+ points + rebounds + assists and Damian Lillard 3+ threes hit in 23% of the Sims. DraftKings' +325 sits just under Sims fair odds of +334; the 30% boost makes it +423.

[Stokastic Sims @Stokastic]

Ajay Mitchell is out for the Thunder tonight, one night after Portland blew them out.

Here's how to use your NBA SGP Boosts tonight: Ask the Sims.

[Stokastic Sims @Stokastic]

At FanDuel, a Blazers parlay is value before the boost.

Deni Avdija 2+ threes, Sidy Cissoko 15+ points + rebounds + assists and Jrue Holiday 5+ assists hit in 18.5% of 10,000 Sims. FanDuel's +527 already beats Sims fair odds of +441, and the boost takes it to +685.

[Stokastic Sims @Stokastic]

Final Box Score

[Stokastic Sims @Stokastic]

We ran Nuggets-Grizzlies 10,000 times.

Nikola Jokic vs. a brand-new Memphis core: rookie Cameron Boozer, Cedric Coward, Zach Edey, and the emerging Ty Jerome. Can the kids hang with a Joker masterclass?

One of the closest Sims to the median: Nuggets 124, Grizzlies 116 👇

[Stokastic Sims @Stokastic]

Player Props (all props are +EV across our 10,000 simulations, not just this sim)

✅ Nikola Jokic 9+ assists: 65.0% · FD -148 (+5.3)
✅ DeMar DeRozan 5+ reb + ast: 55.2% · FD +104 (+6.2)
✅ Nuggets 117+ points: 59.3% · Kalshi 50¢ (+7.6)
✅ Cameron Boozer under 9.5 rebounds: 60.5% · DK -136 (+2.9)
✅ Jerami Grant under 1.5 threes: 55.2% · DK -113 (+2.1)

All 5 hit together in 879 of the 10,000 Sims

[Stokastic Sims @Stokastic]

NBA DFS Cheat Sheets (DK & FD) for Nov. 11

🎯 Top-150 lineup exposure by position
✍️ Chalk plays
👀 High-end leverage

The field just isn't getting to these studs enough:

[Stokastic Sims @Stokastic]

Final Box Score

[Stokastic Sims @Stokastic]

Our first 10,000 Simulations are up for Warriors-Rockets!

Steph Curry and Kevin Durant won two rings together. Tonight they're on opposite benches, with both teams sitting at 8-3.

Are the Warriors for real? This is the median outcome 👇

[Stokastic Sims @Stokastic]

Player Props (all props are +EV across our 10,000 simulations, not just this sim)

✅ Tari Eason under 1.5 steals: 72.2% · DK -173 (+8.8)
✅ Al Horford under 1.5 threes: 73.8% · DK -222 (+4.8)
✅ Georges Niang under 1.5 threes: 61.2% · DK -140 (+2.8)
✅ Brandin Podziemski under 20.5 pts + reb: 56.5% · DK -119 (+2.1)

All 4 hit together in 1,754 of the 10,000 Sims

[Josh Engleman @JoshEngleman]

wait what

[Stokastic Sims @Stokastic]

@Kdagod4444 https://t.co/F15WMYD29s

[Stokastic Sims @Stokastic]

Would you take Wemby under 25 points tonight?

Markets say he's 77% to get there. Our Sims say 54%.

Full Wednesday NBA Cheat Sheet 🧵

[Stokastic Sims @Stokastic]

Good morning ... time to start cheating

[Stokastic Sims @Stokastic]

Copy off the Sims this week. They already played Thursday's Commanders-Giants game 10,000 times, and they'll keep re-running it until kickoff.

Your first-look TNF Cheat Sheet 🧵

[Stokastic Sims @Stokastic]

Nuggets win in Memphis in 60% of the Sims (119-115).

Zach Edey scores 10+ points in 51% of them. Polymarket has it at 48¢.

[Stokastic Sims @Stokastic]

Would you take Wemby under 25 points tonight?

Markets say he's 77% to get there. Our Sims say 54%.

Full Wednesday NBA Cheat Sheet 🧵

[Stokastic Sims @Stokastic]

Pelicans beat the Nets in 62% of the Sims (117-113).

Mikel Brown hits 3+ threes in 36% of them. FanDuel's +230 implies about 30%.