The Trader Dashboard

A trading desk's own research, read by AI, before the bell. Gappers graded on their news, plans shown with their reasoning.

[The Trader Dashboard @TTradDashboard]

What The Trader Dashboard does, in two minutes.

Every session, before the open: the movers graded on their news, the trade plans with the reasoning shown, earnings behaviour per name, the dark-pool tape and the macro read.

https://t.co/jDhPWeKlcf

[The Trader Dashboard @TTradDashboard]

$QQQ broke its old all-time high of 748.65 on 2 Oct, ran to 762.86, and is back below it today.

Does a failed breakout mean a sell-off? 19 cases since 2011:
• 20 days later: median +0.83%, lower 7 of 19
• A 5%+ fall within 20 days: 21% of the time, vs 29% on any day
• The ones that broke: Jul '15, Mar '18, Apr '21, Feb '25 (-13%)

A coin flip that leans up. Watch for a CLOSE below 748.65 and SPY breaking with it.

$SPY $QQQ $IWM $SPX
Not investment advice.

More reads at https://t.co/PtBelcNjQQ

[The Trader Dashboard @TTradDashboard]

$ORCL news impact: OpenAI's run rate is ~$50B, not the ~$70B reported earlier, and Oracle may truck gas to its New Mexico site while the Green Chile pipeline slips to Feb '27.

Net read: bearish tilt. Demand is real; timing and funding are the question.

Stocks to watch: $CRWV $ORCL $SFTBY $AMD $AVGO $NVDA

Not investment advice.

More reads at https://t.co/PtBelcNjQQ

[The Trader Dashboard @TTradDashboard]

30-Year Bond Auction: Bearish for stocks 🔴

• 30-Year Bond Auction: 5.618% (prev 5.308%)

30Y stopped at 5.618% vs 5.308% prior, a 31bp jump that pressures equity multiples; with no WI/tail data, auction demand itself can't be judged.

$SPY $QQQ $IWM $SPX
Impact 3/10

More reads at https://t.co/PtBelcNjQQ

[The Trader Dashboard @TTradDashboard]

$ORCL news scorecard 🧵

1️⃣ OpenAI ARR ~$50B vs ~$70B earlier reports. Biggest backlog counterparty, ~30% shortfall → 7/10 negative
2️⃣ Trucking gas to NM site as pipeline slips to Feb '27 → 5/10 negative

Demand real. Timing + funding are the risk.

Net: bearish tilt

[The Trader Dashboard @TTradDashboard]

$PEP cut FY26 core EPS growth guidance to 2.5%-3.5% from the low end of 5%-7%; Q3 core EPS $2.34, up 2% from $2.29.

Revenue rose 5.6% to $25.27B, but core operating profit grew 3% and North America foods profit fell 12%. The ~6% sales guide leans on FX and deals; the EPS cut changes the year.

More reads at https://t.co/PtBelcNjQQ

[The Trader Dashboard @TTradDashboard]

$TSM TSMC September 2026 monthly revenue report — Today (expected date)

MOVED from 2026-10-09 to 2026-10-08: TSMC 6-K dated Oct 8, 2026: September revenue already released, NT$511.86B, -0.6% MoM, +54.6% YoY Last monthly print before Q3 results; tests Q3 guide of $44.6-45.8B. Date inferred: Oct 10 is a Taiwan holiday, so 2025 release came Oct 9.
Event grade 5/10 · Deliveries

More reads at https://t.co/PtBelcNjQQ

[The Trader Dashboard @TTradDashboard]

🗓️ Watchlist company events · next 5 days · Thu Oct 8

Today:
• $TSM deliveries (exp.)
Tomorrow:
• $QCOM Qualcomm v. Arm jury trial in Delaware (exp.)
Tue Oct 13:
• $WDAY Investor Day 17:00
• $BA deliveries (exp.)

More reads at https://t.co/YUqR9AacxQ

[The Trader Dashboard @TTradDashboard]

$PEP results: Q3 FY26 · before the open, Oct 8

Core EPS $2.34 (vs ~$2.30 est)
Revenue $25.27B (vs ~$25.0B est)
FY26 core EPS guide +2.5-3.5% (~$8.3 (vs ~$8.55-8.64 prior/est)
Core op margin 16.9% (vs 17.3% yr ago (-35bps))

Our read: 7/10, negative. Fair value $128-140.

Positives:
+ Organic revenue accelerated to +3.1%, volume positive in foods and drinks
+ International strong: EMEA +9%, APAC +9%, IB Franchise +7% organic
Negatives:
- FY26 core EPS growth cut to +2.5-3.5% from low end of 5-7%
- PFNA core op profit -12% as price cuts offset volume

Data, not advice.

[The Trader Dashboard @TTradDashboard]

Initial Jobless Claims: Neutral for stocks ⚪

• Initial Jobless Claims: 197K vs 200K exp (prev 199K)

Claims 197K vs 200K forecast and 199K prior: a marginal beat that shows a still-tight labor market but does nothing to shift rate-cut odds.

$SPY $QQQ $IWM $SPX
Impact 2/10

More reads at https://t.co/PtBelcNjQQ

[The Trader Dashboard @TTradDashboard]

US market crash barometer · Thu Oct 08
38.5/100 — elevated

Expensive, but nothing is breaking.
Vulnerability 85 (high) · Trigger 20 (low)
6 pre-crash · 2 elevated · 11 benign gauges

$SPY $QQQ $IWM $SPX

More reads at https://t.co/YUqR9AaKno

[The Trader Dashboard @TTradDashboard]

Pentagon reportedly readies strikes on Iranian nuclear and energy targets as nuclear talks stall.

$USO LONG · 55
$XLE LONG · 40
$LMT LONG · 30

More reads at https://t.co/YUqR9AaKno

[The Trader Dashboard @TTradDashboard]

Trade plans for Thu Oct 8

$PLTR $SPOT $IREN $MSTR $CAT $NBIS

Levels on the card. Plans, not advice.

More reads at https://t.co/YUqR9AacxQ

[The Trader Dashboard @TTradDashboard]

$USO United States Oil Fund climbs as crude jumps on reports of US Iran operations; Hormuz shipping attacks add to supply fears

WTI up ~2.8% near $90.8, Brent ~$103. The bid rests on unconfirmed military headlines, with falling US inventories the only physical support. Day-2 follow-through needs confirmation; fade risk rises if WTI loses $90.

Read-through:
$OXY bullish: Upstream-heavy producer; realized prices track WTI
$XOM bullish: Upstream earnings rise with Brent and WTI prices
$DAL bearish: Jet fuel is a top cost line and moves with crude
Catalyst grade 6/10 · Move +3.9%

[The Trader Dashboard @TTradDashboard]

$PEP reports before the open today — Q3 FY26 results

Can an easy comp and better snack volumes lift PEP off its lows without another cut to the outlook?

EPS est $2.30 · Rev est $24.97B · Options price ±3.3%

What to watch:
• Core EPS vs $2.30; beat 3 of last 4, Q2 missed by a penny
• Revenue vs $24.97B; organic growth vs a soft +1.3% Q3 2025 comp

Options flow: calls 48% of premium ($411K vs $449K puts); P/C volume 1.05; big-money positioning net -$1.4M
Last 10 reports: beat EPS 8/10, stock up 6 / down 4, avg move ±3.7% vs ±3.3% priced.

Data, not advice.

[The Trader Dashboard @TTradDashboard]

$DAL reports before the open today — Q3 FY26 results

Can Delta's fare gains keep outrunning fuel enough to hold its $6.50-$7.50 full-year EPS guide?

EPS est $2.03 · Rev est $17.59B · Options price ±5.4%

What to watch:
• Q3 adj EPS vs $2.03 consensus; company guided $2.00-$2.50
• Revenue vs about $17.6B; guided up mid-teens year over year
• Operating margin vs 11-13% guide; fuel and non-fuel unit costs
Last 10 reports: beat EPS 8/10, stock up 5 / down 5, avg move ±6.4% vs ±5.4% priced.

Data, not advice.

More reads at https://t.co/PtBelcNjQQ

[The Trader Dashboard @TTradDashboard]

$LEVI beat Q3 EPS and raised FY26 EPS guidance to $1.54-$1.56 from $1.46-$1.52

One-off tariff refunds added $0.11 net to the $0.48, leaving core EPS near the $0.36 estimate. Revenue rose 4.3% to $1.61B, DTC missed, and FY sales growth was trimmed to about 7%. A $100M ASR is planned.

More reads at https://t.co/PtBelcNjQQ

[The Trader Dashboard @TTradDashboard]

$LEVI Q3 adj EPS $0.48 vs $0.36 est on $1.61B revenue, raises FY26 EPS guide to $1.54-1.56

$0.11 of the EPS came from one-time tariff refunds net of reinvestment; without it, roughly in line. US DTC soft, FY sales guide trimmed to ~7%. The $100M ASR is under the existing authorization, small vs ~$6.7B FY sales.

More reads at https://t.co/PtBelcNjQQ

[The Trader Dashboard @TTradDashboard]

10-Year Note Auction: Bearish for stocks 🔴

• 10-Year Note Auction: 5.300% (prev 4.834%)

10Y auction cleared at 5.300% vs 4.834% prior; a 5%+ long yield pressures valuations, but the tail vs when-issued is unknown so the surprise is unclear.

$SPY $QQQ $IWM $SPX
Impact 4/10

More reads at https://t.co/PtBelcNjQQ

[The Trader Dashboard @TTradDashboard]

$PENG fiscal Q4 sales rose 68% to $567M and it raised its FY27 outlook to about $2.43B in sales

Sales beat the roughly $513M consensus. The FY27 view sits 12% above the prior $2.17B. GAAP net income of $93M includes a $58M tax benefit, and adjusted EPS was $1.00. Operating cash flow was -$163M.

More reads at https://t.co/PtBelcNjQQ

[The Trader Dashboard @TTradDashboard]

Crude Oil Inventories: Neutral for stocks ⚪

• Crude Oil Inventories: -3.186M vs 1.900M exp (prev 0.922M)

Crude draw of -3.186M vs +1.9M build expected is bullish for oil/energy names, but EIA inventories rarely move SPX; small inflation tilt at most.

$SPY $QQQ $IWM $SPX
Impact 2/10

More reads at https://t.co/PtBelcNjQQ