The Odds Savior

Sports betting math, not hunches. +EV and arbitrage across US sportsbooks, every play graded against the closing line. Estimated edges, never guarantees. 21+

[The Odds Savior @TheOddsSavior]

Play of the day pulled straight from our portal:

John Carlson U2.5 Shots on Goal

~+10EV. Profitable bet when devigged against every other book offering a line.

NHL: Seattle Kraken at Tampa Bay Lightning

[The Odds Savior @TheOddsSavior]

Ousmane Dembélé 2+ shots on target at Fanatics: +250 (boost).

FanDuel, BetRivers and Bally Bet: +150.

Our fair price: about +190, estimated from their shot ladders.

Est. EV about +20%

Voids if he doesn't start.

Man City vs PSG, Champions League, 3:00 PM ET

[The Odds Savior @TheOddsSavior]

Over 2.5 at Fanatics: +165
Under 2.5 at Bally Bet: -128

+6.5% arbitrage.

$120 on the over, $180 on the under is easiest free $20 you can make right now

[The Odds Savior @TheOddsSavior]

One of many arbitrage opportunities our system sent notifications out for todays #NHL slate

$200 on @Novig , $200 on Bally guarantees ~$25-$30 in profit. 10 seconds of work.

[The Odds Savior @TheOddsSavior]

Ryan O'Reilly Under 0.5 points at BetMGM: +140.

Our fair price: +127, de-vigged from DraftKings, theScore Bet and Novig.

Est. EV +5.9%

Predators @ Canadiens, 7:10 PM ET

[The Odds Savior @TheOddsSavior]

2,015 paper bets on my +EV model. Fixed stake, no real money.

$250.9k staked
+$10.0k realized, +4.5% ROI
Beat the closing price on 74% of bets

Estimated edges, not guarantees. The closing line says the prices were good. Follow to get in on the action

[The Odds Savior @TheOddsSavior]

🚀
Paper bets since Sep 19. Every line our model flagged at 5%+ est. EV, auto-logged.

1,596 graded
638-958
+56.5u flat, ROI +3.5%
Beat the book's close on 73%

[The Odds Savior @TheOddsSavior]

Roman Josi Under 2.5 shots on goal at BetMGM: -110.

Pinnacle -154
theScore Bet -169
DraftKings -175

Our fair price: -138, de-vigged from Pinnacle, DraftKings and Novig.

Est. EV +10.6%

BetMGM prices the Over at -135. Pinnacle has it +117.

Predators @ Maple Leafs, 7:10 PM ET

[The Odds Savior @TheOddsSavior]

@secretbettin @stevewilldoit This is a great thread for beginner sports bettors, but you’d be shocked at the number of positive EV bets you can find with the right tools 👀

[The Odds Savior @TheOddsSavior]

Caesars hung Senators @ Red Wings Under 6.5 at +115 tonight (Tue 7:10 PM ET game).

DraftKings had the same Under at -135.

Our fair price: -122, de-vigged from DraftKings, Fanatics and Kalshi. Est. EV +18.4%.

[The Odds Savior @TheOddsSavior]

Make sure to follow and turn notifications on to make sure you catch mis-priced lines like this one!

[The Odds Savior @TheOddsSavior]

Luca Cagnoni Over 1.5 shots on goal, Sharks @ Stars (Mon 8:10 PM ET)

BetMGM +125
ProphetX -145
Novig -147
DraftKings -189
Fanatics -189
bet365 -227

Our fair price is about -162, so the estimated EV is 35%. Every other book has him favored to get there. BetMGM is paying plus money.

[The Odds Savior @TheOddsSavior]

Patrick Jones II Under 0.5 sacks -179 on theScore Bet

Lions @ Panthers, SNF.

Estimated EV: +23% vs the market. A price edge, not a lock.

21+ | Gamble responsibly

[The Odds Savior @TheOddsSavior]

🤑 🤑
https://t.co/ljFZyPF0aD

[The Odds Savior @TheOddsSavior]

First logged play 📌

Josh Allen Over 29.5 pass attempts, Fanatics +110
Our fair price: -100 · Est. EV +5.1%

Patriots @ Bills, Sunday 1 PM ET. Logged before kickoff. We'll grade it against the closing line after the game, win or lose.

[The Odds Savior @TheOddsSavior]

@NFL @NEvsBUF @NFLPlus Fitting way to cash our first public bet since launch. First of many. 🚀 💰
https://t.co/ljFZyPF0aD

[The Odds Savior @TheOddsSavior]

First logged play 📌

Josh Allen Over 29.5 pass attempts, Fanatics +110
Our fair price: -100 · Est. EV +5.1%

Patriots @ Bills, Sunday 1 PM ET. Logged before kickoff. We'll grade it against the closing line after the game, win or lose.

[The Odds Savior @TheOddsSavior]

NHL Bet 🚀

Filip Hronek Under 0.5 Assists, -149 at BetMGM

Golden Knights @ Canucks, tonight 9:10 PM ET

Fair odds: -175
Estimated EV: +6.3%

[The Odds Savior @TheOddsSavior]

Sunday play 📌

Trevor Lawrence longest completion Over 39.5, BetMGM +115
Our fair price: +102 · Est. EV +6.6%

Jaguars @ Bengals, 1 PM ET. Logged 8:10 AM, graded against the closing line after the game.

[The Odds Savior @TheOddsSavior]

Every play our model has logged since Sep 19:

1,233 settled
+26.7 units (1 unit flat per play)
Beat the closing price on 71%

No cherry-picking. Every qualifying play is logged automatically, wins and losses. Estimated edges, never guarantees.

[The Odds Savior @TheOddsSavior]

First logged play 📌

Josh Allen Over 29.5 pass attempts, Fanatics +110
Our fair price: -100 · Est. EV +5.1%

Patriots @ Bills, Sunday 1 PM ET. Logged before kickoff. We'll grade it against the closing line after the game, win or lose.

[The Odds Savior @TheOddsSavior]

Most betting accounts post picks. We post math.

Every play here comes with the price, our estimated fair price, and how it graded against the closing line. Wins and losses, all of it.

Beating the close is the only scoreboard that matters. Starting today.