The Numbers Desk

Sports through the numbers. 📊
Data-driven insights for CFB, NFL, NBA, MLB & more.
Bet smarter. Not harder.

[The Numbers Desk @TheNumbersDesk]

CFB passing yards per game through Week 2
Best offenses

1. SMU 435
2. Miami 428
3. LSU 401
4. Oregon State 370
5. Florida International 356
6. Arizona State 350
7. South Carolina 347
8. Arkansas State 344

[The Numbers Desk @TheNumbersDesk]

Purdue at UCLA: the pass game · UCLA -14, O/U 52.5

Purdue throws for 305 a game (#24 in CFB), 6.8 per pass play.
UCLA allows 168 passing yards a game (#32).

UCLA throws for 157 (#102), 6.5 per pass play.
Purdue allows 215 (#62).

[The Numbers Desk @TheNumbersDesk]

NFL rushing yards per game allowed through Week 1
Best defenses (lower is better)

1. LV 35
2. NYJ 47
3. ARI 52
4. NYG 55
5. CIN 59
6. KC 59
7. ATL 61
8. SEA 65

[The Numbers Desk @TheNumbersDesk]

PIT at NE: the run game · NE -5.5, O/U 41.5

PIT runs for 61 a game (#26 in NFL), 3.4 per carry.
NE allows 84 rushing yards a game (#12).

NE runs for 65 (#25), 2.4 per carry.
PIT allows 120 (#23).

[The Numbers Desk @TheNumbersDesk]

GB at NYJ: the market · GB -3.5, O/U 44.5

GB 2026: 0-1 (0%) ATS, 1-0 O/U
NYJ 2026: 1-0 (100%) ATS, 0-1 O/U

Since 2025: GB 5-10 (33%) ATS as a favorite · NYJ 8-8 (50%) as a dog
Home/road: NYJ 4-5 (44%) at home · GB 2-9 (18%) on the road

[The Numbers Desk @TheNumbersDesk]

CFB: home underdogs are 10-8-1 ATS (56%) this season
Avg margin vs the spread: +4.6

Since 2025: 152-142-8 (52%)

Through Week 2 · closing lines

[The Numbers Desk @TheNumbersDesk]

CFB rushing yards per game allowed through Week 2
Best defenses (lower is better)

1. LSU 46
2. Massachusetts 48
3. Alabama 55
4. Pittsburgh 57
5. Houston 65
6. Texas Tech 68
7. Troy 70
8. Notre Dame 73

[The Numbers Desk @TheNumbersDesk]

Troy at Missouri: the run game · Missouri -27.5, O/U 50.5

Troy runs for 199 a game (#34 in CFB), 5.2 per carry.
Missouri allows 118 rushing yards a game (#42).

Missouri runs for 176 (#46), 4.6 per carry.
Troy allows 70 (#7).

[The Numbers Desk @TheNumbersDesk]

New Mexico at Oklahoma: the market · Oklahoma -21.5, O/U 45.5

New Mexico 2026: 2-0 (100%) ATS, 1-1 O/U
Oklahoma 2026: 1-1 (50%) ATS, 0-2 O/U

Since 2025: New Mexico 4-3 (57%) ATS as a dog · Oklahoma 6-6 (50%) as a favorite

[The Numbers Desk @TheNumbersDesk]

NFL: road underdogs are 5-6-1 ATS (45%) this season
Avg margin vs the spread: +0.4

Since 2024: 160-171-4 (48%)

Through Week 1 · closing lines

[The Numbers Desk @TheNumbersDesk]

CFB against the spread through Week 3

Covering:
Sam Houston 3-0 (+19.3 vs the number)
Mississippi State 3-0 (+19.0 vs the number)
New Mexico 3-0 (+18.2 vs the number)
James Madison 3-0 (+18.0 vs the number)

Not covering:
Bowling Green 0-3 (-17.2 vs the number)

[One11 Recruiting @One11Recruiting]

MIDSEASON STANDOUTS: six ONE11 recruits whose September numbers changed the conversation

1. @TristanHorne_
2. @thech0zenSwan
3. @IsaiahRitzmann
4. @LorenzoF2009
5. @Rjwilliams03
6. @DevinFields_6

https://t.co/lcCnw7BHWQ

[The Numbers Desk @TheNumbersDesk]

NFL rushing yards per game through Week 1
Best offenses

1. CHI 232
2. KC 197
3. BAL 167
4. DET 163
5. NYG 160
6. SF 148
7. NYJ 145
8. LV 133

[The Numbers Desk @TheNumbersDesk]

PIT at NE: the pass game · NE -5.5, O/U 41.5

PIT throws for 206 a game (#20 in NFL), 4.4 per pass play.
NE allows 202 passing yards a game (#11).

NE throws for 212 (#18), 4.8 per pass play.
PIT allows 118 (#1).

[The Numbers Desk @TheNumbersDesk]

CFB: road underdogs are 38-42-1 ATS (48%) this season
Avg margin vs the spread: -1.0

Since 2025: 243-260-4 (48%)

Through Week 2 · closing lines

[The Numbers Desk @TheNumbersDesk]

CFB rushing yards per game through Week 2
Best offenses

1. Nevada 323
2. Mississippi State 301
3. Tennessee 300
4. Kansas State 295
5. West Virginia 291
6. Florida 282
7. South Carolina 279
8. Nebraska 272

[The Numbers Desk @TheNumbersDesk]

LV at NO · NO -3, O/U 43.5

LV: 26.5 points a game on 95 rushing and 208 passing yards; allows 13.5.
NO: 27.0 points a game on 71 rushing and 314 passing yards; allows 24.0.

3rd down: LV 42% · NO 53%
Turnovers: LV 1.5 lost/2.5 forced · NO 1.5/1.0

[The Numbers Desk @TheNumbersDesk]

Troy at Missouri: the pass game · Missouri -27.5, O/U 50.5

Troy throws for 153 a game (#103 in CFB), 5.7 per pass play.
Missouri allows 186 passing yards a game (#41).

Missouri throws for 292 (#28), 9.7 per pass play.
Troy allows 321 (#119).

[The Numbers Desk @TheNumbersDesk]

SEA at WAS · SEA -7, O/U 40.5

SEA: 22.0 points a game on 123 rushing and 211 passing yards; allows 8.5.
WAS: 21.0 points a game on 107 rushing and 236 passing yards; allows 30.5.

3rd down: SEA 36% · WAS 43%
Turnovers: SEA 0.5 lost/2.0 forced · WAS 0.5/0.0

[The Numbers Desk @TheNumbersDesk]

PHI at CHI · PHI -4.5, O/U 41.5

PHI: 24.0 points a game on 84 rushing and 247 passing yards; allows 21.0.
CHI: 31.0 points a game on 170 rushing and 255 passing yards; allows 23.0.

3rd down: PHI 53% · CHI 48%
Turnovers: PHI 1.0 lost/0.0 forced · CHI 1.5/1.0