+630 Chiefs @ Chargers SGP ๐
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+544 #TNF Parlay ๐
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#Cowboys#Eagles#NFL#GamblingX
๐ REAPERโS 1หขแต KILL โ MLB (Wednesday)
Jackson Chourio o6.5 Fantasy Score (PrizePicks)
๐ Jackson Chourio has exceeded 6.5 fantasy score in 8 of his last 10 games (80%) and 14 of his last 20 (70%), posting a .402 AVG, .439 OBP, and .670 SLG over his last 25 games, with 21 runs, 39 hits, 9 doubles, 1 triple, 5 homers, and 19 RBI. After an IL stint, heโs returned strong with 4 runs and 6 hits in his first 3 games back.
๐ชฆ Facing Aaron Nola, who struggles this season with a .300 BAA vs. RHB, .406 BABIP, and 6.47 ERA, Chourioโs .282 AVG, .320 OBP, and 119.8 wRC+ set him up well.
๐ช His o1.5 HRR line at -155 on DraftKings and -180 on Underdog is nearly identical to his fantasy score hit rate.
#PlayerProps #MLB #GamblingX
+376 Pitcher Parlay
โพ Mlodzinski: Tight leash due to injury recovery, only 44 & 46 pitches last 2 games, pitching outs line not available anywhere.
โพ Crochet: Arguably the best pitcher in baseball, 31.1 K% (97th percentile), faces CLE (19th in K%).
โพ Webb: 26.1 K% (84th percentile), Strong matchup vs. COL (29th in K%).
๐ REAPERโS 1หขแต KILL โ MLB (Monday)
Spencer Strider o4.5 Hits Allowed
๐ Spencer Strider has allowed over 4.5 hits in 8 of his last 10 starts (80%), 13 of his last 20 (65%), and 12 of 18 starts this season (67%), including 5 of his last 6 with a scorching 7.3 hits/game average in that span. He holds a season average of 5.28 hits allowed.
๐ชฆ Facing the Cubs today, where Chicago is favored to win, they should exploit Strider's vulnerabilities with their .250 AVG (12th this season), 20.0 K% (4th this season), and 32.5% HardHit rate vs. RHP (14th this season).
Strider's own stats show a .259 BAA (35th percentile), .313 BABIP (16th percentile), 37.2% HardHit allowed (7th percentile), and inflated 4.95 ERA (23rd percentile), paired with his average of 5.1 innings, 91.3 pitches, and 23.1 batters faced per start, setting up plenty of opportunities for hits against a motivated Cubs lineup.
๐ช Best odds at -110 on ProphetX (vs. -135 DraftKings, -169 Underdog) offer strong value.
โค๏ธ Hit LIKE for a PrizePicks lineup!
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๐๐ธ #PrizePicks Wake n Cash 6x
Last nightโs lineup hit, letโs do it again. All picks are from the DGF +EV optimizer, lines will probably be bumped soon.
๐ https://t.co/b68AAD8Wq1
๐ REAPERโS 1หขแต KILL โ MLB (Wednesday)
Brayan Bello o17.5 Outs
๐ Brayan Bello has exceeded 17.5 outs in 8 of his last 10 games (80%), 13 of his last 20 (65%), and 5 of his 8 road starts this season (63%), with a season average of 18 outs per game.
๐ชฆ Facing the Orioles tonight, Bello benefits from a long leash this season, often pitching deep into games with an average of 95.2 pitches and facing 24.8 batters per start. The Orioles struggle with a .244 AVG (ranked 20th) and .310 OBP (ranked 24th) vs. RHP this season, dropping to a .237 AVG (ranked 22nd) and .315 OBP (ranked 17th) over the last 30 days, making them susceptible to Belloโs longevity and 3.05 ERA (79th percentile).
๐ช Best odds at -130 on NoVig (vs. -175 BetMGM, -193 Underdog) offer great value.
โค๏ธ Hit LIKE for a bonus PrizePicks lineup!
#PlayerProps #MLB #GamblingX
๐ REAPERโS 1หขแต KILL โ MLB (Tuesday)
Dylan Cease o6.5 Strikeouts
๐ Dylan Cease has exceeded 6.5 strikeouts in 7 of his last 10 starts (70%), and in 13 of his last 20 (65%), with a median of 7.5 in the last 10 games.
๐ชฆ Facing Seattle tonight, the Mariners' 22.5 K% vs. RHP this season (ranked 22nd) and 23.3 K% over the last 30 days (ranked 20th) play into Cease's strong 30.1 K% (95th percentile) and 11.6 K/9 (97th percentile). His average of 5.1 innings and 94.4 pitches per start, along with facing 22.8 batters on average, sets up well for strikeouts.
Additionally, the over for Cease's pitching outs line at 16.5 is heavily favored despite only being hit in 3 of his last 10 games, which makes me think he will go deep into the game and rack up strikeouts.
๐ช Best odds at -135 on BetMGM (vs. -154 FanDuel, -160 Caesar's) offer solid value.
โค๏ธ Hit LIKE for a PrizePicks lineup!
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