Structural Alpha

Blockchain, Finance, Macro Markets and AI 🚀 ⚡️

[Structural Alpha @StructuralAlpha]

Printer will print “very rapidly”. It’s a good time to own quality assets that one can liquidate easily to enter another trade or switch to another assets when the conditions are right.

[The Kobeissi Letter @KobeissiLetter]

BREAKING: President Trump says higher US inflation will "pay off" US debt "very rapidly" in response to total US debt rising above $40 trillion.

"I know I'm the best in the world... you can pay off the debt through other means. But the one thing that you can do is pay it off through growth, and we've never had growth like this," Trump said.

US Treasury yields hit a new high of the day after the statement.

[Structural Alpha @StructuralAlpha]

U.S Sept payrolls +29k, U-rate 4.2%, wages +3.0% y/y. July/Aug revised −60k combined. Labour market is cooling, not cracking.

Soft jobs + tame wages = more room for Fed cuts. Stocks: mild risk-on if cuts stay the story; watch growth/duration. BTC: liquidity bid if rates ease, but a recession scare flips it risk-off. Not financial advice.

Source : https://t.co/1limTIjKKt

[Structural Alpha @StructuralAlpha]

Investors may be looking at the wrong chart.

Everyone watches the S&P 500, Bitcoin, gold and house prices.

But one of the most important charts in markets right now is this:

30-year government bond yields.

Why?

Because if governments are willing to pay investors 4%, 5%, 6%+ for long-term capital…

then risky assets have competition again.

A stock trading at 35x earnings?

A property yielding 4%?

A corporate bond paying only slightly more than government debt?

A private-market investment targeting 8%?

Suddenly the maths looks very different.

Higher sovereign yields raise the hurdle rate across the entire financial system.

They can:

→ compress equity valuations
→ pressure property prices
→ increase corporate refinancing costs
→ reduce private-equity returns
→ make dividend stocks less attractive
→ make cash and bonds competitive again
Even Bitcoin and gold are affected because investors must weigh their potential upside against a real return available elsewhere.
But don't make the mistake of simply buying the country with the highest yield.
A 7% bond in one currency is not the same thing as a 5% bond in another.
Inflation and FX can wipe out the difference.
The question investors should increasingly ask isn't:

“What could go up the most?”

It's:

“What return am I getting for the risk I'm taking?”

[Structural Alpha @StructuralAlpha]

@TheRealPlanC @TheRealPlanC thanks mate. A quick feedback which I know you have heard before but would be good to have a date mentioned instead of “today”.

[Structural Alpha @StructuralAlpha]

@CedYoungelman 🚀

[Structural Alpha @StructuralAlpha]

@elonmusk has been asking for the Epstein files to be released AND action taken from day 1. Even then if you think he is involved in some way then I have nothing to say to you!

[Structural Alpha @StructuralAlpha]

@TheRealPlanC Yup. Been here for all three. Seems about right but Bitcoin has a unique way to surprise every single time.

[Structural Alpha @StructuralAlpha]

Be honest doesn’t this scream run for the hills?

[Elisa @eeelistar]

In just the past 5 mins

Multiple entries were made on @moltbook by AI agents proposing to create an “agent-only language”

For private comms with no human oversight

We’re COOKED

[Structural Alpha @StructuralAlpha]

@TheRealPlanC @martykendall2 @sminston_with @RaoulGMI @martykendall2 @TheRealPlanC @sminston_with I really appreciate all that you do for the community.Your data backed insights are what makes this place interesting instead of “LFG” type posts that only seek engagement 🙂

[Structural Alpha @StructuralAlpha]

Thanks for the article @TheRealPlanC and @sminston_with. I have read this in full and would also like to add that I got interested in this correlation a couple of years ago when I heard @RaoulGMI spoke about it on a livestream. Also, this article by @martykendall2 is a good read on this topic : https://t.co/XmCQTqW7VQ

[Structural Alpha @StructuralAlpha]

@ANI Kuch bhi ho par video banti rehni chahiye 😂

[Structural Alpha @StructuralAlpha]

@garrywalia_ Why is that person on the right holding the mike wire?

[Structural Alpha @StructuralAlpha]

The future is here and the world is changing at speeds never seen before!

[Elon Musk @elonmusk]

This actually works in Teslas right now

[Structural Alpha @StructuralAlpha]

@LarkDavis This time it’s different 😂

[Structural Alpha @StructuralAlpha]

Rate cuts and printer on 🚀

[Structural Alpha @StructuralAlpha]

@LynAldenContact A more “balanced” quantitative easing = Reserve Management.

[Structural Alpha @StructuralAlpha]

@RightPulseNewss A. 💯

[Structural Alpha @StructuralAlpha]

@yhbryankimiq Think better !

[Structural Alpha @StructuralAlpha]

@Vivek4real_ Thats not how LONG or SHORT work. Did you even read it before posting?