3/ Rather than wasting time and money getting chopped up in a downtrend market, better to swift focus for 6 months or so
Don't marry Bitcoin
Don't marry crypto
Lots of ways to make money
Bids sitting in the low $70ks
See you in 6-12 months
Good luck and God speed
$YAL.AX
Has demanded a couple of month's patience but getting very close to re-entry
Reaccumulation from here down to the 200w MA of $5.78
Coal is going to reward believers handsomely in 2026 and 2027
$YAL.AX
Another huge wk for Yancoal:
The 80% Kestrel acquisition π₯
Delivers immediate +ve cash flow
Boosts met coal mix
And adds 4.7Mt production at an attractive 8.5x multiple
Price continues to move lower to our target zone
Bidding:
- $6.25
- 100d MA
- 200d MA
$HOOD - The battle for the 20w MA
Broader equities markets were due to let some steam off
And whilst a S/T correction is still probable, I love $HOOD for risk reward and exposure to upside
Imo the stock 2x's between now and an equity market top later this year
bitcoin:native
My base case is that we see a rally into summer now
Feb lows swept. And fresh low put in
A rally back to the 100d MA would constitute a 22% rally from the lows
Looks sensible before a final capitulation into Mid Terms
$BTC
Bitcoin is currently tracking the 2018 Mid Term Year very closely
Feb Low, Then Rally
June Low... Like we found ourselves today
In June 2018, Bitcoin put in a 45% rally in 35 days
Do we see the same again?
But ultimately the Final Low came 12 months after the top
$BTC
Bitcoin is currently tracking the 2018 Mid Term Year very closely
Feb Low, Then Rally
June Low... Like we found ourselves today
In June 2018, Bitcoin put in a 45% rally in 35 days
Do we see the same again?
But ultimately the Final Low came 12 months after the top
$BTC
Good to have a plan for the months ahead
Maybe market bottoms sooner but nobody should be surprised if we follow previous Mid Term Yrs
Either way,
Summer Accumulation Levels:
$62.5k - 20%
$55k - 30%
$52k - 20%
$50k - 30%
Blended entry of $54.4k for our new cycle
3/ Rather than wasting time and money getting chopped up in a downtrend market, better to swift focus for 6 months or so
Don't marry Bitcoin
Don't marry crypto
Lots of ways to make money
Bids sitting in the low $70ks
See you in 6-12 months
Good luck and God speed
$MSTR
Narratives of Quantum Computing and Saylor Liquidation mean it's time to start looking at $MSTR again
Began taking a postion on Friday. Bang on weekly support so looks good for a bounce S/T
But regardless, from here down to $80 looks nice for slow summer accumulation
$BTC
Absolute panic all over the timeline
Just like 2022... and 2018
Bitcoin is a CYCLICAL asset
It doesn't have cash flow
You can't audit it
It's a confidence asset
By default, this makes it easier to predict.. cyclically
Now we start to slowly accumulate again
Long time no speak friends
7 months later we've just tagged the 200w MA for the 1st time this cycle
I am now a $BTC holder again
If previous mid term years are anything to go by, this IS NOT the bottom
But we should now see a decent relief rally
Long time no speak friends
7 months later we've just tagged the 200w MA for the 1st time this cycle
I am now a $BTC holder again
If previous mid term years are anything to go by, this IS NOT the bottom
But we should now see a decent relief rally
3/ Rather than wasting time and money getting chopped up in a downtrend market, better to swift focus for 6 months or so
Don't marry Bitcoin
Don't marry crypto
Lots of ways to make money
Bids sitting in the low $70ks
See you in 6-12 months
Good luck and God speed
$WHC
Another ugly Aussier coaler
Getting interesting again at these levels
Hovering just above its 200d MA ($7.52)
Coal is going to go on a multiyear run
Time to start building a position
$MARA
While everyone is running for the exit, taking $MARA on here
Incredible value at these levels
Like it for a 50% move in April
Let's see how the land lies 1st May
$YAL.AX
Another huge wk for Yancoal:
The 80% Kestrel acquisition π₯
Delivers immediate +ve cash flow
Boosts met coal mix
And adds 4.7Mt production at an attractive 8.5x multiple
Price continues to move lower to our target zone
Bidding:
- $6.25
- 100d MA
- 200d MA
$YAL.AX
Slowly grinding lower
$8 was the 'pop' moment. The market needs a bit of time to reset now
Make no mistake that Yancoal is a behemoth in the making
But with a bit of patience, you'll get more shares for your money
$6-$6.50 π―
$NDX
Was not expecting the strength of this rally
Probably got too caught up in the narrative and looking back, this was the concensus view
Hey ho. View remains lower
Can see a pop to ATHs that is sold and a triple top being put in.
Lower into support, then we evaluate
$NDX
Plan in 2026 couldn't have gone any better
I'll be buying puts on open. Sell the euphoria.
Summer doldrums ahead.
A few months before we make a durable bottom
$BTC
This is an important trend change
At the beginning of the year, the slightest downside action in equities, saw Bitcoin bleed heavily.
That trend has changed
I'm a buyer of Bitcoin on weakness now
Nasdaq sneezes, Bitcoin falls out of bed
$NDX Futures down 1%... Bitcoin down 3% and about to put in an UGLY daily and weekly close
When do the "4 Year Cycle is Deeeead" crowd admit it's alive and kicking?
Nasdaq is flat over the last 3 months. Topping imo
Correction incoming