This Friday could be one of the most important days in $RDDT ’s history.
The S&P 500 quarterly rebalance announcement drops after market close on Friday.
Reddit is one of the named candidates for inclusion.
Here’s why this matters more than most people realize, and why Reddit deserves it.
S&P 500 changes are announced on the first Friday of the last month of each quarter. Changes go into effect two weeks after the announcement. Every index fund, ETF, and passive vehicle tracking the S&P 500, collectively managing trillions in assets, must buy the stock upon inclusion.
That is not optional buying. That is forced buying. By every passive fund on earth simultaneously.
does Reddit actually deserve to be in the S&P 500?
Let’s check the boxes:
Market cap? $32 billion. ✅
U.S. domiciled, NYSE listed? ✅
Positive GAAP earnings most recent quarter? ✅
Positive GAAP earnings trailing twelve months? ✅
Liquidity? 493 million weekly users. One of the most traded stocks on the NYSE. ✅
Now here’s what makes the inclusion case genuinely compelling beyond just the criteria:
Reddit just reported Q1 2026 revenue of $663 million, up 69% year over year. 91.5% gross margins. $311 million in free cash flow. $2.77 billion in cash. Zero meaningful debt.
It is one of only two companies on earth with:
- Greater than 40% revenue growth
- Greater than 30% free cash flow margins
- Greater than 90% gross margins
Simultaneously.
The S&P 500 contains companies growing at 3% with 15% margins.
Reddit’s financial profile is elite by any standard.
If it happens, every S&P 500 index fund on earth becomes a forced buyer.
If it doesn’t, the business doesn’t change.
$AVGO CRASHES TO PRICES NOT SEEN SINCE… LAST WEEK
😂
EPS: $2.44 vs. $2.40
Revenue: $22.2B vs. $21.7B
Q3 Guide:
- Rev $29.4B vs $28.6B est
- EBITDA $20.0B inline with $20.0B est
*CEO ON INCREMENTAL AI DEMAND
“Customers have been coming to us incrementally over the last few months. Expect that to continue. And by and large, yes.”
I bought $HPE at $54~
Here’s why -
This morning HPE reported earnings and the stock flew.
But here’s what most people chasing this move don’t understand:
The numbers aren’t the real story.
$HPE ’s FY2026 is now tracking ahead of what management had previously targeted for FY2028!
They pulled their entire long term plan forward by two years in a single quarter.
Two years. Pulled forward. In one print.
The numbers:
$10.7 billion in revenue, up 40% year over year. Non GAAP EPS $0.79, 52% above the high end of guidance at $0.55. Free cash flow $915 million, up $1.8 billion year over year. AI systems orders $1.8 billion in the quarter alone.
Cumulative AI systems bookings: $16.4 billion.
FY2026 EPS outlook raised to $3.35 - $3.45, up over 40%. Free cash flow raised to at least $3.5 billion, up 75%.
Networking surged 148%. Servers jumped 33%. Q3 guidance: $11.5–$12.1 billion.
Now here’s the part nobody is saying:
CEO Antonio Neri stated on the earnings call: “We have no evidence in our orders or backlog of any pull-ins. We have no cancellations. The demand is durable.”
No pull ins. No cancellations. Durable demand.
*That is the most important sentence in the entire transcript*
Every bear argument on AI infrastructure stocks rests on one thesis:
hyperscalers are over ordering today and the cliff comes in 2027.
$HPE just said, under oath on a public earnings call, they see zero evidence of that.
$16.4 billion in cumulative AI systems bookings. Record backlog entering Q3. Juniper integration ahead of schedule. Networks for AI order target raised to at least $2 billion for 2026.
The thesis just got confirmed in the most public way possible.
I just don’t see how $MU ’s run currently is “priced in” or “peak cycle” after the monster rip to $1T+ market cap.
Dare I say this supercycle still feels “early” for the memory names that actually matter in AI?
These are some things that have me staying long $MU:
• Q2 revenue exploded to $23.86B, nearly 3x YoY from $8B last year.
• Gross margin hit a record 74.9% (up huge on pricing power and mix). Non GAAP EPS $12.20, crushed estimates.
• Q3 guidance: $33.5B revenue and ~81% gross margin.
• Entire 2026 HBM capacity already sold out to the hyperscalers. Multi year contracts, zero inventory risk, and AI data center capex still ramping
• Balance sheet is an unbelievable: $16.7B cash, massive FCF ($6.9B adjusted in Q2 alone), and they’re throwing capex at U.S. fabs while printing money.
• Forward P/E still looks cheap
The moat here is real:
HBM leadership + supply discipline + direct AI tailwinds that the old memory cycles never had.
I’m truly seeing a multi year platform where margins stay elevated and revenue keeps compounding.
AI is here to takeover, and it needs lots of memory.