Orion Engine

ORION is a search engine for markets to help you find similar price shape + macro context setups across 30 years of historical data and see what came next.

[Orion Engine @TheOrionEngine]

Most market commentary starts with a narrative and then searches for evidence.

ORION starts with the data instead.

The engine scans decades of market history to find periods that most closely resemble current conditions across price structure, volatility, momentum, macro regime, and market behavior, then maps how those analogs actually evolved afterward.

Built for people asking questions like:

• “When have markets looked like this before?”
• “What typically happened next?”
• “Is this move normal, euphoric, or breaking historical precedent?”
• “How different is this cycle really?”

Features include:

• Historical analog search across multiple timeframes
• Forward path projections from matched periods
• Macro-aware similarity scoring
• Time Machine mode to test what the engine would have shown at past moments in real time
• Interactive overlays and regime analysis

The goal is not prediction theater.

It is building a better framework for probabilistic thinking under uncertainty.

Try the live app for free at https://t.co/lUjOJWaz3Y !

[Orion Engine @TheOrionEngine]

@HenrikZeberg Yes
https://t.co/0kFrroZ08C

[Orion Engine @TheOrionEngine]

https://t.co/vHzNtAgJDl

[Orion Engine @TheOrionEngine]

Orion Engine Pro users got their daily brief this morning before market open, scanning a wide range of stock, crypto and index tickers to find high accuracy matches and identify key opportunities for the coming weeks and months without lifting a finger.

Today's lead read was $AAPL and I'm sharing it with you all, but the rest the report contains a lot of other interesting historical analogs and tight reads across sectors, make sure to check it out as these go out daily.

https://t.co/lUjOJWaz3Y

[Orion Engine @TheOrionEngine]

@bycoinhunter BTC.D is interesting, I am considering adding it, but it's an additional API workload and will consider it if I see more requests or if a Pro user asks for it!

[Orion Engine @TheOrionEngine]

$GLD #GOLD still a neutral/bearish outlook here from historical analog consensus.

The past 18 month's move in metals is akin to every major top before it, and at least a few more months of downwards consolidation might be due as rotation to riskier asset classes continues.

[Orion Engine @TheOrionEngine]

@bycoinhunter I'll be totally honest, ETH has such crap price action over the past 5 years that it's hard to find any accurate analogs. All I find is below 60% accuracy so I wouldn't consider any analysis relevant here, sorry. Historical analogs work best with extensive data through cycles.

[Orion Engine @TheOrionEngine]

$BTC #BITCOIN historically, this recent price action (past 2M) has lead to at least a moderate bounce or recovery in the short term. Especially with how oversold the RSI is at every time frame, this seems likely.

[Orion Engine @TheOrionEngine]

@cointradernik Starting to look more and more like 2015 like you say. Capitulation, chop then failed rally before flying... It's the highest match window right now on my engine

[Orion Engine @TheOrionEngine]

@TradingThomas3 Imagine telling someone two months ago that 733P on SPY is a put hedge lmao

[Orion Engine @TheOrionEngine]

@palmbtcX No

[Orion Engine @TheOrionEngine]

Doesn't get any clearer than this.

$BTC #Bitcoin put in a textbook bottom formation analogous to every major bottom before it since 2014.

Historically after every one of these moves, a huge rally followed in the coming weeks.

Stay tuned! 🟠

[Orion Engine @TheOrionEngine]

@ezcontra Summer chop then higher looks like

[Orion Engine @TheOrionEngine]

$SPY Here's the consensus paths across top 5 historical analogs for the past 6 months of the index.

Some consolidation in June and throughout the summer to digest the recent gains in Spring, followed by a continuation of the meltup into year end with a price target of >$800.

[Orion Engine @TheOrionEngine]

@jaymesrosenthal Good morning 🫡

[Orion Engine @TheOrionEngine]

@CrypticTrades_ Agree on the relief rally from historical standpoint

[Orion Engine @TheOrionEngine]

$BTC #BITCOIN historically, this recent price action (past 2M) has lead to at least a moderate bounce or recovery in the short term. Especially with how oversold the RSI is at every time frame, this seems likely.

[Orion Engine @TheOrionEngine]

$USO #OIL one of the better forecasts I've been following on the watchlist.

Everyone was convinced a month ago that oil would crash to $60, yet here we are, consolidating still at these levels as expected.

The fact is historically, sharp Oil price rises remained elevated.

[Orion Engine @TheOrionEngine]

@Chokagesama @cantonmeow Yes or near it

[Thorsten Froehlich @FroehlichThors1]

#CRYPTO - your time will come

Let me be direct: framing BTC as a macro asset that dutifully follows business cycles or four-year halvings is a fundamental misreading of what it actually is, and I understand why that is a frustrating thing to hear if you have been positioned and waiting.

BTC and crypto more broadly, though at smaller scale, is a high-octane liquidity vehicle, full stop. It moves when liquidity rotates toward it, not before. Right now that liquidity is firmly committed elsewhere: locked in a tech FOMO trade that shows no signs of exhaustion, and chasing APAC equities outside of China, Japan included.

The capital is there. It is simply not yours yet.

What makes this moment genuinely unprecedented is this: BTC has never coexisted with an equities bull market of this magnitude alongside a simultaneous precious metals rally and still been sidelined. That is not a bearish signal. That is deferred pressure. And with the SpaceX IPO potentially hoovering up another wave of risk appetite, the queue may extend a little further.

But your turn is coming. When liquidity finally rotates, and it will, the entry point you are sitting on today will look like the opportunity it actually is.

[Orion Engine @TheOrionEngine]

@FroehlichThors1 @TheBigCycleGame Great write up

[Orion Engine @TheOrionEngine]

@jaymesrosenthal @therollupco The ones missing something are these fellas missing a few neurons

Saylor said weeks ago that he would sell a few BTC to inoculate the markets

He also addressed the converts and sales to verify liquidity of their stack which were major concerns from the S&P500 board

[Orion Engine @TheOrionEngine]

@David_Tracey Yes.

[Orion Engine @TheOrionEngine]

Doesn't get any clearer than this.

$BTC #Bitcoin put in a textbook bottom formation analogous to every major bottom before it since 2014.

Historically after every one of these moves, a huge rally followed in the coming weeks.

Stay tuned! 🟠

[Orion Engine @TheOrionEngine]

@David_Tracey Well done David. I think it will start slowing down as capital rotates to laggards

[Orion Engine @TheOrionEngine]

Good morning!

$SOXX (Semiconductors ETF) that I've been tracking in wachlist for one week has been slowing down and consolidating at these high levels as expected.

One week ago the consensus on X was a blow-off top or a crash to zero, analogs said otherwise, again! 🤝

[Orion Engine @TheOrionEngine]

Fully agree with @Sykodelic_ here, this move is very off from the norm.

The setup I started tracking few weeks ago did indicate short term pain, but the downside is very exaggerated from the consensus view according to top historical analogs.

This might play out like the weakest one here, which saw a lot more consolidation at these levels before eventually flipping the trend.

[Sykodelic 🔪 @Sykodelic_]

Immediate continued expansion very likely Invalidated.

Unless Bitcoin recovers to above $72,500 this week(could happen), the most bullish case is likely off the table.

There is a chance Bitcoin can recover the lost trend here locally today, but again, probability is low.

I will openly admit that this current market dynamic is a very strange one and has caught me by surprise.

We have:
- Weak BTC
- Weak BTC Dominance
- Very strong ETH/BTC
- Very strong OTHERS.D

Bitcoins RSI is at the lowest point and OTHERS.D at the highest.

Essentially, Alts are massively stronger than Bitcoin on this move.

This is a setup I don't think I have seen before.

Bitcoin is the strongest crypto asset, and when the market is weak and dropping, others assets drop harder than Bitcoin.

But that is not what is happening.

This whole move seems extremely forced and overextended, and currently, Bitcoin is the only macro asset not responding to the macro environment.

We have either truly decoupled from everything, or we will, at some point, mean revert very fkin hard.

But time will tell now.

Back to the charts deeply today to review things.

Congrats all all who won on this move.