The Oura IPO is a great example of how venture fund math works.
Forerunner led Ouraโs ~$29M Series B in 2020. Those shares sit in its Fund IV vehicles, with the flagship fund being just $360M.
Fast forward six years: Forerunner owns 28.7M shares, or 9.3% of Oura, and is selling its ENTIRE remaining position in the IPO.
At the $42 midpoint, thatโs ~$1.2B of liquidity, after already selling $65M back to Oura earlier this year.
The main Fund IV entity owns ~88% of the position, so one investment could return roughly $1.1B+ to a $360M fund. Very roughly, thatโs 3x+ the entire fund gross and potentially ~2.5x net DPI to LPs after carry from Oura alone.
That makes selling a lot easier to understand.
The funding history is also pretty wild:
2014/15: ~$2.4M Seed โ Lifeline
2016-19: ~$17M Series A โ David Shuman
2020: ~$29M Series B โ Forerunner
2021: ~$255M Series C โ Bedford Ridge
2024: $200M Series D โ Fidelity/Dexcom
2025: ~$908M Series E โ Fidelity led
2026: IPO at $40-$44/share
Whatโs interesting is who is selling.
Forerunner: selling 100%
Lifeline: taking hundreds of millions in liquidity but keeping a position
Fidelity: selling 0
Bedford Ridge: selling 0
And 73% of the base IPO itself is secondary shares. Existing shareholders are selling ~$1.5B at the midpoint, with Forerunner accounting for ~$1.2B of it.
You can look at Forerunner selling everything and wonder what that says about future upside. But from a venture perspective, the math is pretty simple.
If one investment can return ~3x your entire fund in cash, you take the DPI.
Could Oura be worth $30B or $50B someday? Sure.
But VCs ultimately get paid to return money to LPs, not hold paper gains forever.
UCL will always be a competition decided on big moments. We have had one and one has gone PSGโs way. Our shape and focus has been excellent. World media said they would bop us? We have put in a solid shift.
Come on Arsenal. One more big moment.
Big up to the ownership.
They continue to trust the process while it is in its most difficult period.
Sometimes you do need that kind of faith.
But Mikel has definitely live up to that faith and reply their trust massively.
#arsenal
Setup was there, performance was mostly there, though I didn't feel the right XI was on at the end. Mostly, the ball didn't go in. I can live with that much more than I can live with Wolves, Bournemouth, Forest, etc. Fuck.
If we would go play like this for all of our games, we would have been so clear off the title race.
Why canโt we do that? Why canโt we have this type of attacking intent when we play other teams?
Unnecessary put so much pressure on us for dragging Cityโs back into this race
Havertz easily our best players today.
The mere fact that we got up the pitch to create those chances is all down to him.
But man, you canโt miss two chances like this in one of the biggest games in life.