🟢 Buy Bijan Robinson
Bijan’s workload is elite — 77.9% snaps, 56% rush share, 17.8% target share — but the red-zone usage is flipped: just 9 inside-10 opportunities vs Allgeier’s 18. His targets have dipped lately (2 and 3 in two of his last three) but should normalize. Regression and usage correction are coming.
Buy for a top-15 WR while the touchdown drought keeps the price down.
@JONROYMCCOYII Pittman for Pearsall feels like swapping spit. But in this, Pearsall has slightly elevated reinjury risk. I’d see if I can acquire him for cheaper if possible.
You could wait till this offseason, but most of us our trade deadline is soon. If you wait till the offseason, your risk is that the Saints draft someone over Shough, which seems very likely if they keep losing. Or, you can try to get out now and guarantee a reroll on a new asset.
@jberth5468 We’d prefer the rice/henry side of this deal. Rice is an incredibly valuable piece similar to Bijan, but Henry has an incredible schedule down the stretch.
🟢 Buy Dalton Schultz
Over the past four: 74.5% routes, 18.5% targets, 6.2 aDOT, 12.6 XFP/G (TE5). He’s producing TE1 usage at a TE2 price. The schedule’s not easy, but the consistency is rare.
Buy for a top-40 WR or RB you can spare — steady points beat streamers.
🔴 Sell Keenan Allen
Weeks 1–7: 73% routes, 23% target share, 9 tgt/G, 8 end-zone targets, 16.8 XFP/G.
Weeks 8–10: 54% routes, 16% targets, 0 end-zone looks, 8.3 XFP/G.
That’s not a dip—that’s a cliff. Whether age or Gadsden’s rise, the trend is clear.
Sell for a top-30 WR or RB, ideally to the Gadsden owner.
🔴 Sell Quentin Johnston
The early-season role vanished once Gadsden emerged. Target share fell from 24% to 10%, YPRR from 2.19 to 0.88, XFP from 15.5 to 7.7. Even with one rebound week, the role’s not coming back — and his next slate (PHI, KC, HOU) is a WR gauntlet.
Sell for a top-20 RB or package up for a tier-up WR.
🟢 Buy Troy Franklin
Since Week 7: 25% targets, 17.2 aDOT, 7 end-zone and 12 deep targets, 30.9% first-read, 19.9 XFP/G vs 15.8 FP/G. That’s high-volume, high-leverage usage with room to grow. The Broncos have clearly shifted toward him as the focal point.
Buy for a top-20 RB before his production catches up to his metrics.
🟢 Buy Jerry Jeudy
Usage > production. Jeudy’s at 86% routes, 19.2% targets, 26.7% first-read, 13.5 XFP/G vs 7.5 FP/G — the gap between opportunity and output is massive. Upcoming matchups (BAL, LV, SF, TEN, CHI) all rank bottom-12 vs WRs.
Buy for a utility handcuff or depth RB — this is WR2 usage at WR4 prices.
🔴 Sell Tez Johnson
Over Weeks 6–10, Johnson’s posted 80% route rate, 15% targets, 14.8 FP/G, but he’s outperforming expected fantasy points (10.6 XFP/G) by 40%. His touchdowns are doing the heavy lifting.
Sell high for a top-20 RB before regression and target squeeze hit.
🔴 Sell TreVeyon Henderson
Week 10 (83% snaps, 10.5 YPC, 2 long TDs) was fun but fluky. His season rates — 37% snaps, 4.2 YPC, 1.5% TD rate, 8.0 XFP/G — paint a limited picture. His success rate dropped to 28.6% even in the breakout. When Stevenson comes back we’re likely not back to square one, but we’re not at an RB1 either.
Sell high for a top-20 RB or WR.
🟢 Buy Quinshon Judkins
Weeks 2–7: 7th in rushing yards per game, top-20 in YPC, explosive run rate, TD rate, YACO/att, and 12th in XFP/G. One injury-affected dud shouldn’t move the needle — this is still a low-end RB1 profile.
Buy for a WR2 and ride the production rebound.
🟢 Buy Tyler Allgier (yes, really)
Allgier owns the Falcons’ money zone — 18 touches inside the 10 to Bijan’s 7. That’s weekly TD equity plus plug-and-play value if Bijan misses time. High-leverage volume always pays off late in the year.
Buy for a WR3/flex before the playoffs.