The current state of prediction markets is a landscape of ๐๐ถ๐ป๐ฎ๐ฟ๐ ๐ก๐ผ๐ถ๐๐ฒ.
If you look at the giants in the space today, they are fundamentally built on a logic of "lossy" data.
They ask you for a ๐ฌ๐ฒ๐ or a ๐ก๐ผ. "Will Bitcoin hit $100k?" "Will the Lakers win?" In this system, there is no room for the expert.
Whether you are a professional analyst with a complex model or someone just clicking a button because you like a logo, the system treats your input as identical.
This is the ๐๐ถ๐ป๐ฎ๐ฟ๐ ๐๐ผ๐๐๐น๐ฒ๐ป๐ฒ๐ฐ๐ธ, where sophisticated intelligence is flattened into a coin flip.
In these legacy markets, nuance goes to die. If you predict a move to a specific price and the market only just barely crosses the threshold, you get the same payout as the person who had no idea why it happened.
There is no reward for being ๐ฝ๐ฟ๐ฒ๐ฐ๐ถ๐๐ฒ๐น๐ right, only for being ๐ฑ๐ถ๐ฟ๐ฒ๐ฐ๐๐ถ๐ผ๐ป๐ฎ๐น๐น๐ lucky, but thereโs an alternative and that's where @trepa_io comes in.
Walk with me. ๐๐ฝ