This is my long-term base case for $BTC
USD is going to zero when priced in sats
May or may not be more pain in store for hodlers but don't get too cute trying to play the dollar long
$BTC weekly
with the lower timeframes breaking down, we need a strong reaction off this weekly trendline to save the higher timeframes before January closes out
$BTC weekly
with the lower timeframes breaking down, we need a strong reaction off this weekly trendline to save the higher timeframes before January closes out
$BTC 4H
breakdown or final stop hunt?
watch the next 4H close for clues. Closing below prior range low and this diagonal would be a red flag, while recovering these levels could lead to a big bounce
$BTC weekly log
with support intact we must give the bull scenarios the benefit of the doubt
should this range give out, which is not my base case, my bearish scenario is a sharp pullback to the 0.618 log fib fan and a swift recovery
more reason for optimism, this weekly channel is holding strong on a closing basis
usually you see a crack before a breakdown - a close just below the trendline, a lower low, etc.
it closed above the lower bounds of the channel with another higher low 💪
$BTC weekly
sellers failed to follow through on last week's $7500 bearish reversal candle
the 10 MA, 0.75 fib fan, and range lows remain intact as support
while there is work to do on the daily, the long-legged doji indicates waning downside momentum on the weekly
A long-legged doji above the 10 MA on $BTC weekly will help to neutralize last week's bearish candle
but we still need to reclaim the yearly open and flip 2024 green to increase the odds our higher low holds up
$BTC daily
vulnerable below the monthly upper Bollinger Band and weekly 10 MA
big moves can happen fast when significant levels fail
bulls need a bounce here