Crypto Enthusiast | Investor | Researcher | Advisor | Educationist | Not an influencer | No paid posts please | Reach out for advice on your crypto portfolio
Ironically, #bearmarket gives you more opportunities to make money in comparison to #BullMarket.
You get the opportunity to buy at prices you were waiting for! But the problem is that people get panicked & start to sell instead of buying 🤦
#crypto#cryptocrash#Bitcoin#BTC
To all the crypto investors anxiously watching right now:
Since 2017, Bitcoin has seen:
1. 10+ declines of -25% or more
2. 6 declines of -50% or more
3. 3 declines of -75% or more
Every single decline of the current magnitude or more since Bitcoin's inception has been followed by new record highs.
Disruption is not easy, but it pays when you can sound out the noise.
This is a "routine" crypto bear market which we believe is already closer to its end than its beginning.
Volatility brings opportunity.
Gold is becoming unaffordable:
It now takes 116 hours of work in the US to buy 1 ounce of gold, the most in at least 100 years.
This comes as gold prices hit a record close of ~$4,225, while average hourly earnings reached $36.50 in August.
The ratio has DOUBLED in just 18 months the surge in gold prices has far outpaced income growth.
This surpasses the previous peaks of ~80 hours seen in the 1930s, 1980, and 2011.
By comparison, at the start of the century, it took less than 20 hours to buy 1 ounce of gold.
Gold's rally is even stronger than you think.
Seeing many tweets where yesterday's cryptocurrrency carnage wiped out many people's whose wealth were even in millions of dollars.
Lot of them was heavily leveraged. Let us say you take 10 times leverage. For $100 margin, you can take a position for $1000. A 10% correction would wipe out your entire margin money. You've no further money to provide as margin. You simply become bankrupt.
These are the kinds of unexpected risks I always keep warning about. A person might have made millions of dollars. One risky bet with high leverage would completely destroy his long built wealth. No one had any clue or even the mildest doubt a crypto carnage would happen yesterday.
Respect uncertainty. Respect risk. Don't borrow and invest. Plan in such a way that you survive financially whatever tomorrow brings.
Yesterday was neither the first occasion nor the last occasion. Non visibility of risk is not absence of risk.
ETH/BTC Monthly – Inflection Point
ETH/BTC just pushed through the lower edge of the breakout band (0.0305–0.0315) and is trading ~0.0314. This is the first real attempt to leave a 2-year falling structure. What I’m watching now is acceptance, not just the poke.
Why it matters: After a 65%+ relative drawdown since late 2021, ETH printed two consecutive green monthly candles with expanding volume and the fast MA has curled up. OBV (accumulation) turned before price – classic early reversal tell. If this monthly candle closes ≥0.0310 on ≥110% of 12-mo avg volume, historical analogs (2019, 2020) favor a follow-through push.
Key Levels
Flip Zone (must hold after close): 0.0305–0.0315
First Supply / Magnet: 0.0345–0.0350 (expect reaction)
Extension Targets: 0.040–0.045 (primary distribution zone)
Measured Move Potential (later): 0.057–0.058
Pullback Demand (healthy retest): 0.0285–0.0290
Invalidation (cycle thesis): Monthly close <0.025
Base Case: Acceptance above 0.031 → test of 0.0345 within 1–2 monthly candles (probability now ~68%).
Fail Case: Sharp rejection + high red volume driving price back <0.030 = fakeout; range resumes.
Plan (not advice): Starter add / hold above 0.031; scale risk only if we close there. Trim / reassess into 0.0345. Let winners run toward 0.040–0.045 if volume stays constructive.
Rotation clock for broader “alt season��� starts ticking after confirmed ETH leadership.
#ETH #Bitcoin