Sujan Timalsina

Chartered Accountant,
Director at Safari Financial Advisor Pvt. Ltd.
जय नेपाल 🇳🇵

[Sujan Timalsina @SujanTimalsinaa]

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#finance #account

[Sujan Timalsina @SujanTimalsinaa]

@TimalsenaSachin तिमीलाई देशभरै बाट फोन चाही कसले गर्यो दाई 🤣

[Arnaud Bertrand @RnaudBertrand]

I've lived in Nepal during a few months, a stunning country that's really dear to my heart.

I was notably there during the 2015 earthquake, a time when one of the main leaders of the current "Gen Z" protests (Sudan Gurung, who founded Hami Nepal) lost a child, which was the trigger for his activism.

I've seen the corruption. In fact the truth is that formal government structures barely function in much of Nepal - outside major cities, the state is more theoretical than real. It was crystal clear during the earthquake, but also at other times. For instance I've seen, with my own eyes, that when a petty crime occurs, people don't call the police but resort to mob justice by default (and it's not pretty). The people are left to care for themselves almost entirely on their own.

Additionally, Nepal has the single most challenging geography in the world which, despite everything you hear about countries having agency, shapes virtually every aspect of national development. Nepal has:
1) the world's most difficult terrain,
2) the world's strongest storms (because all the clouds from the Indian subcontinent come crashing into the Himalayan wall). I've experienced dozens and, believe me, it's scary: village streets are transformed in torrential rivers in a matter of minutes.
3) regular earthquakes (how do you think the Himalayas got created?),
4) is landlocked,
5) is a buffer state between 2 great powers
6) is at India's mercy for virtually all imports and exports (due to the Himalayan barrier with China); which I witnessed firsthand when India brutally decided to impose a blockade after the 2015 earthquake (to express disagreement with a constitutional amendment), making a horrible humanitarian disaster even far worse

Good luck with all that... To say that steering such a country towards prosperity would take extraordinary statesmanship is the understatement of the century.

I see many people reflexively saying that the current protest movement is a US-backed color revolution (with, having briefly looked into it, no convincing proof that I could identify). I'm not so sure, given the country's crushing constraints. What would even be the point of orchestrating a color revolution in a place with such geography?

Protesters' apparent enthusiasm for Balendra Shah (https://t.co/4CbBBwMi90), Kathmandu's mayor, further undermines the color revolution theory. He's a Nepali anti-India patriot with zero background related to the West, who won the mayor race as an independent in 2022 on a platform of fixing drains and fighting corruption. He's not promising to realign Nepal with the West; he's promising functioning traffic lights and demolishing illegal buildings - and he won't even lead the protests, claiming he's beyond the Gen Z age bracket. A color revolution with a chosen leader who doesn't want to lead, and whose "patriotic" views are inconvenient to US foreign policy? Hard to believe.

But for the sake of argument, let's say it's true: what would the US gain? Even at the height of colonial land-grabbing, after having won the Anglo-Nepalese War (1814-16), the British - which colonized rocks in the Atlantic just to have them - took a hard pass on colonizing Nepal. Though they were impressed by the Gurkha fighters who, to this day, form regiments in the British Army (which incidentally adds yet another handicap: Nepal's finest fighters are contractually obligated to other nations).

Occam's razor means that the more likely truth is that Nepal's dysfunction doesn't require foreign orchestration - its circumstances guarantee it for free.

And in any case, the point is largely moot because even a successful color revolution would be a Pyrrhic victory for everyone involved.

The US would gain influence over a government that can't govern, in a country in which you can't base meaningful assets, and from which you couldn't project power over China anyhow (there are 8km high mountains in between...).

India wouldn't care - they've already proven they can economically strangle any Nepali government that displeases them.

China would shrug behind its Himalayan wall.

And the Nepali people would wake up the next morning with the same impossible geography, the same dependence on India, the same unforgiving terrain.

I don't want to end this post on such a deterministic note, and make it sound like Nepal is condemned to a fate of perpetual misery.

The Nepali people I met were among the most resilient, ingenious, and warm-hearted I've encountered anywhere. They've survived everything geography throws at them with remarkable grace. If any population could eventually find a way to make the impossible merely difficult, it would be them.

The protests, whatever their origin, show this: that despite the odds, the young generation still believes in a better future for their country. That, in and of itself, is the most important fact about these protests - more important than who organized them or what foreign powers think. And that spirit, if channeled properly, is perhaps the most important asset Nepal has that doesn't depend on geography or geopolitics.

Last word: please go visit Nepal. Visit Everest base camp. Visit the birthplace of Buddha. Take a trek in the blooming Rhododendron forests of the Annapurna. Go watch some of the last wild rhinoceros of Asia. Eat some of those delicious momos.

Your tourist dollars won't solve Nepal's structural issues, but they'll meaningfully help real people living real lives, and you'll have the trip of a lifetime in the process. Geography might have dealt Nepal a difficult hand for development, but it also created one of the world's most extraordinary places and people.

[Sujan Timalsina @SujanTimalsinaa]

@SR__________B Badhai cha dada

[Sujan Timalsina @SujanTimalsinaa]

@Sirjana_Singh लाज पचाउन त यिनीहरूबाट सिक्नुपर्छ अचम्म 😏

[Windies Cricket @windiescricket]

Cricket West Indies announces historic T20I Series against emerging nation, Nepal.🏏 🌴

Read More🔽
https://t.co/KhfSLoMQWD

[Sameer Mani (A) Dixit, PhD🇳🇵 @smadixit]

राजनैतिक बन्दी : फरक राजनीतिमा आधारित विचार राख्रे, प्रबर्द्धन गर्ने जोकोही, जसलाई सत्तापक्षले आफूसंग भएका हरेक औजार प्रयोग गरेर निष्क्रिय गर्न चाहेको व्यक्तिहरु ।

मान्नुस नमान्नुस देशमा अब अधिनायकवाद शुरु भइसक्यो । अहिले ताली बजाउनेहरु भोलि आफै यसको सिकार हुन बेर छैन ।

[Sujan Timalsina @SujanTimalsinaa]

@iihtter संसारमा जे सुकै हाेस मतलब छैन , याे मान्छे बालेनकाे मात्र पछि लाग्छ 😂

[Suvam Koirala 🇳🇵🏏 @SuvamKoirala_45]

Breaking🔥🔥 : Former Head Coach of Bangladesh, Afghanistan & West Indies Stuart Law is appointed as Head Coach of Nepal for 2 years.

He has over 27000 First Class Run with 79 Centuries.

#Coach #Nepal #HeadCoach #NepalCricket

[दिपक पौड्याल @DpakPoudyal]

चुनाव लडेर आइज भन्नेलाइ अहिलेको situation बारे यो राम्रो जवाफ हो! Ground zero reporting

[Sujan Timalsina @SujanTimalsinaa]

@sandeepjalan7 Aba k huncha pani vannu na 😁

[Sumana @SumanaShrestha]

आज आशिकाजीसङ्ग भेट भयो।

आशिकाजीलाई माघ २मा प्रकाउ गरिएको हो। आज १५ दिन भयो, अब विभिन्न जिल्लाको हिरासतको सयर गराउने कुरा हुदैछ।

उहाँको तरिका अराजक छ, त्यसमा असहमति हुँदा पनि त्यसमा आम मानिसको आक्रोश प्रतिबिम्वित भएको देख्छु। अभद्र व्यवहारमा अझै के अनुसन्धान गर्न बाँकी छ, जुन अहिले सम्म हुन सकेको छैन, सबै वृत्तान्तको भिडियो आफैले पोस्ट गरेकी छिन् त? यो विभिन्न जिल्लामा जाहेरी दिने को हो, अरु जाहेरीमा पनि यही रफ्तारमा कारवाही हुन्छ?

यो त सरासर "हाम्रो विरोध गर्छस्! पख देखाइदिन्छु" भनेको होइन? यो भन्दा गम्भीर घटना शिक्षालयमा तालबन्दी/तोडफोड गर्ने दल संरक्षितहरूलाई केही नगर्ने, प्राध्यापक कुट्नेलाई विदेश जान दिने, दिनमा फरार रातमा प्रहरीकै कार्यक्रममा सरिक भएको पनि देखेकै हो हामीले ।

अहिले आशिकाजीको सट्टा कुनै दल निकट कोहीलाई प्रकाउ गर्ने कुरा मात्र उठेको भए के भइसक्थ्यो हामीले नभोगेको हैन। शक्तिकेन्द्रसम्म पहुँच नभएकोलाई मात्र पेल्ने नियत भो।
राज्यसँग अपार शक्ति छ, शक्तिशालीले संयमित हुनु पर्दछ। राज्यले अभिभाकत्व लिनुपर्ने ठाउँमा - अस्ति चितवनमा युवकलाई निर्घात कुट्नु र अहिले आशिकाजीलाई मानसिक यातना दिनुमा समानता छ - राज्यको अनावश्यक बल प्रयोग ।

गृहमन्त्रीज्यू यसमा तपाईँको मौन समर्थन प्रष्ट छ, नत्र प्रहरीले यत्रो ज्यादति गर्ने थिएन । यसरी प्रहरीको गिरफ्तारी गर्नु अघि के उहाँलाई उपमेयरको समक्ष न्यायिक समितिमा लगियो? के उहाँलाई मौखिक चेतावनी दिईयो?

बौद्धिक वर्ग - उहाँको तरिकासँग असहमति होला तर गल्ती अनुसारको दण्ड हुनु पर्ने हो नि - के यसरी यातना दिनु उचित छ ? अब त सरकारले समाजिक सञ्जाल नियन्त्रण गर्ने विधेयक ल्याएको छ, त्यस पछि त स्टाटस लेखेकै भरमा ७७ जिल्लाकै हिरासत घुमाउन सक्ने देखियो सरकारले, यस्तो अवस्थामा पनि चुप बस्ने हो ?

अनि हामीले विचार गर्ने बेला आयो समाजमा कति आक्रोश गुम्सिएर बसेको रहेछ, जसले नागरिकलाई यस्तो तरिकाले निकास खोज्न बाध्य बनायो, यसलाई बेलैमा सम्बोधन गर्ने हो कि विस्फोट हुन दिने हो ?

आशिकाजीलाई रिहा गरियोस्। राज्यले आफ्नो प्राथमिकता तय गरोस् र विवेक प्रयोग गरोस्। आशिकाजीलाई न्याय मिलोस्।

[Sujan Timalsina @SujanTimalsinaa]

@lamichhane321 @realpbhattarai 😂😂

[Sujan Timalsina @SujanTimalsinaa]

@sandeepjalan7 aba OLI whisky nikalam sir 😃

[Sujan Timalsina @SujanTimalsinaa]

@Pokharel_11 @sandeepjalan7 I see HATHY reaching 5000+

[Sujan Timalsina @SujanTimalsinaa]

@phalano @ndcl_nt Same here
Phone garna na milne vaxa

[Sujan Timalsina @SujanTimalsinaa]

@sandeepjalan7 Margin lending risk weight reduction?

[Sujan Timalsina @SujanTimalsinaa]

@sandeepjalan7 huss😍

[Sujan Timalsina @SujanTimalsinaa]

@sandeepjalan7 @SurajMarahatta @JwaaE_saaB aaja ramro tarsayo market le 😅 halka risk set off gariya thyo

[Sujan Timalsina @SujanTimalsinaa]

@SR__________B Petition to see camerawoman 😁