THE STAG TRADER

THE STAG 🦌
NIFTY & BANKNIFTY levels • Intraday structure • Market direction
Trade with logic. discipline. clarity.
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[THE STAG TRADER @THESTAGRAMEEZ]

Missed the last 400-point fall. Got trapped in the gap filling theory and the market reminded me again: the market doesn’t do what is obvious to the majority.

I don’t know anything about war news or global narratives, but I trust price structure and wave behavior. As per the study shared earlier, I am expecting Nifty to form a bottom this week and then the 3rd wave should start.

And remember one thing about 3rd waves they are fast, sharp, and give very few pullbacks. Most people wait for gap fill, but in strong trends, gaps don’t fill they run.

So don’t be surprised if you see continuous gap-ups and people keep waiting for retracement that never comes.

The more the panic at the bottom, the stronger the up move that follows.

Market rewards patience, not prediction.

Note - I am a human and I can be wrong 😊

#Nifty #BankNifty #IndianStockMarket #ElliottWave #StockMarketIndia #TradingView #Investing #MarketAnalysis

[THE STAG TRADER @THESTAGRAMEEZ]

This is my perspective: a break of 50% will confirm the move toward 61.8% and 81.2%. If the market doesn’t fill the upside gap, then this scenario is possible. If Nifty fills the upside gap, this view will be invalidated.

People asking why I turned bearish at 25,700 this is the answer.

For investors: Stay invested.

For traders: Act according to your study as the market changes.

No one is God in this market to be right all the time.

#Nifty #Nifty50 #crash #war #BankNifty

[THE STAG TRADER @THESTAGRAMEEZ]

⚠️ FIIs are holding 91.2% SHORTS in Index Futures.

One of the most aggressive bearish positions seen in a long time.

Question is not whether they are bearish.

Question is: Are they right, or are they building fuel for the next short-covering rally?

When everyone is positioned on one side, markets often move the other way.

91.2% shorts.
Extreme positioning.
Big move loading...
What do you think comes next, Breakdown 📉 or Short Squeeze 📈?

#Nifty #BankNifty #FII #FIIData #StockMarket #Trading #OptionChain #MarketOutlook

[THE STAG TRADER @THESTAGRAMEEZ]

📊 NIFTY IT - Investor's Perspective (Next 1 Month)

The ongoing correction in NIFTY IT may be approaching a major bottoming zone over the next 1 month.

The highlighted Fibonacci support region around 27,800–26,000 remains a very important area to watch. If buyers start defending this zone and price stabilizes, it could create a strong foundation for the next leg of the uptrend.

⚠️ This view is strictly for investors and positional participants, not for short-term traders looking for quick moves.

The most important level on the chart right now is the red falling trendline resistance. As long as NIFTY IT remains below it, caution is warranted.

However, a decisive breakout and sustained closing above this trendline can completely change the structure and open the gates for:

🎯 35,000
🎯 38,000
🎯 40,000
🎯 New All-Time Highs

Remember, bottoms are never confirmed by predictions they are confirmed by price action. Let the market prove strength first.

For now, I am watching for:
✅ Bottom formation near support
✅ Trendline breakout confirmation
✅ Higher highs & higher lows on larger timeframes

Patience is the key. The biggest wealth is usually created when quality sectors are accumulated near fear zones, not when everyone becomes bullish.

#NiftyIT #Nifty #StockMarket #Investing #IndianStockMarket #ITStocks #TechnicalAnalysis #Fibonacci #ElliottWave #MarketAnalysis #NSE #LongTermInvesting

[THE STAG TRADER @THESTAGRAMEEZ]

@GAshishanand Gap fill nahi hua hai 👍

[THE STAG TRADER @THESTAGRAMEEZ]

NIFTY main saare Bulls bol rahe hai 23k nahi tootega

Batao aapko kya lagta hai tootega ya nahi?

Note - I am not a Bull or Bear
STAG hu main ✌️

#nifty #banknifty

[THE STAG TRADER @THESTAGRAMEEZ]

Perfect analysis done in members group ❤️

8210 to 9289🔥🔥🔥🔥

13% done till now 🚀🚀🚀🚀

Fresh buy above 9300 or else wait for some consolidation and then Buy😊

[THE STAG TRADER @THESTAGRAMEEZ]

CRUDE OIL falling with lots of RSI Divergence on 5 mins to hourly TF

CMP 8210 June Expiry

#crudeoil #crude #nifty #banknifty

[THE STAG TRADER @THESTAGRAMEEZ]

INDIA GOVT MAY REVIEW LTCG, OTHER RELIEF MEASURES FOR FPIS: REDBOXGLOBAL EXCLUSIVE

Dekh lena yeh fake news niklegi aage jaakr ✌️

[THE STAG TRADER @THESTAGRAMEEZ]

Ek aur din ek aur news

#nifty #banknifty #gold

[THE STAG TRADER @THESTAGRAMEEZ]

Everyone: "Gap is filled. Market is bullish now." 🚀

Me: Gap is NOT filled yet.

Both NIFTY and BANKNIFTY still have pending gaps below. Until those gaps are filled, I won't rule out another leg down.

Most traders see what's visible on the chart. Very few focus on what's still unfinished.

📌 Unfilled gaps act like magnets. 📌 Don't get carried away by a few green candles. 📌 Let the market complete its business first.

My view remains the same: Market can revisit lower levels before the next meaningful upmove.

Note - View is Positional and not Intraday ✌️

#NIFTY #BANKNIFTY #StockMarket #Trading #MarketAnalysis

[THE STAG TRADER @THESTAGRAMEEZ]

Before thinking about making money from the market, learn how the market actually works.

There is nothing more valuable than market education.

I know it's a cliché line, but it's true:

The market doesn't owe you profits.

The market rewards knowledge, discipline, and experience.

Without learning, you're simply donating money to those who have learned.

Most importantly, stop comparing your trading journey with others.

Social media is filled with people posting selective profits, edited lifestyles, and unrealistic expectations. Many of the influencers you admire today won't show you their losses, mistakes, or failed trades.

Focus on your own growth.
Learn every day.
Protect your capital.
Stay consistent.

The goal is not to become rich overnight.
The goal is to survive long enough to become profitable.

🎯 Learn First. Earn Later.

[THE STAG TRADER @THESTAGRAMEEZ]

@MilanSopariwala Thanks a lot ❤️❤️❤️

[THE STAG TRADER @THESTAGRAMEEZ]

Hmmmmm

Bottom lag gaya kya ?

Batao batao😊

#nifty

[THE STAG TRADER @THESTAGRAMEEZ]

Bottom abhi tak laga nahi hai

That's the tweet ✌️

#nifty #banknifty

[THE STAG TRADER @THESTAGRAMEEZ]

@anwar_moha16260 Thank you so much 😊

[THE STAG TRADER @THESTAGRAMEEZ]

If's and but's par trading aur analysis nahi hoti hai

Tukka maara jaata hai. Jo 99% retailers maarte hai ✌️

[Ashish Rawat @ashishrawat345]

@THESTAGRAMEEZ Market ne mauka diya tha aaj positional short waalo ko nikalne ka sayad ab market kya pata 24k ki taraf jaye jo box range thi wo break nahi hui 23275 ki

[THE STAG TRADER @THESTAGRAMEEZ]

@GAshishanand Thank you so much 🙏

[THE STAG TRADER @THESTAGRAMEEZ]

Bottom abhi tak laga nahi hai

That's the tweet ✌️

#nifty #banknifty

[THE STAG TRADER @THESTAGRAMEEZ]

🚨 Bitcoin Update: Green Line Target Achieved ✅

As discussed earlier, the green-line target has been successfully completed, and price reacted exactly from the projected zone.

Now the focus shifts to the major trendline support. This is the level bulls must defend.

📌 What happens next?

➡️ As long as Bitcoin holds above the rising trendline, a relief bounce can happen anytime.

➡️ However, a daily close below the trendline will activate the yellow-line target and indicate further downside pressure.

📉 In that scenario, the next positional target comes around the $60,000 zone.

⚠️ Traders should understand that markets don't move in a straight line. There can be short-term pullbacks and relief rallies, but the bigger structure starts turning weak once key supports are lost.

🎯 My positional view:

Green target ✅ Done
Trendline support under observation 👀
Daily close below trendline = Yellow target activated 📉
$60K zone becomes the next important destination

Risk management is more important than predictions. Let the market confirm the breakdown before becoming aggressively bearish.

#Bitcoin #BTC #Crypto #BitcoinAnalysis #CryptoTrading #TechnicalAnalysis #BTCUSD #TradingView #CryptoMarket #MarketAnalysis #PriceAction #TheStagTrader 🦌📊

[THE STAG TRADER @THESTAGRAMEEZ]

Bitcoin Target Done of second scenario after activation.

#Bitcoin is at a crucial point right now 👀As long as price stays below the upper trendline, the probability of a deeper correction remains open 📉Possible scenarios:

🟢 Bounce from lower channel support
🟠 Deeper correction toward lower levels
🔴 Full bearish breakdown if panic selling starts

But one thing is clear, this bearish setup gets invalidated on a decisive breakout above the upper trendline 🚀Bulls need a strong breakout confirmation, otherwise volatility ahead ⚠️

#BTC #Crypto #BitcoinAnalysis #TradingView #BTCUSDT #CryptoTrading #PriceAction #TechnicalAnalysis

[THE STAG TRADER @THESTAGRAMEEZ]

Har din aao har din bolo correction khatam

Wave 2 Correction Hawa main khatam nahi hote hai 😃

Jab tak tumlog correction over bolte rahoge market ek aur low lagata rahega ❤️

[THE STAG TRADER @THESTAGRAMEEZ]

If Nifty and Bank Nifty fail to give 2 consecutive daily green closes above 23,600 and 54,000 respectively, then I am expecting Nifty to head towards 23,000 and Bank Nifty towards 52,800 by this Friday or, at the latest, next Tuesday.

The market has already broken important short-term structures. Bulls now need to prove their strength with sustained closes above key levels. Until then, I remain cautious and maintain a bearish bias.

Let's see what the market decides. 📉

#Nifty #BankNifty #StockMarketIndia #Trading #Investing #PriceAction #ElliottWave #MarketAnalysis #NSE #TheStagTrader

[THE STAG TRADER @THESTAGRAMEEZ]

Yes there is a very thin line between confidence and overconfidence.

You have been screaming "sirf tezi hi aayegi" for almost the last one year, and today you're calling me overconfident?

The reality is that what I was saying is gradually playing out, while you keep changing your Elliott Wave counts after every major move.

I don't want to disrespect you, but before teaching Elliott Wave to thousands of students, spend more time mastering it yourself. A teacher carries a huge responsibility. Every stream needs good educators, but spreading incorrect interpretations can mislead many traders and investors.

Everyone can be wrong in the market. I have been wrong many times myself, and there is nothing wrong with that. What is not acceptable is being wrong and then becoming even more arrogant and overconfident instead of accepting the mistake and learning from it.

The market humbles everyone eventually.

Also, from what I know, you don't actively trade either. Teaching is one thing, but market experience is another.

No hard feelings. Keep learning, keep improving, and please stop acting like a God in the stock market.

Nobody is bigger than the market.

[THE STAG TRADER @THESTAGRAMEEZ]

10% up 🚀🚀🚀🚀🚀

More to come ❤️

#crudeoil

[THE STAG TRADER @THESTAGRAMEEZ]

CRUDE OIL falling with lots of RSI Divergence on 5 mins to hourly TF

CMP 8210 June Expiry

#crudeoil #crude #nifty #banknifty