Civic Data & Research Institute

Nonprofit research institute conducting independent analysis of civic, economic, and public policy issues.

[Civic Data & Research Institute @TheCDRInstitute]

Analysis by @TheCDRInstitute

[Florida Politics @Fla_Pol]

Analysis shows aggressive Republican redistricting in Florida would put more GOP seats at risk

Reporting by @JacobOgles

#FlaPol

https://t.co/P4pyk7zKLc

[Civic Data & Research Institute @TheCDRInstitute]

5/ The administration has the tools to interrupt this: naval escorts, DFC political risk insurance, and the SPR. The IEA said today it has no plans for an emergency reserve release. The next 7–10 days — and whether diplomacy produces even a partial stand-down — will determine whether $88 was the ceiling or a rest stop.

[Civic Data & Research Institute @TheCDRInstitute]

1/ The Strait of Hormuz is effectively closed. Tanker traffic is down 94% since Operation Epic Fury began Feb 28. The historical daily average is 138 ships. On March 4, there were 5 crossings. WTI is at $88.45. This is not a risk premium — it's a real supply disruption. #OIL $OXY $SPY

READ HERE: https://t.co/XQ2J0riYAk

[Civic Data & Research Institute @TheCDRInstitute]

4/ Qatar's energy minister said Friday that oil could hit $150/bbl and "bring down the economies of the world" if tankers can't move. Goldman Sachs moved $100 Brent from tail risk to base case if the Strait stays blocked 5 more weeks. We're at day 6.

[Civic Data & Research Institute @TheCDRInstitute]

The Supreme Court's IEEPA Ruling and What it Means $SPY

https://t.co/WgYGb6GEmO