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Let's consider the bounce #BTC in more detail πͺ
On the 1 day and 1 week timeframes, we do not see clear candle structures or strong levels. So let's switch to 4 hours.
π― The local growth structure is represented by a series of candles, most of which look rather weak.
π Also, during the movement, there is no large volume. On average, it is lower than it was during the decline.
Besides these two facts and the appearance of a new level at around ~$88,600, there is nothing to say about the chart. No clear arguments for growth - nothing.
Regarding a clear bounce or recovery, we cannot say anything. It is not worth hoping for such a scenario now without solid arguments βοΈ.
The "fear and greed" indicator is at 10 points
Panic persists in the market; this indicator points to "extreme fear" among investors who are panicking and exiting the market. I believe the bull cycle is over.
The psychological component is one of the main things in trading that I have told you about more than once; you should remain calm in such situations and continue to keep your composure.
Nothing terrible has happened yet, so you can safely hold your assets and wait for the market to turn around without succumbing to the negative sentiment of the majority.
It is precisely during such periods that market rebounds often occur, and while many exit the market, you will be profiting from your positions.
π³ Michael Saylor: Bitcoin is a volatile asset, with an investment horizon of 4 to 10 yearsβ¦
If Bitcoin grew by 2% per month, it would be of little interest to most people.
BTC volatility is Satoshi's gift. A disadvantage is an advantage.
Previously:
- averaged in 2022
π #ZEC Another anomaly on Hyperliquidβ¦
β₯ Several large traders at once (or one through a bunch of accounts) held a combined short on ZEC with 12x leverage for $70,000,000+.
β₯ For about 2 days these SHORT positions were on the verge of liquidation (4-5% from the ZEC price) β the market ignored this time bomb. Liquidity for ZEC on Hyperliquid is practically dead.
β₯ As soon as Zcash rose a little β a chain reaction began. Margin call on the first wallet β the system started closing the position β ZEC price rose β other short sellers came under pressure β a classic liquidation cascade started.
β₯ The volume of liquidations exceeded $25,000,000 β the Hyperliquid liquidity system (HLP) began actively closing shorts, locking in profits on the sharp price movement.
β₯ HLP profit = about $600,000 in a day, and the ZEC price on Hyperliquid jumped almost 9%, breaking away from other exchanges.
β₯ The crypto community is already starting to debate β is this another manipulation or not.
Wallets: 1, 2, 3, 4
Previously:
- manipulations with POPCAT
- manipulations with JELLYJELLY
- short squeeze on XPL
12 spot Bitcoin ETFs in the US recorded outflows in the last session
Net outflow was nearly $1 billion β the second largest daily outflow since launch.
Over the past month, the total outflow was about $4 billion, while BTC retraced roughly 30%.
Meanwhile, the market situation has slightly improved, the decline has stopped, and BTC is actively trying to regain the 85,000$ area, but it is unlikely to happen over the weekend.
I remain bullish, so I expect the market recovery to continue with the start of the workweek, but I also allow for further drawdowns, which are also possible.
BTC at $120k β buying
BTC at $82k β selling
And so for several rounds ππ
Funny, but that's exactly what's happening now
There is fear in the market, another cyclical phase, which for many seems supernatural and is perceived as something new and unclear
In fact, if you opened all trades both on spot and futures according to system and risk management
For you, basically, nothing has changed
Neither your mood nor your market results. Ideally, this should be the same capital growth as, for example, in November β December last year
At the peak of euphoria π€
Now I want to show what we did yesterday. How the system and advanced trading skill work over time, when it's tough ππ»
π³ Whales that crashed the market have started to get active again!
While traders draw charts and try to guess where Bitcoin will go, big players have already decided everything for them!
That's why it's worth following the channel "Butterfly Effect". The author analyzes whale actions around the clock and warns of any activity in advance!
βπ»Such channels are rare, so subscribe:
https://t.co/xxWjwD7Yso
By 2028, ETH and BTC will be hacked through quantum computers - Vitalik Buterin.
Innovations should move to L2, and L1 will turn into the most stable layer of settlement and security. The early "spirit of experiments" disappears β the industry has been swallowed by memecoins and copying success.
Elliptic curves (a special type of mathematical functions used in cryptography) will die, and quantum computers may break current cryptography before the 2028 US elections. Ethereum has 4 years to switch to quantum-resistant protection.
I have already spoken on this topic, but I will repeat once again - I donβt see this as a problem because protection methods already exist - they just need to be implemented. So thereβs no need to spread panic.
πCloudflare Outage Revealed How Centralized Web3 Is
The massive Cloudflare outage on November 18 caused disruptions in major crypto exchanges and DeFi protocols. It turned out that even "decentralized" projects heavily depend on centralized internet infrastructure.
β οΈ The outage was caused by a database configuration error and was the largest for Cloudflare since 2019. It affected the company's key services β CDN, security, authentication, and even access to the control panel. The problems lasted several hours, and HTTP errors massively crashed applications worldwide.
β‘Malaysian energy company lost over $1 billion due to crypto miners
Malaysia's national energy company Tenaga Nasional (TNB) reported that since 2020, illegal cryptocurrency mining has led to losses exceeding $1 billion. During this period, nearly 14,000 sites were identified where electricity was used bypassing meters.
Authorities note that bypassing equipment and tampering with electrical networks is illegal. During joint operations, TNB and law enforcement seized numerous Bitcoin mining rigs.
π‘To combat electricity theft, the company is creating a database of suspicious sites and installing smart meters to monitor energy consumption and detect manipulations in real time.
Gold continues to dominate over BTC.
Since the beginning of the year, gold has increased in price by 53%. Meanwhile, Bitcoin has decreased by 2.3%, and Ethereum and Solana have fallen by 8.1% and 27.1% respectively. Since October 6, the crypto market has lost $1,200,000,000,000 in market capitalization.
We see a clear trend towards more stable assets, however, I believe this will soon change. Crypto has all the tools for further growth, whereas gold is already heavily overbought and its potential is extremely limited.
Gold has been in a bull cycle for over 8 years and it is time for a gradual decline. I expect liquidity to flow from gold into high-risk assets, including crypto.
Sideways market in 2025.
The year 2025 is truly unique for the market - we did not have a multiple growth or a multiple drop, but essentially stood in a sideways market all year, even despite new ATHs. BTC, having fallen 35% from its peak in October, is trading at roughly the same levels as it started the year 2025.
This strongly disrupts potential cycles, as we usually have either a year of decline or a year of strong growth. It is quite likely that the potential cycle structure needs to be reconsidered.
There are many reasons - ranging from ETFs and centralization to gradual regulation and increased interest in the asset worldwide.
πͺ #BTC went below all supports
So, the story with the bullish wedge formation on the daily chart is completely collapsing. Both support trend lines that I marked for you have been broken downwards. This also applies to the horizontal levels of the summer movement.
π The coin is descending into the liquidity cluster zone that I marked on November 14. We do not see any clear reaction from here yet, but it may follow.
By the way, the indicators look quite good. RSI has gone into oversold on the daily chart. EMA crossed in a Death Cross, after which a rebound usually occurs.
In general, there is a chance for a rebound, but I do not see arguments for a reversal yet. What is, is βοΈ.
Friends, you often ask why the crypto market sometimes moves in sync with the stock market, and other times it completely trades on its own terms. Let's break down this point briefly and to the pointπ₯
Crypto really does correlate with stocks β during moments of overall "risk sentiment." When macro data is good, funds buy both stocks and bitcoin π‘ When fear rises β they unload everything indiscriminately. But this connection is unstable: crypto has its own drivers β halving, ETFs, on-chain metrics, liquidity. Because of this, the market can move against stocks or react faster.
The main difference is in the participant structure. Institutional investors dominate stocks, making the market calmer and more predictable. In crypto, there are many retail investors, big players manipulate more strongly, and any news can sharply move the price. Volatility is also different: what is a shock for stocks is a normal day for crypto.
And the fundamentals are different: stocks are valued based on business, while crypto is valued on tokenomics, network activity, on-chain data, and project events. Therefore, the mechanics of movement are completely different.
In short: crypto is faster, sharper, and more chaotic β¨ The stock market is more stable and logical. They only correlate at the level of global risk appetite.
πͺ Miners have mined 95% of the total Bitcoin supply β yesterday the volume of mined coins exceeded 19.95 million BTC out of the 21 million limit programmed by Satoshi Nakamoto.
Emission slows down with each halving: after April 2024, the block reward decreased from 6.25 to 3.125 BTC, and now miners produce about 450 BTC per day instead of the previous 900.
Although the majority of coins are already in circulation, the last 5% will be mined slowly β until 2140, and Bitcoin is gradually transitioning to an economy where user fees play a key role in supporting the hashrate and network security, with mining difficulty at a historic high of 152.27 T.
π A whale sold 31,005 #ETH ($92.19M) 6 hours ago, incurring a loss of $18.8M in just 2 weeks.
He bought ETH on the dip from November 3 to 10, purchasing 30,838 ETH ($110.43M) at an average price of $3,581.
CoinMarketCap has launched the CMC20 token.
CoinMarketCap has launched the CMC20 token, which will be tied to the rate of a basket of the 20 largest cryptocurrencies. Rumors about this have been circulating for a long time, and overall it is quite an interesting solution. If you don't want to take a single asset, you can take an averaged top 20.
However, my opinion is that it is better to buy a single asset so that the others don't drag you down during a complete decoupling from BTC, which will happen; it's just a matter of time.
At the current market moment, this is an interesting solution when dominance is around 60%, but still, I will avoid it and do not recommend it.
π³ Mastercard implements verified usernames in crypto wallets on Polygon - release
Whatβs changing:
β’ The Crypto Credential system (Mastercard crypto service) adds convenient short wallet names tied to a verified person.
β’ Mercuryo checks the identity and gives out these usernames, and the user binds them to his wallet.
β’ A token is issued in the Polygon network, which displays that the wallet supports such transfers.
Why do we need it:
β’ Reduce errors when entering the address.
β’ To simplify life for beginners.
β’ Add a layer of trust and verification to online tools.
Mercuryo is a fintech company that provides payment services and infrastructure for working with cryptocurrency.