StrayDog

Trading since 2004 | Day-Trading DAX, SPX, NDX | Charts, trades, Classic TA | *** NOT sending DMs, OR offers. NO Telegram ***

[StrayDog @StrayDogTrading]

About trades
During the last 6 years, I showed ~1500 live trades on the feed. Yes, that's correct. I am fed up with it. Less of that in the future, since I switched execution on the "dedicated" laptop, while using PC for charting and posting on X. There will be -illustrations- of entries using TradingView.

I have always thought that SEEING the trades - from the platform, where you can SEE the ENTRY / STOP / TARGET on the chart - have some value, and wanted to SEE how other traders execute. Showing trades, making real time comments - takes time, and can mess with the managing of those trades. This is very rare to see here on X. What community wants changes over time, and many are more interested in guesswork of "where is this going", than to actual trades.

Finally, showing the trade AFTER it is closed as a only a line on the statement is IMO worthless, since a 9-yr old kid can make that. There are service providers that didn't show a single trade in decades, and that's fine - if they can teach you valuable lessons.

Everything above is just my opinion. This platform is free to use, and you, and only you - choose who to follow, and / or to trust. I wish good trading to everybody.

[StrayDog @StrayDogTrading]

RUT DAILY

Same comment like for SPX (previous post).
Support breakdown on Friday - also a 8-day balance breakdown, with the CLOSE below DMA20 = broken Support should act as resistance, while lower EYE is on the DMA50.

[StrayDog @StrayDogTrading]

RUT DAILY 👀

[StrayDog @StrayDogTrading]

SPX DAILY

"You need to SEE a Support Breakdown" - the line posted here for days. You don't know in advance WHEN that's going to happen. NFP Report was the catalyst.

Now, broken Support should act as Resistance, while we ⚠️watch the Lower one, for test / false vs. break. Below it - once below DMA20, IF they break the lower one, DMA50 can be next station.

[StrayDog @StrayDogTrading]

SPX DAILY
May 14th high still as Support

[StrayDog @StrayDogTrading]

"And it was a US-tech story - DAX -0.75% vs Nasdaq -4.77%"... YES. People want to compare apples with oranges, DAX is NOT Nasdaq, or XLK, or SMH, or MAGS. It will also react differently to Oil spikes.

My take in simple terms is this:
1) DAX don't have AI stocks or Semiconductors in that volume like US. Infineon is Semiconductor, as only DAX40 top10 component. SAP halved. Siemens and his spinoffs can't push DAX alone.
2) Chart wise: ⚠️Support breakdown was needed to get the pullback on US Markets, and THAT we got only on Friday.
3) ⚠️Catalyst for Support breakdown was needed, and that was NFP report, on which 10yr yields spiked. So we got Nasdaq and Russell (yield sensitive) down the most
4) Additional speculation is also SpaceX IPO NEXT FRIDAY, and peeps need funds for it, so sooner or later, some positions will be trimmed for this

[StrayDog @StrayDogTrading]

"And it was a US-tech story - DAX -0.75% vs Nasdaq -4.77%"... YES. People want to compare apples with oranges, DAX is NOT Nasdaq, or XLK, or SMH, or MAGS. It will also react differently to Oil spikes.

My take in simple terms is this:
1) DAX don't have AI stocks or Semiconductors in that volume like US. Infineon is Semiconductor, as only DAX40 top10 component. SAP halved. Siemens and his spinoffs can't push DAX alone.
2) Chart wise: ⚠️Support breakdown was needed to get the pullback on US Markets, and THAT we got only on Friday.
3) ⚠️Catalyst for Support breakdown was needed, and that was NFP report, on which 10yr yields spiked. So we got Nasdaq and Russell (yield sensitive) down the most
4) Additional speculation is also SpaceX IPO NEXT FRIDAY, and peeps need funds for it, so sooner or later, some positions will be trimmed for this

[StrayDog @StrayDogTrading]

@Mo_Hassan_ Thanks Mo

[StrayDog @StrayDogTrading]

Respecting untested closes / opens = information about the "short-term" nature of the market, which gives plenty of "mechanical" reactions. The ones you need to take advantage off. $DAX

Beautiful reaction on Gap Fill to Previous close.
DONE for the PRE-NFP Period.

[StrayDog @StrayDogTrading]

"You can live out of Springs and Upthrusts"
- David H. Weis

I know. Boring... but still.
This could be just a 2 min trade - hit and run into the VWAP, OR you attempt to hold for more, targeting PMKT MID. I choose a quickie, since VWAP and Zone can act as Support.

[StrayDog @StrayDogTrading]

$DAX observe the Price Action of these two days this week

LEFT: MONDAY / RIGHT: TODAY so far

[StrayDog @StrayDogTrading]

@Forgotten_to_Be Italian

[StrayDog @StrayDogTrading]

FDAX Daily

Y LOD at DMA20, which can be observed as "dynamic" Short-term Bull-Bear line

Slow drag like in the previous period.

[StrayDog @StrayDogTrading]

"You can live out of Springs and Upthrusts"
- David H. Weis

I know. Boring... but still.
This could be just a 2 min trade - hit and run into the VWAP, OR you attempt to hold for more, targeting PMKT MID. I choose a quickie, since VWAP and Zone can act as Support.

[StrayDog @StrayDogTrading]

SPX DAILY
May 14th high still as Support

[StrayDog @StrayDogTrading]

RUT DAILY 👀

[StrayDog @StrayDogTrading]

Open your eyes for setups that stand the test of time.
Spring / Upthrust. Both had Divergence as well.

Example on RTY (Russell 2000 Futures)
more of this was available today, across the board, DAX included

[StrayDog @StrayDogTrading]

Open your eyes for setups that stand the test of time.
Spring / Upthrust. Both had Divergence as well.

Example on RTY (Russell 2000 Futures)
more of this was available today, across the board, DAX included

[StrayDog @StrayDogTrading]

11 CET and DONE for today.

"Above 24,905 Reactions expected on R1 and R2." ✅

time for a walk

[StrayDog @StrayDogTrading]

"Fading LTF References is a High Expectancy trade"
In the PMKT, that was DMA20.
▪️In the RTH, that was the Gap.
Both are from INDEX DAILY. Both also places when you can apply more risk.

R1 FADE example. Entry / Scaling out.
Manage your trades. Now, +100 from the Middle of R1.

[StrayDog @StrayDogTrading]

There are days when market hits LTF references in the Premarket session very early, and I say in the Recap video - "that was for Australian traders, and others with Asian Time zones".

💡 OR, YOU keep a LIMIT ORDER THERE.

That was TODAY as well.
Now (9:12 CET) +200 FROM DMA20.

[StrayDog @StrayDogTrading]

$DAX DMA20 tagged in the Premarket Session.
Took hours for this.

👀Check Bollinger Bands on a DAILY CHART - just plain vanilla ones - and observe the move from Memorial Day. DMA20 can be important. Observe "stuff" both above it, and below it.

[StrayDog @StrayDogTrading]

Directional bias "anchored" to DMA20, where above it I am interested for both long and short, while below DMA20 and PMKT Low, I would rather sell into lower supports. Other general ideas below.

[un jour @jesuspatiee]

@StrayDogTrading Hello, What is your plan for today

[StrayDog @StrayDogTrading]

$DAX DMA20 tagged in the Premarket Session.
Took hours for this.

👀Check Bollinger Bands on a DAILY CHART - just plain vanilla ones - and observe the move from Memorial Day. DMA20 can be important. Observe "stuff" both above it, and below it.

[StrayDog @StrayDogTrading]

Post from several min ago. (9:58 CET) 👇

If only all day-trading 50-pointers would be easy.
Still, we got it. Market bounced FROM SUPPORT.

I would PREFER a DIRECT move from the OPEN into Support, where many would shit their pants, BUT - those fast, "scary dips" - are better for fades - result is quicker.

REAL BREAKDOWN opens a move to DMA20.

[StrayDog @StrayDogTrading]

"SUPPORT need to be broken for a pullback."

RUT is the weakest of the US Indices = the one to watch.

Many leading stocks are red today - check ETF MAGS as well. Don't react without a setup.

⚠️SpaceX: Expected IPO Date is June 12th... some "stuff" need to be sold for this

[StrayDog @StrayDogTrading]

Everything is "terrible", and YET...
$SPX, $NDX, $DowJones... made new ATHs today.

$RUT DEFENDED Support

You see how dangerous is to GUESS the top?
SUPPORT need to be broken for a pullback.
Not where VIX is, not how much RSI is overbought.
SUPPORT needs to break.

[StrayDog @StrayDogTrading]

SIMPLE CHARTS $DAX

Left: DAX Index Daily.
This must be one of the slowest Support Breakdowns ever.

Right: Futures to illustrate why I insist of having them.
1) VWAP - It was resistance entire day.
2) Futures Settlement -PMKT High was made AT IT to the tick today.
3) Check MP