Every incumbent party around the world when the post-pandemic inflation began has lost, regardless of ideology and regardless of where inflation was at the moment of the election.
It all comes down to the information environment. Inflation is down, growth is up, border interceptions are down, crime is down, vaccines work great--and none of it matters. Trump created a conspiracist permission structure to ignore or deny all the facts and focus on hate.
A reminder that tens of millions of Americans believed the country was heading in the wrong direction because they believed the economy was doing badly and that crime was going up. None of that is true.
Roughly *67%* of voters rated the economy as "not so good/poor," per Washington Post exit polls
A shockingly poor number amid a hot labor market, booming stocks, much lower inflation, growing GDP
But widespread voter dissatisfaction w/ the economy been clear for years
the right wing radicalization of high school and college aged men is truly one of the biggest crises in the us and it goes nearly completely unaddressed
This is why the Great Replacement theory never made sense: Latino immigrants are not inherently Democratic voters, and culturally are more natural conservatives than liberals. One also has to wonder whether Trump's caudillo strongman style helps explain his appeal to Latino men.
Racism, misogyny, right-wing media landscape talking points and people thought the economy was worse off now and that they were worse off than under Trump because we live in the United States of Amnesia.
I mean the bar was in hell for Donald Trump and he didn’t clear it. That’s actually what this is about. This country expects less than nothing from privileged white men. And they provide it in abundance.
Last thought before attempting to go to bed: if Americans are willing to reelect Trump after everything he’s said in the past three months, there’s nothing Harris could’ve done.
I cannot emphasize enough how disturbing it is that Fulton and Dekalb county voting precincts were targeted for bomb threats.
These are the biggest, Blackest counties in Georgia. A quarter of the state's Black population between them.
Every year people use long lines to talk about the pride they have in American democracy. But it’s fundamentally anti-democratic to have such bad electoral infrastructure that people have to wait six hours to vote. It’s literally voter suppression.