Lone Star Football (5A/6A)

News, statistics & predictions for Texas 5A & 6A Football

[Lone Star Football (5A/6A) @Texas6a]

Great news! My blog is officially up and running. Right now it includes my preseason top 25, district projections, and analysis on UIL Football.

https://t.co/xuWt9jvdnm

#txhsfb

[Lone Star Football (5A/6A) @Texas6a]

Most overrated; USC, Wake Forest and NC State

Most underrated; Cincinnati, Penn State, Iowa State

[Unnecessary Roughness @UnnecRoughness]

Top 25 Coaches Poll

1 Bama (54)
2 Ohio St (5)
3 UGA (6)
4 Clemson
5 ND
6 Michigan
7 A&M
8 Utah
9 OU
10 Baylor
11 Ok St
12 Oregon
13 NC St
14 Mich St
15 USC
16 Pitt
17 Miami
18 Texas (1)
19 Wake
20 Wisco
21 Kentucky
22 Cincy
23 Arkansas
24 Ole Miss
25 Houston

[Lone Star Football (5A/6A) @Texas6a]

@kalebsims “Texas A&M and Texas get 12 wins” refers to them getting 12 wins total between the two. Bad use of words on my part

[Lone Star Football (5A/6A) @Texas6a]

None of these events are likely, but based on my forecasts;
Texas A&M gets 12+ wins: 3.9%
Texas A&M and Texas get 12 wins: 1.3%
Texas gets 12+ wins: 0.1%

[RedditCFB @RedditCFB]

What outcome is most likely this fall?

[Lone Star Football (5A/6A) @Texas6a]

Where would you rather have an NFL Expansion team?

[Lone Star Football (5A/6A) @Texas6a]

6A-19, and by a pretty large margin.

[Dave Campbell's — TexasFootball.com @dctf]

🤔

#UILRealignment #DCTF #txhsfb

[Lone Star Football (5A/6A) @Texas6a]

6A-1 Championship chances (round 4)

North Shore: 34%
Southlake Carroll: 26%
Duncanville: 16%
Someone else: 24%

#txhsfb

[Lone Star Football (5A/6A) @Texas6a]

@RedditCFB Why can’t we just have the best 12 teams make the playoffs, with no auto bids. If the third or fourth ranked SEC team is better than the best G5 champion, then the SEC team should absolutely be in over the champ.

[Lone Star Football (5A/6A) @Texas6a]

Essentially, what this means, is that 15/16 teams left in 6A-1 have a 1% or greater chance of winning the state championship this year. Literally any team could still win this tournament

[Lone Star Football (5A/6A) @Texas6a]

6A-1 Championship chances (round 3)

North Shore: 28%
Southlake Carroll: 24%
Duncanville: 12%
Someone else: 36%

#txhsfb

[Lone Star Football (5A/6A) @Texas6a]

Other teams with significant chances;

Fort Bend Ridge Point: 1%
Euless Trinity: 1%
Lewisville: 1%
Austin Bowie: 1%

#txhsfb

[Lone Star Football (5A/6A) @Texas6a]

Whats interesting about this years tournament is that these nine teams have a combined 99% chance of winning, meaning the seven teams not included have a combined 1% chance of winning the bracket.

[Lone Star Football (5A/6A) @Texas6a]

6A-2 Championship chances (round 3)

Austin Westlake: 40%
Katy: 30%
Denton Guyer: 14%
Someone else: 16%

#txhsfb

[Lone Star Football (5A/6A) @Texas6a]

6A-2 Championship chances

Austin Westlake: 41%
Katy: 32%
Denton Guyer: 12%
Someone else: 15%

#txhsfb

[Lone Star Football (5A/6A) @Texas6a]

Other teams with significant chances;

Euless Trinity: 1%
Spring: 1%
Fort Bend Ridge Point: 1%
Dickinson: 1%
Smithson Valley: 1%

#txhsfb

[Lone Star Football (5A/6A) @Texas6a]

6A-1 Championship chances

North Shore: 29%
Southlake Carroll: 23%
Duncanville: 13%
Someone else: 35%

#txhsfb

[Lone Star Football (5A/6A) @Texas6a]

6A-2 Championship chances

Austin Westlake: 40%
Katy: 33%
Denton Guyer: 13%
Someone else: 14%

#txhsfb

[Lone Star Football (5A/6A) @Texas6a]

6A-1 Championship chances

North Shore: 30%
Southlake Carroll: 23%
Duncanville: 14%
Someone else: 33%

[Lone Star Football (5A/6A) @Texas6a]

Noticed this too with my college football and TXHSFB forecasts. For some reason, being home is having a smaller effect than normal

[FiveThirtyEight @FiveThirtyEight]

Fans are back at NFL games. But home-field advantage isn’t (yet). https://t.co/nzyE5QqAX0

[Lone Star Football (5A/6A) @Texas6a]

West Texas - Week 1 Predictions

Games to watch;
Abilene at Amarillo Tascosa
Midland Legacy at Amarillo
Killeen Shoemaker at San Angelo Central

#txhsfb

[Lone Star Football (5A/6A) @Texas6a]

San Antonio - Week 1 Predictions

Games to watch;
Reagan at Brennan
Desoto at Converse Judson
Hendrickson at Cibolo Steele

#txhsfb