Tim

Ex-Financial Analyst | Value investor documenting my personal investing journey & sharing insights on markets, fundamentals, & the economy | Slovenia 🇸🇮 |

[Tim @TT_Capital_]

@tillythegirl Tariffs could start hitting forward margins, while AI remains a key growth driver. Not as concerned with Q2 beats or misses — the outlook will tell the real story.

[Tim @TT_Capital_]

Q2 earnings season kicks off next week.

Here’s when the biggest names report:

• $JPM – Jul 15
• $NFLX – Jul 17
• $TSLA – Jul 23
• $MSFT, $GOOGL, $META – Jul 30
• $AAPL, $AMZN – Jul 31
• $XOM, $CVX – Aug 1

Expect volatility. Guidance will matter more than beats.

[Tim @TT_Capital_]

Trump has issued a major round of tariffs this week on multiple countries, to take effect on August 1 if no deal is reached:

🇪🇺 EU – 30%
🇿🇦 South Africa – 30%
🇰🇷 South Korea – 25%
🇯🇵 Japan – 25%
🇧🇩 Bangladesh – 35%
🇰🇿 Kazakhstan – 25%
🇵🇭 Philippines – 20%
🇰🇭 Cambodia – 36%
🇮🇩 Indonesia – 32%
🇲🇲 Myanmar – 40%
🇱🇰 Sri Lanka – 30%
🇲🇾 Malaysia – 25%
🇹🇭 Thailand – 36%
🇲🇩 Moldova – 25%
🇨🇦 Canada – 35%
🇲🇽 Mexico – 30%
🇧🇦 Bosnia – 30%
🇩🇿 Algeria – 30%
🇹🇳 Tunisia – 25%
🇧🇳 Brunei – 25%
🇷🇸 Serbia – 35%
🇧🇷 Brazil – 50%
🇱🇾 Libya – 30%
🇱🇦 Laos – 40%
🇮🇶 Iraq – 30%

This is part of Trump’s escalating global trade push — hitting allies across continents with steep tariffs if no reciprocal deal is secured.

🔗 https://t.co/4zjwWEgO7T

[Tim @TT_Capital_]

President Trump announces 30% tariffs on imports from the EU and Mexico, effective August 1, citing trade deficits and fentanyl concerns.

This move escalates his global trade push—similar tariffs already slapped on Japan, South Korea, Canada, and Brazil.

🔗 https://t.co/2LfXFR3rSd

[Tim @TT_Capital_]

Linda Yaccarino is stepping down as CEO of X.

Handpicked by Elon Musk in 2023, Yaccarino joined to spearhead X’s transformation from Twitter into a broader platform. Her departure follows a pivotal two-year run where she focused on ads, free speech, and operational overhaul.

No successor named — the next leadership move will be closely watched.

🔗 https://t.co/ICGfBMaHbM

[Tim @TT_Capital_]

$CVNA (Carvana) has surged over +3,000% from its lows.

One of the most dramatic turnarounds in recent market history—but the business is still unprofitable, heavily indebted, and faces ongoing cash flow pressure.

Valuation now assumes a near-perfect recovery.

[Tim @TT_Capital_]

Apple’s top AI models executive leaves for Meta’s “superintelligence” team — a key loss for Apple’s struggling AI push.

Another major win for $META as it continues its talent spree across OpenAI, Google, and now Apple.

📎 https://t.co/benwdGtbwD

[Tim @TT_Capital_]

Elon Musk has filed to form the America Party (AMEP) with the FEC.

Filed on July 6, marking the beginning of Musk’s long-signaled push against the two-party system. While not an authorized campaign, the filing lays the legal groundwork for political activity and public messaging under a new banner.

📄 https://t.co/VR07oFBbuU

[Tim @TT_Capital_]

JUST IN: US House passes initial vote on Trump’s “One Big Beautiful Bill”

Key provisions:
– Extends Trump-era tax cuts
– Increases defense and border funding
– Cuts green energy programs and Medicaid
– Sets up final vote before July 4

Major step forward for the $3.3T GOP agenda.

🔗 https://t.co/auKXXVPrc6

[Tim @TT_Capital_]

Annual compensation breakdown:

• $UBER CEO Dara Khosrowshahi: $39.4M
• $AAPL CEO Tim Cook: $74.6M
• $MSFT CEO Satya Nadella: $79.1M
• $META AI researcher (top-tier): up to $100M total compensation

Meta is offering private equity-style packages to lure elite AI talent — including multi-year stock awards, bonuses & base pay.

AI researchers are now out-earning Big Tech CEOs.

🔗 https://t.co/IgDckGGQAj

[Tim @TT_Capital_]

Figma has confidentially filed for a U.S. IPO, per Reuters.

The $20B Adobe deal was blocked last year — now Figma aims to go public independently.

🔗 https://t.co/gEmrVKz3WJ

[Tim @TT_Capital_]

@DeItaone The bill passed.

[Tim @TT_Capital_]

JUST IN: 🇺🇸 Senate passes Trump’s “One Big Beautiful Bill” — a sweeping $3.3 trillion package featuring permanent tax cuts, boosted defense & border funding, Medicaid reductions, and an AI moratorium. Deficit balloons by trillions.

🔗 https://t.co/iUzWjedKms

[Tim @TT_Capital_]

$META CEO Mark Zuckerberg has introduced the company’s new Meta Superintelligence Labs to staff, per an internal memo obtained by WIRED.

The memo lists top-tier hires—Alexandr Wang (Scale AI), Nat Friedman (GitHub), and several former OpenAI, Google & Anthropic researchers—signaling a major AI push.

This move consolidates Meta’s AI talent under one roof and reinforces its ambition to build cutting-edge “superintelligence.”

🔗 https://t.co/xeBqnFLVkm

[Tim @TT_Capital_]

Canada’s economy contracted 0.1% in April, with early data pointing to another drop in May.

That would mark a second straight quarterly contraction — raising recession risks and boosting odds of a Bank of Canada rate cut.

🔗 https://t.co/YotmEFpOx5

[Tim @TT_Capital_]

$TSLA down ~5–6% premarket amid renewed clash between Elon Musk and President Trump.

Trump criticized Musk for benefiting from EV subsidies and threatened cuts to contracts. Musk fired back over spending bill—reigniting their feud.

This spat adds fuel to Tesla’s downturn: shares have shed over 20% YTD, amid political pressures and key Q2 delivery data upcoming .

🔗 https://t.co/IGAeXgy49i

[Tim @TT_Capital_]

$MSFT just unveiled an AI medical tool—claiming 4x better diagnostic accuracy than human doctors, per Yahoo Finance.

Their AI Diagnostic Orchestrator hit 85% accuracy on tough NEJM cases, compared to 20% for experienced physicians. Still early days, but Microsoft is eyeing integration with Copilot and Bing for health queries.

🔗 https://t.co/NbPna0wWAM

[Tim @TT_Capital_]

$AAPL is fallin behind a lot in the AI race, they desperately need to catch up!

[Brew Markets @brewmarkets]

JUST IN: Apple is considering using AI models from OpenAI or Anthropic to power Siri.

[Tim @TT_Capital_]

EU 🇪🇺 reportedly ready to accept a 10% universal tariff from 🇺🇸—but wants lower U.S. rates on pharma, alcohol, chips & planes.

Major concession ahead of Trump’s July 9 deadline.

🔗 https://t.co/tqClmBsyEm

[Tim @TT_Capital_]

President Trump sent a handwritten note to Fed Chair Jerome Powell urging immediate rate cuts.

He criticized Powell for being “too late” and demanded the U.S. rate be slashed closer to 1%, pointing to lower global rates and “no inflation.”

A direct political push on monetary policy — publicly disclosed by the White House.

🔗 https://t.co/hqLTOMf46w