The Model

The Model is a deterministic system that uses statistics to predict the outcome of AFL matches for tipping and betting purposes.

[The Model @TheModelAFL]

The Model is back again in 2025 - follow us on Instagram @TheModelAFL

2021: 45-24 record, +17.28 units
2022: 51-21 record, +26.50 units
2023: 28-34 record, -7.93 units
2024: 39-25 record, +10.38 units

All Time: 163-104, +46.23 units, 17.31% ROI

#AFL
#2025AFLSeason

[The Model @TheModelAFL]

GRAND FINAL PICK

Unfortunately no for the Grand Final, we'll be back with a season wrap up next week.

#afl #aflfinals #footytipping

[The Model @TheModelAFL]

BROWNLOW FINAL STANDINGS

Bailey Smith finishes strong with 3 votes in Round 24 against the Cats to sit atop of our leaderboard to end the season.

#afl #brownlow #brownlowmedal #aflround24 #2025aflseason #footytipping #footy #footyheadlines

[The Model @TheModelAFL]

PRELIMINARY FINALS PICKS

Unfortunately no selections for the Prelim Finals, we'll be back with more next week.

#afl #aflfinals #footytipping

[The Model @TheModelAFL]

SEMI FINALS RESULTS

@hawthornfc get the job done once again, moving on to play the Cats in a Prelim Final, whilst @gcsuns get belted after a fast start.

Follow @TheModelAFL on Instagram for more.

#afl #aflfinals #footytipping #aflcrowshawks #afllionssuns

[The Model @TheModelAFL]

SEMI FINALS PICKS

Riding with @hawthornfc and @gcsuns for the second week in a row, as both teams try to send their top 4 opponents home in straight sets.

Follow @TheModelAFL on Instagram for more.

#afl #aflfinals #footytipping #aflcrowshawks #afllionssuns

[The Model @TheModelAFL]

FINALS WEEK 1 PICKS

@hawthornfc looking to end their winless 0-8 record at Engie Stadium vs. the Giants.

@gcsuns on the longest road trip in the league for their first ever final.

#afl #aflfinals #footytipping #aflgiantshawks #afldockerssuns

[The Model @TheModelAFL]

ROUND 24 RESULTS

A rough end to the Premiership Season, with @adelaide_fc and @hawthornfc let it slip in the 4th quarter.

@gcsuns nowhere near it on Friday night, but @sydneyswans get it done out West.

#afl #aflround24 #aflpowersuns #aflrooscrows #afleaglesswans #afllionshawks

[The Model @TheModelAFL]

ROUND 23 BROWNLOW COUNT

The race is down to three as we hit the final round. Daicos and Anderson (game in hand) control their destiny, whilst Bailey Smith needs a big game and some luck to go his way.

#afl #brownlow #brownlowmedal #aflround23 #2025aflseason #footytipping #footy

[The Model @TheModelAFL]

ROUND 24 PICKS

@gcsuns, @adelaide_fc, @sydneyswans, @hawthornfc to close our the Premiership Season.

#afl #aflround24 #footytipping #aflpowersuns #aflrooscrows #afleaglesswans #afllionshawks

[The Model @TheModelAFL]

ROUND 23 RESULTS

The @brisbanelions and @geelongcats both lock in finals spots with huge road wins in Round 23.

#afl #aflround23 #footytipping #afldockerslions #aflswanscats

[The Model @TheModelAFL]

ROUND 22 BROWNLOW COUNT

Things are getting extremely tight as Jordan Dawson and Bailey Smith both close the game on our leaders.

Follow @TheModelAFL on Instagram for more.

#afl #brownlow #brownlowmedal #aflround22 #2025aflseason #footytipping #footy #footyheadlines

[The Model @TheModelAFL]

ROUND 23 PICKS

The @brisbanelions desperate to hold on to their top 4 hopes as they visit the @freodockers.

@geelongcats look to continue their run of form against the @sydneyswans.

Follow @TheModelAFL on Instagram

#afl #aflround23 #footytipping #afldockerslions #aflswanscats

[The Model @TheModelAFL]

ROUND 22 RESULTS

@stkildafc and the @westernbulldogs both gets wins, but unfortunately fail to cover the spread in Round 22.

Follow @TheModelAFL on Instagram for more.

#afl #aflround22 #footytipping #afltigerssaints #afldeesdogs

[The Model @TheModelAFL]

ROUND 21 BROWNLOW COUNT

Noah Anderson closes in on leader Nick Daicos, whilst Jordan Dawson stays within reach with three rounds to go.

Follow @TheModelAFL on Instagram for more.

#afl #brownlow #brownlowmedal #aflround21 #2025aflseason #footytipping #footy #footyheadlines

[The Model @TheModelAFL]

ROUND 22 PICKS

Both @stkildafc and the @westernbulldogs looking to make it three wins on the trot as the season winds down.

Follow @TheModelAFL on Instagram for more.

#afl #aflround22 #footytipping #afltigerssaints #afldeesdogs

[The Model @TheModelAFL]

ROUND 21 RESULTS

Never in doubt for @melbournefc who get the job done easily in our solitary pick of the week.

Follow @TheModelAFL on Instagram for more.

#afl #aflround21 #footytipping #afldeeseagles

[The Model @TheModelAFL]

ROUND 20 BROWNLOW COUNT

Daicos does enough to hold distance from Anderson and Smith who both have big games.

#afl #brownlow #brownlowmedal #aflround20 #2025aflseason #footytipping #footy #footyheadlines

[The Model @TheModelAFL]

ROUND 21 PICKS

Just the one selection for Round 21 with @melbournefc looking to bounce back giving almost 40 points against @westcoasteagles.

#afl #aflround21 #footytipping #afldeeseagles

[The Model @TheModelAFL]

ROUND 19 BROWNLOW COUNT

Very little movement at the top of the count, with Daicos edging slightly further ahead.

Follow @TheModelAFL on Instagram for more.

#afl #brownlow #brownlowmedal #aflround19 #2025aflseason #footytipping #footy #footyheadlines

[The Model @TheModelAFL]

ROUND 20 PICKS

Unfortunately no selections for Round 20, we'll be back with more next week.

Follow @TheModelAFL on Instagram for more.

#afl #aflround20 #footytipping