surjit tarafdar

[Bill Gates @BillGates]

They say the eyes are the windows to the soul, but they could also be the key to unlocking early info on cognitive disorders like Alzheimer's. https://t.co/7KHfLR6sN6

[surjit tarafdar @TSurjit]

@business The average life expectancy in Australia is six years more than China- so we are going to get more of our older folks infected.
And this applies to most of the developed nations.

[surjit tarafdar @TSurjit]

@business While most of the world is trying to contain the virus, most of us are missing out that it is the elderly who are doing very poorly if infected and are unintentionally consuming most of the health resources. We need to urgently segregate the <60 and > 60 for the next few months

[surjit tarafdar @TSurjit]

@business The Indian state of Delhi which has a population almost near the Australian population has been able to successfully implement the odd/even car rationing to control pollution.

[surjit tarafdar @TSurjit]

@business This is what we need-
1. Odd/even days for <60 and > 60-year-old in the shopping malls.
2. Separate bus/train compartments for > and < 60

[surjit tarafdar @TSurjit]

@business In Australia we will bring down the anticipated 7072 mortality in the 40 to 59-year-olds, but we need to bring down the anticipated mortality of 34272 in the 60+ age group. This will massively reduce the burden on health resources and save us socially and economically

[surjit tarafdar @TSurjit]

@business Conclusion: mortality for 60+ age group is 5 times more than the 40 to 59 years old age group ( 34272 vs 7072) though the positivity in the 60+ group is one/third ( 33.46%) of the 40 to 59 years old age group (139200 vs 416000)

[surjit tarafdar @TSurjit]

@business If 1000000 Australians get infected and we apply China statistics on them

40 -59 years group infected = 416000
Mortality = 7072
60 to 69 years group infected = 192000
Mortality = 6912
> 70 years old infected =120000
> 70 years old mortality = 27360
Mortality 60+ age =34272

[surjit tarafdar @TSurjit]

@business https://t.co/uBKg8J65t1
BREAKDOWN of 44672 patients positive in China on 11/2/20 by age group
40 to 49 years old- 19.2%
50 to 59 years old- 22.4%
60 to 69 years old- 19.2%
70 to 79 years old- 8.8%
>80 years old- 3.2

[surjit tarafdar @TSurjit]

@business COVID data from China
https://t.co/8R1WldfXgy
Mortality rates in those positive
40-49 years old - 0.4%
50-59 years old - 1.3%
60-69 years old - 3.6%
70 to 79 years old - 8%
80+ years old -14.8%

[surjit tarafdar @TSurjit]

@business The mortality rates for > 80 are significantly higher as per the Chinese data. While 40-50 years old made up 20% of the total infected and >80 made 3%, mortality rates were 0.4% and 15% respectively. No other country apart from China has released death rates age-wise so far

[surjit tarafdar @TSurjit]

As per A/ProfGreg Fox from the RPA Hospital, Sydney, the following are the estimates regarding the severity of illness projected for the Sydney Local Health District population -

ICU beds - 10125 for >60 years of age and 1459 for <60 years
Deaths - 4892 for >60 and 464 for <60

[surjit tarafdar @TSurjit]

WE NEED TO DO -
1. Odd/even days for <60 and > 60 year old in the shopping malls.
2. Separate bus and train compartments for > and < 60
3. If we visit our elderly , stay 2 m away at all times.

[surjit tarafdar @TSurjit]

@RawalShonali hello ji hellos

[surjit tarafdar @TSurjit]

@drarijitc
panchhi??

[surjit tarafdar @TSurjit]

What is happening

[surjit tarafdar @TSurjit]

@drarijitc
I the loves your sunglass