StoneEdgePicks

Data-driven sports betting picks & props 🎯 | Bet smarter with insights, trends, & information to help you craft winning bets 📊🏀🏈⚾

[StoneEdgePicks @StoneEdgePicks]

With the NBA regular season wrapped up, solid season overall.

90.48u overall

58.78u in the VIP since January

A lot of ups and downs throughout the year, but we stayed consistent and stuck to the process.

Appreciate everyone who’s been riding along. On to the next.

[StoneEdgePicks @StoneEdgePicks]

Free play.

Nick Kurtz o2.5 H+R+R

[StoneEdgePicks @StoneEdgePicks]

Day finishes in the green at +1.17u.

We cash our 2U Chase Burns play and continue to stay hot on the bigger positions.

Honestly, we were very close to a monster day. The Brewers/A’s over falls short despite 14 runners left on base. The Cubs/Rockies over loses with 18 runners left on base. The opportunities were there all game, just not enough execution to push those across.

Abrams had plenty of chances as well. One ball was hit 105 EV at 361 feet and another 95 EV at 338 feet. Just unfortunate not to find a gap. That’s baseball sometimes. The read was spot on, but we didn’t get the bounce.

The Phillies blew a 2-1 lead in the 9th inning to cost us the ML, although we still cashed the under.

The Yankees got the win but couldn’t get us the run line cover.

Overall, I felt good about our positions and the process behind them. We stay green, we keep building, and we’ll keep rolling.

[StoneEdgePicks @StoneEdgePicks]

@Berts__Bets Guy is must see TV. Unreal stuff

[StoneEdgePicks @StoneEdgePicks]

2u play✅✅✅

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Free play.

James Woods o1.5 H+R+R

[StoneEdgePicks @StoneEdgePicks]

Bang!!

Homers in the 1st inning✅✅✅

Bryan Reynolds o1.5 H+R+R (-117 DK)

Solid matchup spot for Reynolds against a pitcher who has had real issues with left-handed hitters

Pitching profile

Lauer vs LHB

.396 xwOBA allowed
.429 OBP allowed
.333 batting average allowed

Reynolds vs LHP

.401 xwOBA
.422 OBP
16.7% walk rate

Why I like it

Reynolds consistently gets on base vs left-handed pitching
Lauer allows a high rate of baserunners and contact
Walk ability adds extra paths to cash even without multiple hits
Strong matchup environment for runs and traffic

He does not need a big power game here, just his normal on-base production combined with a hit or run involvement to clear 2 combined stats.

[StoneEdgePicks @StoneEdgePicks]

Free play.

James Woods o1.5 H+R+R

[StoneEdgePicks @StoneEdgePicks]

Absolute painful way to not cash a 2u play. Originally ruled a double but Trout given an error.

[Brian McTaggart @brianmctaggart]

Yordan Alvarez gets a 401 foot "double"

[StoneEdgePicks @StoneEdgePicks]

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[StoneEdgePicks @StoneEdgePicks]

Yordan Alvarez crushed one 401 feet at 104 mph exit velocity for what should have been a double to cash our 2U play… right?

Nope.

Originally ruled a double, then changed to an error. Just beyond frustrating to do the research, identify the matchup, get exactly the type of contact we were targeting, and still end up with an unlucky result.

The Brewers got the win but couldn’t cover the run line in a shootout in Vegas.

The Nationals gave us a nice +138 underdog winner, but overall it wasn’t a night we deserved to come out behind on.

That’s baseball sometimes. The process was there, the contact was there, and the results just didn’t cooperate. We’ll keep trusting the work and get back after it tomorrow.

[StoneEdgePicks @StoneEdgePicks]

Free play.

Devin Vassell o7.5RA

[StoneEdgePicks @StoneEdgePicks]

Just fell short of green.

Olsen was incredibly unlucky, recording 3 outs with over 90 mph exit velocity and over 300 feet of distance, but couldn’t find a gap.

Happ did his part with a triple, but never got driven in to cash the prop.

The Guardians were shut out, but their pitching staff couldn’t get an out when it mattered, allowing 16 hits and sinking our 2U play.

Overall, I felt good about the reads. A lot of the process was right, but the results didn’t follow. That’s baseball sometimes. Variance wins the day.

We’ll turn the page, keep trusting the process, and get back after it this week.

[StoneEdgePicks @StoneEdgePicks]

Bang!!

1st inning cash✅✅✅