Gucci Gav

🇺🇸/🇳🇿 Kiwi & FGCU Alumni Living in Florida — Investment Mgmt. Professional & Former USRL Rugby Player

[Gucci Gav @TheGucciGav]

@ChiefKeef

[Gucci Gav @TheGucciGav]

@TheValueist Excellent work as always; I def need to do a deep dive on how to use a defined agentic research workflow process and how you create this masterpiece

[Gucci Gav @TheGucciGav]

Hope this Oil & Gas Analyst at Millennium has been leveraging “no-pun intended” gov’t name and the relation to the trend in his coverage universe to get a tasty bonus from all that extra business Millennium’s commod desk is getting 💰

[TheValueist @TheValueist]

$VLO $MPC $PSX $DK $CLMT

[Gucci Gav @TheGucciGav]

@TheValueist I’m too hesitant to add size to my $DK position after this huge assist from the momo factor but just can’t stop thinking about it 🤔

[Gucci Gav @TheGucciGav]

@TheValueist I try to separate the two in order to avoid a hot hand fallacy/bias. “A Random Walk Down Wall Street” really got me to think about my wins and losses differently 👍👍

[Gucci Gav @TheGucciGav]

@LordStoppington @VolatilityQ @VolSignals I’ve got to see if I can link up with him, didn’t realize he was in the area until a few months back

[Gucci Gav @TheGucciGav]

@VolatilityQ Gn

[Gucci Gav @TheGucciGav]

@VolatilityQ …not sayin this bc I just got laid off from my career job

But the 1️⃣ thing stopping me delivering this spec letter (iykyk) in person to your desk/office in the Caymans is the 423mi of water in between

….the $23k round-trip charter cost ✈️ from (Naples) APF to GCM doesn’t help

[Gucci Gav @TheGucciGav]

@VolatilityQ Hope to the intl folks that my snarky Winnie the Pooh reference still hits comedic effect

[Gucci Gav @TheGucciGav]

@VolatilityQ Less down days than Eeyore 😏😏😏😏😏

[Gucci Gav @TheGucciGav]

@VolatilityQ We lifting the offer on these bonds? 🤔I know you said next year but ooooowee 👀

[Gucci Gav @TheGucciGav]

@VolatilityQ Nahhhh trance transcends generations 😬

[Gucci Gav @TheGucciGav]

@VolatilityQ Everything that I’ve been building in my life (career, education, financial future) is to be able to provide for my mother 🫡 #FamilyValues always 😏

[Gucci Gav @TheGucciGav]

@VolatilityQ Is TLT 88s still something to watch? V keen on watching the long end since the whole “short bonds is the hedge”
🎯 🖨️ 💴

[Gucci Gav @TheGucciGav]

@rich_toad 🤔

[Gucci Gav @TheGucciGav]

Worst case, AI buildout slows/hyperscaler CapEx gets cut and these AI-Infra industrial Co’s get to allocate their newly created cash piles for shareholder friendly capital allocation.

Long before my time, but when crisis hit $PWR and $DY (2000–03) had some pretty similar early warning indicators that appear to be showing up again…

1.) DSO’s have already crept up >10% Y/Y thru June in some names (MTZ has risen to 72 days up from 65 a year ago when I first started heavily investing into the name).
2.) Roll-up risk/Diworsification is back:
> $EME: pure # of deals they’ve chased and completed just in the TTM
> $PWR: paid >$1.25B UP FRONT, plus another quarter mil contingent or so for 4 new acquisitions within the span of 1.5 quarters
> $MTZ: just completed its largest acquisition in history. 😬

Just go take a peek at PWR’s 10k from 2001 and pay attention to every time “SFAS” 142 adoption is mentioned. https://t.co/ONrHz3lvSZ

Still long all of the above, but I’d always rather have my thesis proven wrong than lose money 🤷‍♂️

[Gucci Gav @TheGucciGav]

@TheValueist ….And now you’ve got the entire T&D, MEP, and C&E pipeline under control. The impressive combined backlog that this group has sets the stage for huge (further) gains if the GAI/Ai-infra buildout continues as expected

[Gucci Gav @TheGucciGav]

@TheValueist Is $DK in your orbit? Owned it off and on since Apr 2021 due to its abs. valuation/cash being handed in duffle bags to their shareholders perspective. Came across an interesting VIC post years back about it as a special sit/catalyst play..

[Gucci Gav @TheGucciGav]

@GlitchedDeals for all yall doubters sayin it was cap 😂 sorry, no commissions here but shoutout to @GlitchedDeals for the 2 free redbulls and a free $20 gift card

[Gucci Gav @TheGucciGav]

@GlitchedDeals they delivered 2 single cans instead of 2 cases so I verbally accosted the Home Depot support department until they fully refunded me and gave me a $20 store credit 😂😂😂