JUNE RECAP ๐๐
What a bounce back! June is officially in the books and we are finishing the month at +7.14 units!
After that little minus in May (-4.81U), we just kept our heads down, trusted the process, and grinded our way right back into the green. Not only did we wipe out the losses, but we are now officially sitting in all-time profit. Thatโs exactly why this game is a marathon, not a sprint.
Wimbledon has just started, the momentum is fully on our side, and Iโm ready to keep this cooking all through July.
Wimbledon ๐ฌ๐ง
๐ง๐ช Bergs ML 1.80 -125 3U
I really donโt get these odds. Zizou Bergs is in the form of his life right now, coming straight off winning his first ATP title in Eastbourne just last week. He is hitting the ball with massive confidence and his grass-court game looks incredibly sharp.
Arthur Fery has the home crowd on his side, which is why the bookies are keeping this line so close, but talent and momentum are heavily with the Belgian here. Getting Bergs at 1.80 against a player outside the top 100 is a steal. I expect him to take care of business.
Wimbledon ๐ฌ๐ง
๐ฎ๐น Cobolli ML 2.25 +125 1U
Flavio is coming into this match with his confidence being sky high. After reaching the final of Roland Garros he is in the 3rd round of Wimbledon and hoping for another deep run.
โThe Italian is having a great season so far while Karen is struggling a lot with consistency and even his highs are not like his prime. He played 2 very good matches in the tournament so far but all the value is definitely on Flavio's side.
Wimbledon ๐ฌ๐ง
๐บ๐ธ Brooksby ML @ 1.75 -133 1U
People seem to forget who Brooksby used to be. An undeniable talent whose achievements are twice as impressive as the average top 100 player due to his condition. Let's get to the match tho.
โBuse has no experience on grass and apart from this year he has only played one match on the surface. Brooksby's return game will put a lot of pressure on the shaky serve of the Peruvian and I expect a lot of breaks from him. He will obviously dominate from the baseline and if he can land his 1st serve over 60% I don't think he will have a lot of problems tomorrow.
@BryanCantlay Yeah but still experience matters, especially on grand slams. Also the wins of buse wasn't impressive at all especially on the last round against Nava. If the American hadn't collapsed he would probably win.
Wimbledon ๐ฌ๐ง
๐ต๐ฑ Hurkacz -1.5 sets @ 1.70 -143 1.5U
๐ต๐ฑ Hurkacz 3-0 @ 2.80 +180 0.5U
Hubi had an excellent first match demolishing Ruud 3-0. Ofner was lucky to play Medjedovic whose fitness didn't allow him to be competitive for 5 sets. I expect the Pole to go full on from the start and use his massive serve to control the rhythm. Overall he is the much better player and the match is on his racket to lose.
Wimbledon ๐ฌ๐ง
๐ฌ๐ท-๐ท๐ธ Tsitsipas-Djokovic over3.5 sets @ 1.80 -125 3U
Stef looked like Stef in the first round against Gaston getting a comfortable 3-0 win. Novak had a more difficult day allowing Wu to get a set off of him. If Stef can maintain his level I don't see how this can end up as a 3-0 blowout for the Serbian. Would also bet a little piece on Stef to win here, but I have fallen for the trap before.
Wimbledon ๐ฌ๐ง
๐บ๐ธ Nakashima -1.5 sets @ 1.70 -143 2U
๐บ๐ธ Nakashima 3-0 @ 2.75 +175 0.5U
Don't even get me started with how bad Struff played in the first match against Baez. Those 2 sets he lost, he seemed like a 12UTR player playing against prime Federer. Nakashima on the other hand was playing some insane tennis out there, getting a comfortable 3-0 win against local favourite JPJ. His return game alone can win him this match and with the way he serves right now I don't see him losing even a set.
Wimbledon ๐ฌ๐ง
๐ณ๐ฑ Botic ML @ 2.15 +115 1U
The Dutchman is literally built for a matchup like this. He doesn't have the strongest return and surely not the biggest serve. However, long baseline rallies are what makes him a great player and I expect this match to be exactly that. Safiullin also played a 5-setter just 2 days ago against Rublev which went to a final-set tie-break, so I am not sure about his fitness as well. Overall I love the underdog odds here.
Wimbledon ๐ฌ๐ง
๐ต๐ฑ Majchrzak ML & o29.5 @ 1.70 -143 2U
Kamil is coming into this match with his confidence being sky high after his title in the Netherlands. He is game is well suited for grass while Tabilo's game is better in clay. I think the Polish will take care of business here. 3
tight sets and we are all good.
Wimbledon ๐ฌ๐ง
๐ซ๐ท Humbert ML & ๐ต๐น Faria over 3.5 sets @ 2.20 +120 3U
Not much to say about Ugo. He is overall the better player and I just love the fact that Bergs won the title against him just 2 days ago. I love the revenge spot and the fact that the odds went from 1.40 to 1.55 just because he lost makes this an excellent bet.
โShimabukuro surprised me with his performances during this grass season while Faria played some inspiring tennis in the qualifiers here. I can't see anyone losing 3-0 as the match SCREAMS over 3.5.
Wimbledon ๐ฌ๐ง
๐ญ๐บ Fucsovics ML & ๐ณ๐ด-๐ต๐ฑ Ruud-Hurcaz over 3.5 sets @ 2.08 +108 3U
First up, Marton Fucsovics is a seasoned veteran on grass, famously known for his deep runs here and his incredibly heavy, flat strokes that suit this surface perfectly. Luca Van Assche is an undeniable talent, but his game is still heavily suited for clay, and he lacks the variety, slice, and low-bounce management required to trouble someone with Fucsovics' grass-court pedigree. Expecting Martonโs physical conditioning and vast experience on this specific turf to comfortably carry him through to the next round.
As for the second matchup, Casper and Hubert are poised to deliver a classic. Hurkacz is naturally the superior grass-court player with his lethal serve and excellent net game, making him the rightful favorite, but Ruud is a proven top-tier competitor who fights for every single point in best-of-five formats. While Hurkacz should find plenty of free points on his serve, his occasional baseline lapses often open windows for opponents. Ruud has more than enough quality, grit, and return depth to capitalize on those moments and snatch at least one set, pushing this match past the straight-sets mark.