Pat Mayo

When ya get to Hell, tell’em Itchy sent ya | Pat Mayo Experience | Underdog Partner | @BetspertsGolf | @mayomedianet | Blue Wire pods

[Pat Mayo @ThePME]

PART 2: DON’T Ask AI For Picks | How To Actually Use AI for NFL Betting w/ @robpizzola @CirclesOffHQ

CHAPTERS

00:00 The Right Way to Prompt AI for Betting
01:20 How Pro Bettors Use AI
03:00 The Worst Way to Use AI vs. Automation & Time Savings
06:00 Dealing with AI Errors & Model Inaccuracies
06:50 Claude vs. ChatGPT vs. Gemini: What Works Best?
9:30 Automating Daily Handicapping Deliverables
11:45 Handling Data Sets, CSVs, and Scraping
14:00 Free NFL Data Sources & Public APIs (NFL FastR)
16:40 How to Learn and Build Betting Models from Scratch
19:20 Sanity Checking Your Model Against the Closing Line
22:45 Modeling Player Props vs. Spreads & Totals
26:15 Backtesting and Avoiding Data Leakage
31:45 Must-Use Research Sites: @4for4football, @4for4Bets, https://t.co/j7OORAbE00, FTN & PFF
34:45 Testing Schemes, Personnel Tendencies & NextGen Speed
38:20 Troubleshooting Model Flaws & Early-Season Traps
45:10 Stripping Luck and Variance Out of the Data
50:15 The Most Predictive NFL Stats (EPA + Success Rate)
54:45 Understanding Weighted EPA and Advanced Metrics
1:01:00 Spotting Low-Effort AI Content in Sports Media
1:03:30 Emerging AI Betting Tools & NextGen Stats
1:07:40 Cam vs. The Machine

[Pat Mayo @ThePME]

How to Bet on the NFL & Actually Win (Or Lose a Lot less) w/ @robpizzola

CHAPTER

00:00 - The Biggest NFL Betting Mistakes & Why Sunday Morning is a Trap
01:50 - How to Bet the NFL Without Going Broke
02:45 - Rob Pizzola's Journey: From Losing Recreational Bettor to Pro
04:00 - Establishing Goals: Entertainment vs. Long-Term Profit
05:00 - What is a Realistic NFL Betting ROI? (Sides vs. Props)
07:45 - Price Discovery & Why Betting Early Gives You the Edge
09:20 - Why You Bet Against the Market, Not Just the Sportsbook
10:15 - The Truth About Public Betting Splits & Line Shopping
13:25 - Handling Weather, Injury News & Massive Market Movement
17:30 - Key Numbers in the NFL: Why 3 and 7 Are Changing
24:40 - Quantifying Injuries: Quarterbacks, O-Line & Cluster Injuries
27:50 - Fading the Grifters & Prediction Markets
29:15 - How to Maximize Sportsbook Promos, Boosts & Free Bets
34:10 - Fast News Reactions: Beating the Market on Depth Chart Changes
38:40 - Correlating Player Props, Derivatives & Team Tendencies
43:15 - Why Blindly Betting Unders is Historically Profitable
47:50 - Top-Down Betting: Finding Mispriced Lines Across Books
51:20 - Overcoming Bias & Ego: Why "Knowing Ball" Doesn't Equal Winning
53:05 - Bankroll Management: Staking Plans & Kelly Criterion Basics
56:45 - How to Approach Live In-Game Betting Strategically
1:01:20 - Live SGPs, Ladders & Halftime Adjustments
1:05:45 - Why Buying Picks is a Losing Game
1:09:05 - The Myth of Casino Influencers & "Get Rich Quick" Betting
1:14:45 - Win Rates & Break-Even Math: Hitting 54% to Win Long-Term
1:17:30 - Market Evolution & Closing Thoughts

Get on-demand version on @YouTube, @ApplePodcasts & @Spotify under "Pat Mayo Experience"

[Pat Mayo @ThePME]

Get an advanced screening of the 9th CUSTY AWARDS NOW with a MMN memberhship on YouTube. Or wait til 8pmET on Sunday

Big Honey or Big Feet: Which industry makes more????

[Pat Mayo @ThePME]

9th Custy Awards: COMING AUGUST 30TH AT 8pm ET

[Pat Mayo @ThePME]

NFL DraftKings Strategy: Stop Making These Costly DFS Mistakes w/ @ToeTagginTambo

FULL SHOW OUT NOW ON ALL PME FEEDS!!!!!

[Pat Mayo @ThePME]

@quickneasycat @gfienberg17 @CamStewartLive @timanderson87 @robpizzola 👊❤️

[Pat Mayo @ThePME]

👀

[Pat Mayo @ThePME]

Too early for this Par 3

[Pat Mayo @ThePME]

Too early for this Par 3

[Tyler Tamboline @ToeTagginTambo]

Lots of talk about 1st jobs in the industry…👀

We posted this for @ShipItNation about a year ago and we’re back on the hunt! ⤵️

You will be working directly with me to help step things up on both @ShipItNation socials and my own! 🙌

Send me a DM or email us if interested! 🚀

[Pat Mayo @ThePME]

AFC WIN TOTALS coming Tuesday. Or WATCH NOW on the MMN Youtube Members feed

"I will be saddened when no one is calling my wife a whore" - @gfienberg17 on the Bills New Stadium

[Pat Mayo @ThePME]

NFC WIN TOTALS + CUST CORNER w/ @timanderson87 & @gfienberg17

OUT NOW... and we're already in mid-season form...

[Pat Mayo @ThePME]

Become a MMN Member now to get THE CUSTYS before AUG 30th and watch right away.

Then you can see more of @gfienberg17's drive by on @robpizzola as we think about contenders for @GarionThorne's "Most Sane" award

[Pat Mayo @ThePME]

9th Custy Awards: COMING AUGUST 30TH AT 8pm ET

[Pat Mayo @ThePME]

TOUR CHAMPIONSHIP QUICK BETS

Wyndham Clark +1800
Sam Burns +2000 (@CoolbetCanada)
Si WOOOOOOO Kim +2800
Tom Kim +6600 (3 Places)

[Pat Mayo @ThePME]

@DustyPicks @Underdog Get that tail link in there!

[Pat Mayo @ThePME]

TOUR CHAMPIONSHIP QUICK BETS

Wyndham Clark +1800
Sam Burns +2000 (@CoolbetCanada)
Si WOOOOOOO Kim +2800
Tom Kim +6600 (3 Places)

[Pat Mayo @ThePME]

https://t.co/YLIT98V4q4

[Pat Mayo @ThePME]

@KendoVT That’s prob surgery 2

[Pat Mayo @ThePME]

Tiger went to Europe and got his first surgery to eventually turn into @KendoVT

[Golf Channel @GolfChannel]

"More people need to know what you've done and how you've served ... you're trying to raise the bar to allow people to go ahead and achieve a lot more in life."

Tiger Woods sends a heartfelt message to Notah Begay during the Payne Stewart Award ceremony.

Golf Channel | @SouthernCompany

[Edwin Porras, DPT @FBInjuryDoc]

I don’t usually engage but…

I’ve been a board certified orthopedic specialist & full time sports PT since 2021

For two years I spent 6 days per week and 10-12 hours per day working with professional athletes

@proathletept has 140+ 5-star reviews across two locations

https://t.co/UN21UyZCoS uses 10+ years NFL data, my own analysis since 2019 + real life experience to create a unique (and accurate) tool

AI slop is out there but buddy - I ain’t the one

[Pat Mayo @ThePME]

"You wanna have sex with this guy? ITS FREE" - @CamStewartLive

[Pat Mayo @ThePME]

If you need content to fill some time right now, it's a great time to a MMN YouTube membership. So many advanced shows

[Pat Mayo @ThePME]

If you need content to fill some time right now, it's a great time to a MMN YouTube membership. So many advanced shows

[Pat Mayo @ThePME]

https://t.co/e0nygVNK1Z

[Pat Mayo @ThePME]

The people are split on @gfienberg17’s Cust Corner topic

[Pat Mayo @ThePME]

NFC WIN TOTALS + CUST CORNER w/ @timanderson87 & @gfienberg17

OUT NOW... and we're already in mid-season form...

[Pat Mayo @ThePME]

https://t.co/YLIT98V4q4

[Pat Mayo @ThePME]

“Golf isn’t a fashion contest.” — @timanderson87

Also Cust,