SurlyBull.com

[SurlyBull.com @SurlyBull]

Follow me. Follow me to freedom!

[SurlyBull.com @SurlyBull]

https://t.co/tNn01rDlCi
this place is an emotional dump but this song is exceptional to me

[SurlyBull.com @SurlyBull]

This is the next effect of mass-accessed prediction markets: reflexivity

Soros writes about this extensively. The markets are about to become so large & influential that they alter real-life events & behavior just as real-life behavior & events effect the markets.

Incentives.

[Alfonso Straffon 🇨🇷🇺🇸🇲🇽 @astraffon]

Missed this...

"The Institute for the Study of War disavowed the edit, removed the employee, but is staying quiet, raising questions about the credibility of ISW and prediction gambling"

Think tanker altered Ukraine war map before big Polymarket payout
https://t.co/8bQ2PFyejL

[SurlyBull.com @SurlyBull]

@andrewcourt1 @astraffon This is the next effect of mass-accessed prediction markets: reflexivity

Soros writes about this extensively. The markets are about to become so large & influential that they alter real-life events & behavior just as real-life behavior & events effect the markets.

Incentives.

[SurlyBull.com @SurlyBull]

@NateDuncanNBA 💯

[SurlyBull.com @SurlyBull]

@DeanO_Lytics Caruso nearly pulled off the big one

[SurlyBull.com @SurlyBull]

@DeanO_Lytics that actually makes a lot of sense...

but begs the question, if it becomes the primary/lone reason you wont do it...then maybe you should carve out some practice time for it 😂

[SurlyBull.com @SurlyBull]

@jaycaspiankang Been thinking about this lately. Even looking up the info is tedious for some reason.

Some nights Im looking for any live sports and its just a nuisance to even figure it out. Throw up my hands and watch old YouTube concerts then take an Ambien.

[SurlyBull.com @SurlyBull]

Why do Amazon sports broadcasts sound like laptop speakers?

NFL and NBA Cup audio both suck, been like this a year+

sacrilegious to do Nas like this

[SurlyBull.com @SurlyBull]

@tannerguzy Yes and with a gf/wife too. When I am with loved ones I am much more in the moment.

When I am by myself, I treasure the solitude, but I am 100% obsessed with plotting/building/accomplishing something that I believe will "free" me and my family.

[SurlyBull.com @SurlyBull]

@NateDuncanNBA @WorldWideWob their NFL audio is a mess too. Its been a year+ and they seem to have no interest in improving/fixing it.

[SurlyBull.com @SurlyBull]

phenomenal post

human nature is becoming less understood (and discounted) in new world emphasizing cold quantification

[gian @notgodcomplex96]

lately f1 explains psychology rly well. he was hated because he embodied dominance without vulnerability.

zero jeopardy >narrative becomes boring, predictable, and suffocating for everyone who isnt a rb fan.

humans resent inevitability. they cheer for tension, not excellence.

[SurlyBull.com @SurlyBull]

@JonesOnTheNBA One thing that OKC is praised for and holds as an advantage is its youthful camaraderie, & unselfish focus on the court.

This is something that naturally decays with time & success. History tells us that all of this breaks down due to a variety of human nature factors.

[SurlyBull.com @SurlyBull]

@JonesOnTheNBA the unbeatable narratives are overreactions. OKC is extremely well-positioned but there are still a million factors that bend toward balance in a sports league with rules meant to achieve that.

[SurlyBull.com @SurlyBull]

@xwanyex I respect Boomers & their philosophies on life, work ethic, & what made their successes possible

But its natural order that the elderly cede influence as they age. Yes, they are relied upon & consulted for wisdom, but governance & leadership are meant for those in their prime.

[SurlyBull.com @SurlyBull]

@xwanyex theyve captured the economic resources of their boom, are outliving the natural timeline of passing them on, and clinging to their biases while dragging their children/grandchildren into stagnant, stubborn, resentful policy.

[SurlyBull.com @SurlyBull]

💯

[Benn Eifert 🥷🏴‍☠️ @bennpeifert]

Prediction, could obviously be wrong:

Crypto's religious believers have done unbelievably well holding the core assets in the space from when total market cap was tiny up until now

From here on, those who see the space as a PvP video game will be the winners

🖤 glhf 🖤

[SurlyBull.com @SurlyBull]

@SICscore @ProFootballDoc @ProFootballDoc whats realistic rest of season prognosis for Odunze with stress fracture(s) in foot?

Multiple weeks out and/or production drop?

[SurlyBull.com @SurlyBull]

@notgodcomplex96 Having emotional support is big. Its natural to isolate so being there for her even if shes reluctant still means more than u know

Ive seen miracles that baffle the medical team & Ive seen fast declines but patients with meaningful emotional support r comforted thru the journey