The Lion's Edge Podcast

Lion’s Edge was a @BetMGM sports betting podcast. There are no more new episodes, but you can still get winners by following @chaseakiddy.

[Chase Kiddy @chaseakiddy]

With another football season approaching, I wanted to reshare this awesome podcast clip I made a couple years ago about how betting markets work.

If you are even remotely interested in sports betting, you can learn a lot in these two minutes.

[Chase Kiddy @chaseakiddy]

An ACC game in Ireland?

Montana State as a double-digit favorite vs. an FBS team?

SMU in a must-bet spot... as a 4-TD favorite?

Oh yes. Week 0 has arrived. It's small on games, but big on betting angles.

#sportsbettingpicks #GamblingX #collegefootball

https://t.co/GFTIC4S7BP

[Chase Kiddy @chaseakiddy]

A fun announcement from me!

Several months ago, I announced that I had ended @TheLionsEdge. But as many of you probably guessed, I didn't really want to leave the audio space permanently.

Today's the day I get to tell you what's next. But before I do, here's a bit of backstory.

[Chase Kiddy @chaseakiddy]

Absolutely outstanding weekend of sports betting on tap, with two of my favorite bets of the entire #NFLPlayoffs on Sunday. Let's talk it out...

(All odds from @betmgm)

-#Chiefs at #Ravens: I really like Baltimore -3.5. KC advanced this far by beating the Bills and Dolphins -- two teams with defenses that have been absolutely ravaged by injuries. That's helped Kansas City's offense, which has had some very public struggles, post results that suggest everything is better. It is not. Joe Thuney has been ruled out, as has Skyy Moore. Both Isiah Pacheco and Kadarius Toney are questionable, though I do expect them to play. More importantly, this Baltimore defense is going to be way, way more intense of a challenge, and I don't think the market is respecting that at this number. Even still, it's telling that the number has spent most of the week at -3.5. If there was consistent and substantive sharp interest in the KC side, that would be painted at -3 in a hurry. Instead, it's moving toward -4 at BetMGM.

-#Lions at #49ers: I love Over 51.5 here. It's telling that the AFC game has two NFL MVPs squaring off, yet it's this game that has the total in the 50s. I think that's a huge nod toward the fact that both defenses are going to struggle to stop opposing offenses. This is an unusually square pick for me, but I really do feel it's the right side and my favorite bet of the weekend. I'd also be looking at some alts to pile on top of this, like maybe an Over 57 (+160). YMMV on your risk profile here.

-Let's go off the #NFL board here. I quite like the idea of a flyer on Qinwen Zheng in the women's #AustralianOpen final. She's going off at +450 right now, which is a huge number for someone who's playing really, really well. The market is incredibly tilted toward Sabalenka because she's both an established hardcourt player and the defending champ in Melbourne, so of course she's the favorite, but -650 is ridiculous. Women's tennis Grand Slam finals are filled with low q-score teenagers who get hot and win a title... it's basically the opposite of men's tennis in this regard, where very few players have won GS titles in the last 25 years unless their last name is Federer, Nadal, or Djokovic. So I like a little dart throw at +450, but the more conservative move here is probably to take something like Zheng +5.5 (-155) or Zheng +4.5 (+120).

-I don't like the men's side value nearly as much as I like the women's side, but I'll share a couple of small notes here. First of all, Medvedev is a previous Slam winner (2021 US Open) and finished as runner-up in Melbourne in both 2021 and 2022. The fact that he is a significant dog to Sinner here is extremely telling about what side you should want. Sinner is *cooking* right now and has been an immense tour player for most of the last year. He absolutely smoked Djokovic in the semifinal, which I'm sure I don't have to tell you doesn't happen very often. I have zero issue laying -275 to get the right player, but if you're a little more choosy with your price tags, take a look at Sinner -1.5 Sets (-145) or even Sinner Straight Sets +165.

#AustralianOpen2024 #KCvsBAL #49ersVsLions #AllGrit #DETvsSF #FTTB #ChiefsKingdom #RavensFlock #sportsbets #sportsbettingpicks #sportsbettingX #BettingX #GamblingX #GamblingTwitter

[Chase Kiddy @chaseakiddy]

With the close of the college football season, let's make it official: I have decided to end @TheLionsEdge.

For six years, I have tried to provide commentary and analysis in a way that is transparent, ethical, educational, and easy to understand. I walk away really proud of the hundreds of episodes my name is on.

I will continue to provide great insight on the BetMGM blog, which I hope you read!

In the meantime, I am planning my next move. I will have more time to finish my novel, Cave Paintings, and I have some really exciting ideas about where I want to go next in the audio space. You can expect some announcements in that direction later this year.

Thanks to everyone who listened.

[Chase Kiddy @chaseakiddy]

We're halfway through the #collegefootball season and 10 days away from the first #cfp rankings.

It's time to start getting serious about what the playoff field will look like this year.

Here's a handy guide on how to think about the main players.

https://t.co/VLQraJnd9g

[The Lion's Edge Podcast @TheLionsEdge]

Alabama is +1800 to win the national championship.

Just to get to the CFP, they likely have to beat: Tennessee, LSU, Auburn, Kentucky, Georgia in the SEC Championship game.

Then, they would have to win the two playoff games.

Why on Earth would anyone buy that number?

[The Lion's Edge Podcast @TheLionsEdge]

@froghornleg Was hoping for something dumb like a +6, but I suppose they’re probably not dumb enough to hang that. definitely grabbing Southern

[The Lion's Edge Podcast @TheLionsEdge]

Tomorrow’s NFL Week 5 episode is wrapped and in the can!

Here’s a little bonus: I just went heavy on JJ Wolf tonight in Shanghai. Pedro Cachin hasn’t won on hardcourt in forever.

#atp #shanghai #gamblingtwitter #bettingx #bettingsports #bettingtips #tennis #tennispicks

[Chase Kiddy @chaseakiddy]

Lot of picks in play today beyond what's in the column, including the over in the Vandy/Missouri game & VT moneyline.

Now looking at WVU. Line moved toward TCU throughout the week and briefly touched +14 this morning before buyback. If it gets back to +14 again, I'm buying in.

[The Lion's Edge Podcast @TheLionsEdge]

For the up-early crowd... Here are the official podcast plays for Week 5.

Already hit some key podcast leans, including Utah/Oregon State Under 45.5.

#cfb #collegefootball #bettingpicks #NCAAFootball #GamblingTwitter #GamblingX #bettingsports

https://t.co/b7vXOoMryl

[BetMGM 🦁 @BetMGM]

After a wild weekend in #CFB, @chaseakiddy is back with his Power Rankings 🏈
https://t.co/Rrox1YQnMv

[Gamblin' Gauchos 🎙️ @GamblinGauchos]

Preview of Texas Tech vs. West Virginia with @chaseakiddy of the @TheLionsEdge and @BetMGM

https://t.co/pFZskuEUBV

[Chase Kiddy @chaseakiddy]

New @TheLionsEdge by @BetMGM!

@RyanHorvat of @BetMGMTonight stops by the show to talk Thursday Night Football, the state of the #NFL after Week 2, Notre Dame/Ohio State, Oregon/Colorado, and more.

PODCAST: https://t.co/KBsChcYGQz

#GamblingTwitter #bettingpicks #TNF #CFB

[The Lion's Edge Podcast @TheLionsEdge]

The #Dolphins are the early #NFL flavor of the month after winning back-to-back road games to start the season.

Mike McDaniel has become the early favorite to win Coach of the Year.

Tua has become the early favorite to win MVP.

#GamblingTwitter

https://t.co/ol3S3YzXDs

[BetMGM 🦁 @BetMGM]

.@chaseakiddy takes a look at which teams generally play best as an NFL favorite 🏈 https://t.co/t29q5QaB9Y

[The Lion's Edge Podcast @TheLionsEdge]

New Lion’s Edge is out today!

What’s fair, unfair, and just flat-out ridiculous on Deion Sanders and Colorado.

Five official bets (plus many more leans) for your Week 2 betting considerations.

#bettingtwitter #GamblingTwitter #CollegeFootball #cfb

https://t.co/CbBp8IzkUL

[The Lion's Edge Podcast @TheLionsEdge]

As mentioned on the pod this week.

[Chase Kiddy @chaseakiddy]

Northern Iowa/Iowa State line has now dropped.

I saw single UNI +13 earlier today, but as the rest of the market has appeared, it's pretty much consensus UNI +7.

Would have liked something that split the difference, but I'm still playing it.

[The Lion's Edge Podcast @TheLionsEdge]

You want #CFBPicks for Week 1?Because I got ‘em!

#cfb #collegefootball #bettingtwitter #bettingtips #bettingpicks #gamblingtwitter #GamblingX

https://t.co/qC8ZeWrJPy

[The Lion's Edge Podcast @TheLionsEdge]

Tonight’s late read: breaking down the top of the table for the 2023 College Football Playoff odds.

#cfb #collegefootball #GamblingTwitter #bettingtwitter #cfp #NCAAF #NCAAFootball #Futures #bettingsports

https://t.co/U8B0ctDQ3n