First Basket Bets

Posting daily (W)NBA first basket data/plays | @ThePlayBookBets 📒

[First Basket Bets @TPB_FirstBasket]

2026 WNBA Season Recap 📒

Overall Model Calibration: 17,290 projections, 0.78% ECE 📊

Automated Play Alerts (1u each): +12.9u, 26.88% ROI 📈

https://t.co/InoLBFHVlG

[First Basket Bets @TPB_FirstBasket]

TPB algorithm projections:

Fair odds: +667
Expected value: +0.04 📈

[First Basket Bets @TPB_FirstBasket]

Today’s play 🏀

Wendell Carter Jr. +700 (FD) 🟦

WCJ should win the tip here, and has score the first game basket in 2/4 starts with this ORL lineup 👀

https://t.co/InoLBFHVlG 📒

[First Basket Bets @TPB_FirstBasket]

@jbriantb 🫡🤝

[First Basket Bets @TPB_FirstBasket]

Tip-off projections 11-11 📒

[First Basket Bets @TPB_FirstBasket]

Bailey ✅
Lopez ❌

1/2 today. Back again tomorrow 🤝

[First Basket Bets @TPB_FirstBasket]

First basket lotto 🎟️

$5 -> $1,330.00 💰

Both Bailey and Lopez have taken first team FGA in 33% of their starts this season. Projections for each leg included in the replies ⬇️👀

More data/projections at https://t.co/InoLBFHVlG

[First Basket Bets @TPB_FirstBasket]

@Mattdaddy444 It’s all about the value in the line, not just the most likely player to score first

[First Basket Bets @TPB_FirstBasket]

First basket lotto 🎟️

$5 -> $1,330.00 💰

Both Bailey and Lopez have taken first team FGA in 33% of their starts this season. Projections for each leg included in the replies ⬇️👀

More data/projections at https://t.co/InoLBFHVlG

[First Basket Bets @TPB_FirstBasket]

Brook Lopez - Other:

TPB fair odds: +1588
Expected value: +0.66 📈

[First Basket Bets @TPB_FirstBasket]

Ace Bailey:

TPB fair odds: +779
Expected value: +0.08 📈

[First Basket Bets @TPB_FirstBasket]

Tip-off projections 11-10 📒

https://t.co/InoLBFHVlG

[Touchdown Bets @TPB_Touchdowns]

James Cook - First TD +550 (MGM) 🟫

TPB fair odds: +336
Expected value: +0.49 📈

https://t.co/ICI6Sp31sP

[First Basket Bets @TPB_FirstBasket]

Andrew Nembhard:

TPB fair odds: +556
Expected value: +0.30 📈

[First Basket Bets @TPB_FirstBasket]

First basket lotto 🎟️

$7.50 -> $1,147.50 💰

Our model slightly favors both DET and IND to win the tip. Robinson has taken first team FGA in 3/9 starts this season, Nembhard in 2/8 👀

https://t.co/InoLBFItbe

[First Basket Bets @TPB_FirstBasket]

Duncan Robinson - 3PFG:

TPB fair odds: +1434
Expected value: +0.17 📈

[First Basket Bets @TPB_FirstBasket]

Tip-off projections 11-9 📒

https://t.co/InoLBFItbe

[First Basket Bets @TPB_FirstBasket]

Got the first look, but missed 👎

[First Basket Bets @TPB_FirstBasket]

Today’s play 🏀

Ace Bailey +1200 (FD) 🟦

Great value in Bailey at this line. Tip could go either way here, and he’s taken first team FGA in 33% of his starts this and last season 👀

https://t.co/InoLBFHVlG 📒

[First Basket Bets @TPB_FirstBasket]

Today’s play 🏀

Ace Bailey +1200 (FD) 🟦

Great value in Bailey at this line. Tip could go either way here, and he’s taken first team FGA in 33% of his starts this and last season 👀

https://t.co/InoLBFHVlG 📒

[Touchdown Bets @TPB_Touchdowns]

First TD lotto 🎟️

$25 -> $2,168.75 💰

Expecting both DET and BUF to score first. Our algorithm projects really good value in both of these lines 📈

https://t.co/ICI6Sp2tDh

[First Basket Bets @TPB_FirstBasket]

Tip-off projections 11-8 🏀

https://t.co/InoLBFItbe 📒

[First Basket Bets @TPB_FirstBasket]

Tip-off projections 11-7 🏀

https://t.co/InoLBFHVlG 📒