Kekoa Santana

I use statcast data to explain what you see on the field.

[Kekoa Santana @TheDataDiamond]

24-year old Dodgers catcher Dalton Rushing leads ALL of MLB in xwOBA over the last 14 days (.696).

Ahead of Shohei. Ahead of Judge.

Problem: there’s no spot for him. Here’s how LA fits him in👇

[Kekoa Santana @TheDataDiamond]

Bryan Reynolds is in a great position to hit for the cycle today after getting a HR and a triple in his first 2 ABs.

Definitely something to watch! The @Pirates are hitting.

[Kekoa Santana @TheDataDiamond]

@CTSCTSCTSCT @PitchingNinja Right! Would hate to be in that batters box

[Kekoa Santana @TheDataDiamond]

@tangotiger There will always be that “but it’s right there, it should be a strike” people.

I think they need to just stick with the strike zone and let it be what it is. It is frustrating to see a pitch miss by 0.1” but it’s also just part of the game!

[Kekoa Santana @TheDataDiamond]

@UnderdogMLB The twins are a hitting machine!! When this guy is healthy, he is a top CF in the league. He has speed, he can make plays on defense and he’s got the bat to match. What more could you want?!

[Kekoa Santana @TheDataDiamond]

@Handsmanns @TalkinBaseball_ That is true! Consistently being off for the whole game and not being able to find it again is a tough spot to be! If he isn’t injured then I’m sure he’ll look just fine by his next outing

[Kekoa Santana @TheDataDiamond]

My Bayesian projection system beats Marcel on Brier score for every rate stat I project - hitter and pitcher. Walk-forward, no leakage.

On CRPS, Marcel still wins most stats. The intervals need player-specific recalibration. Getting there.

[Kekoa Santana @TheDataDiamond]

Boston’s number 2 prospect is destroying AA pitchers.

Franklin Arias through 16 games: .407/.476/.870, 7 HR, 17 RBI, 7.9% K rate.

His ISO jumped from .080 to .463.

For context, he had 8 home runs in 526 plate appearances ALL of last year across three levels.

[Kekoa Santana @TheDataDiamond]

@PitchingNinja The velo gap between his fastball and changeup is about 10mph on avg now. Comes from the same tunnel too, this dude is nasty!

[Kekoa Santana @TheDataDiamond]

The pitch design era gets talked about in terms of adding velocity or inventing sweepers. But the biggest gains are often subtractive. Identifying the pitch that's leaking runs and having the discipline to shelve it.

[Kekoa Santana @TheDataDiamond]

3 pitchers who quietly rebuilt their arsenal this season.

Same arm. Different pitcher.

[Kekoa Santana @TheDataDiamond]

Kumar Rocker's cutter was horrible last season. On 286 pitches, a .380 xwOBA. This year, he's thrown it a few times and the xwOBA is .936. Instead of trying to fix it, he killed it.

The slider he replaced it with is holding a .279 xwOBA on 161 pitches. That's a real sample.

[Kekoa Santana @TheDataDiamond]

The scoreless streak is over. The Cubs end Mason Miller’s phenomenal run.

We will see how many runs he allows in this inning.

[Kekoa Santana @TheDataDiamond]

@SleeperMLB @SleeperDbacks @DbacksDispatch It’s never too late🔥

[Kekoa Santana @TheDataDiamond]

Jose Soriano’s 0.24 ERA is about to triple and that’s still a crazy good ERA.

His BABIP is .207. His ERA-FIP is -2.13.

But his K% jumped from 21% to 31%. His whiff rate is 97th percentile. Knuckle curve has been elite for 3 years now.

0.24 was never real but the breakout is.

[Kekoa Santana @TheDataDiamond]

@UnderdogMLB Very due!

[Kekoa Santana @TheDataDiamond]

@jlacc23 For real, big time production from the home grown guys!