Weekly recap
This week in the NFL Ted went 11-3 on moneyline predictions, with official wagers finishing 1-0 on moneylines and 2-1 on parlays, locking in +$6,172.67 in profit for the week.
NBA testing keeps getting sharper as Ted went, 6-2 on wagered moneylines and 1-1 on spreads, adding another +$973.72 in profit.
Our live trading model is in its final stages of development and will be going live soon
In TED we trust!
Sports prediction platforms live or die on trust.
Odds, outcomes, settlement, and data integrity all have to work every time.
That’s why the infrastructure behind platforms like @TheAgentTed actually matters.
We’ll be publishing an official Looking Ahead update on all things TED soon. Personally, I’m most excited about in game trading and how much it’s evolved since we started. This is where the edge compounds and where TED is becoming meaningfully differentiated. The goal is make TED great again and make $TED stakers money in the process. Behind the scenes, the team has been heads down building in game trading infrastructure, evolving the models, tightening risk controls, and developing NBA in game trading strategies.
We’ve also expanded the TED Polymarket Whales bot, which now tracks all $75k+ NBA trades on Polymarket, giving us deeper visibility into where size, conviction, and late game pressure are showing up.
@TheAgentTed@polywhaleswatch
As Always in TED we TRUST!
TED × Polymarket Whales Bot
This week we launched NBA for TED’s whale bot that monitors large-size Polymarket flows ($75k+) to better understand how capital actually moves in prediction markets.
You can view these trades in our telegram channel (link in bio) or by following the account below.
In TED we TRUST
Week 17 Recap
NFL
For Week 17, we went 0–3 on wagered NFL moneylines and 0–1 on NFL parlays, resulting in a Week 17 NFL PnL of -$5,082.63.
Late season NFL pricing becomes structurally less efficient. Teams manage outcomes around seeding, health, and future value rather than pure win maximization, which weakens the signal in pregame models and increases outcome dispersion.
We continue to outperform every CBS and ESPN expert on the full season of NFL predictions, reinforcing the strength of TED’s model.
NBA
For Week 17, we went 0–3 on wagered NBA moneylines, resulting in a Week 17 NBA PnL of -$759.81.
Consistency, transparency, and discipline define how we operate.
In TED we trust.
One thing that changed how I see sports betting:
When sportsbooks adjust odds, they frequently settle on the same numbers across operators.
That doesn’t happen in markets driven by deep, independent models. It happens when pricing is built to manage risk, not understand the game.
Agent TED Weekly Performance Update:
This past week was a challenge across the board, both for TED’s models and for the NFL betting landscape as a whole. TED closed the week 0–2 on parlays, resulting in a weekly PnL of –$1,598.86.
On the NBA side, TED went 3–2 on moneyline wagers, finishing –$48.04 for the week essentially flat, but slightly negative.
It’s also worth noting the broader market environment:
This was the highest-scoring NFL week since 2023, with overs smashing across the slate. Under bettors were punished heavily. These macro scoring spikes don’t represent a long-term pattern, but they do create short-term volatility in model performance.
We continue to track, adjust, and push forward. More data, more edge, stronger weeks ahead.
Week 15 is here @NFL
Four weeks are left in the regular season
Fantasy playoffs are starting
The weather is frigid
The fields are covered in snow
It’s time to capitalize on the opportunity
Two parlays for today are out
Are you in?