Ttree

My insights on economics and beyond .. Bringing cool data to life...be it be economic datapoints or life's beautiful moments. !!!!!!!

[Ttree @Templetree1]

Cooling CPI data should take off rate hike pressures near term .. S&P 7777 peak expected by Sep

[Ttree @Templetree1]

July 4th 2026:
250 years of freedom.
250 years of invention.
250 years of turning impossible ideas into reality.
The next great breakthrough is still waiting to be built.
GLAD TO SHARE 28 YEARS OF IT TILL DATE
����🇸 #America250 #Innovation

[Ttree @Templetree1]

Alan Greenspan was the Fed Chair who made me fall in love with studying markets, interest rates, and macroeconomics and paved my way to B-school. In my view, the humblest and the greatest Federal Reserve Chair ever. A giant whose influence will be felt for generations. Rest in peace AG!!! 1926 - 2026 : 100 years of glory.

[Ttree @Templetree1]

June 17 Fed meeting ended with Fed keeping rates at 3.5–3.75% and new Chairman Kevin Warsh's outlining his new approach: less Fed-speak, no forward guidance, and a hawkish focus on inflation. A breath of fresh air as he prioritized flexibility, independence, and limited Fed communicates policy.

[Ttree @Templetree1]

Happy 103rd birth anniversary Annagaru

[Ttree @Templetree1]

From May6, 1866 a tradition has been set to celebrate the fallen soldiers .... Moment to feel proud for the armed forces again this 25th may 2026 ... Happy Memorial day!!

[Ttree @Templetree1]

Crude Oil dancing around $100 is a crazy thing .. should gravitate back to $75 in next few days as US preps to wind up.

[Ttree @Templetree1]

The Oil drama seems peaking ... Has the 3rd order effect that can stop the war

[Ttree @Templetree1]

With labor market limping as a one-legged stool, Fed should be thinking to cut the current Fed funds rate from 3.50%-3.75% at either their March 17-18 or April 28-29 policy meetings.

[Ttree @Templetree1]

Rate cuts to resume sooner than later as GDP growth kinda slows coming in to Q1'26.

[Ttree @Templetree1]

Early Wednesday 2/11, the Labor Department said the U.S. economy added 130,000 jobs in January, much higher than expected 70,000. The unemployment rate ticked lower to 4.3%, beating estimates. S&P 7200 should follow soon.

[Ttree @Templetree1]

Power of US industrials .. muzzling a 400% gain in 26 years .. Not bad. !!

[Ttree @Templetree1]

Payroll employment rose by 584,000 in 2025, averaging 49,000 new jobs a month. That was less than the two million new jobs added in 2024, when the average monthly gain was 168,000.

[Ttree @Templetree1]

Dec jobs report was tepid firing up fed for another half point cut in the first half of 2026

[Ttree @Templetree1]

Nov Jobs report showed a 64K job gain but overall pointing to a very weak labor market - US economy lost jobs in 3 of the last 6 months...

[Ttree @Templetree1]

Last week, 236,000 initial jobless claims were filed, up from 192,000 the week before. For almost all of 2025, the Labor Department has recorded between 210,000 and 250,000 new claims each week - prospecting a 1/2 point cut in Jan or Feb26

[Ttree @Templetree1]

As expected Fed cuts rate by 1/4 bring Fed funds rate to a range of 3.5%-3.75%. More important is that they will begin buying $40 billion of Treasury bills per month starting Friday, a move that dates back to purchases in Oct 2019 when they bought $60 billion of T-bills/Mo.

[Ttree @Templetree1]

1/4 point is in .. its the Summary of economic projections SEP that will drive the markets.. SEP will show 2 more 1/4 cuts in H126 should help S&P to breach 7K in next 70 days

[Ttree @Templetree1]

The Bureau of Economic Analysis released PCE personal consumption expenditures price index data for September that had a YoY increase of +2.8% , in line with projections, and the first time the index decelerated in months. A +ve data point before Fed rate setting mtng on 12/10.