mr.MonoPOLY

edge hunter | in crypto since 2021 | use macro & fundamental analysis

[mr.MonoPOLY @Tabl4me]

2 month ago I spotted a simple inefficiency in the World Cup market. 29.7% just sitting there waiting to be taken

France, Spain, England, Brazil, Portugal, Argentina, Germany cover only 70.3% of total probability

I'm already up 10% on my position before the tournament has even started!

[mr.MonoPOLY @Tabl4me]

@kober1337 One more hint - «Polymarket chain»

[mr.MonoPOLY @Tabl4me]

@DannyT1502 Kane + Olise

[mr.MonoPOLY @Tabl4me]

@ascetic0x @saylor @MicroStrategy @Polymarket @PolymarketTrade No way, he will have real problems if BTC dump to ~20K

[mr.MonoPOLY @Tabl4me]

@ThierryBorgeat What about Saylor’s sale?

[mr.MonoPOLY @Tabl4me]

@Sonika_KK Market is driven by sentiment

[mr.MonoPOLY @Tabl4me]

@BTCBeliever21 @Marko_Poly @Polymarket @PolymarketTrade What will happening with your portfolio if Polymarket will pick Yes side?

[mr.MonoPOLY @Tabl4me]

@Dashchkkk Looks stability

[mr.MonoPOLY @Tabl4me]

@saurav_tweets Spain is exactly not tier S. Change Germany and Spain places

More inaccuracies in the assessment, and therefore edges, search in my profile by the words «World Cup»

[mr.MonoPOLY @Tabl4me]

@leshuuuk Bro now is Jun, 2

[mr.MonoPOLY @Tabl4me]

Everyone in CT is debating the MicroStrategy market resolution

Accumulated Yes
Accumulated No
Stayed out market

Doesn’t matter.

Look at this market from a different angle:

1 day until the final review

Hype is at peak
Everyone is talking

2 hours ago I bought YES at 0.6c
Already up 2x

The outcome is almost irrelevant

What matters is that attention keeps flowing, traders keep rotating, and liquidity keeps moving

[mr.MonoPOLY @Tabl4me]

@llamaonthebrink That is a controversial decision

This argument, of course, supports the Yes side

But those are the market's resolution rules

I just took a strict, literal reading of the rules

[mr.MonoPOLY @Tabl4me]

I knew the resolution of the «MicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by May 31» market ahead of time

Insider? No, just a legal background

basis: the rules didn't include extra time for evidence review like other markets do

In law, if you fail to submit evidence before the deadline, the court simply won't accept it

The timeframe for any condition to be satisfied had already expired

easy 2.8x on the map

btw, 18/24 top Polymarket traders were holding 'No'

Never trade against whales

[mr.MonoPOLY @Tabl4me]

@th33m3rald3dg3 The same end date on June 30

Check another By markets. Date always the same - the end of the last bet duration

[mr.MonoPOLY @Tabl4me]

@zscdao @PositionsFi 🏃‍♂️‍➡️ - I’m running to the space after daily routine

[mr.MonoPOLY @Tabl4me]

@PositionsFi @zscdao @KyleDeWriter @_sol_moonboy @HopeAlpha_ @banan_crypto @Mi_Tion111 🔔

[mr.MonoPOLY @Tabl4me]

I knew the resolution of the «MicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by May 31» market ahead of time

Insider? No, just a legal background

basis: the rules didn't include extra time for evidence review like other markets do

In law, if you fail to submit evidence before the deadline, the court simply won't accept it

The timeframe for any condition to be satisfied had already expired

easy 2.8x on the map

btw, 18/24 top Polymarket traders were holding 'No'

Never trade against whales

[mr.MonoPOLY @Tabl4me]

@parlettodotbet I have tweet about underdogs too

[mr.MonoPOLY @Tabl4me]

2 month ago I spotted a simple inefficiency in the World Cup market. 29.7% just sitting there waiting to be taken

France, Spain, England, Brazil, Portugal, Argentina, Germany cover only 70.3% of total probability

I'm already up 10% on my position before the tournament has even started!

[mr.MonoPOLY @Tabl4me]

@KyleDeWriter @Strategy @saylor Good result on news trading

[mr.MonoPOLY @Tabl4me]

@DannyT1502 Unbelievable!

[mr.MonoPOLY @Tabl4me]

@PolyDekos I have 2 strategies founded on favorites and underdogs