The Record Race

Tennis records as probabilities. Our statistical model simulates every future tournament and ranking week from results, rankings, age curves, injuries and more.

[The Record Race @TheRecordRace]

Sinner's season is over, so it's no longer if, but when. Our model has Zverev at No. 1 on November 2 in six of ten simulations, and by November 16 in all of them. He's set to become the first German man to finish a year on top.

[The Record Race @TheRecordRace]

@TennisTV @ZizouBergs The streak stops at seven. Still 33-5 this year, in a season where he missed Roland Garros and Wimbledon.

[The Record Race @TheRecordRace]

@jmgmoron Most likely on November 2, when Sinner's Paris points come off. Here's how our model saw it last week: https://t.co/Tnr5aKs6ee

[The Record Race @TheRecordRace]

Sinner's season is over, so it's no longer if, but when. Our model has Zverev at No. 1 on November 2 in six of ten simulations, and by November 16 in all of them. He's set to become the first German man to finish a year on top.

[The Record Race @TheRecordRace]

@TennisTV @AlexZverev The 20th different year-end No. 1 in ATP history, and the first German. Becker made it to the top in 1991 but never finished a season there.

[The Record Race @TheRecordRace]

Zverev is set to become the second-oldest first-time world No. 1 in ATP history, behind only John Newcombe in 1974. He'll be a few weeks older than Andy Murray was in 2016.

[The Record Race @TheRecordRace]

@jmgmoron Federer and Djokovic lost seven Roland Garros finals to Nadal between them. Djokovic is still the only man who beat him there twice.

[The Record Race @TheRecordRace]

@atptour @AlexZverev @SH_RolexMasters 60 wins this season, and next month the No. 1 ranking to go with it.

[The Record Race @TheRecordRace]

@TennisLegende @atptour @TennisTV And he still won it in a third-set tiebreak. It was the second of his four Shanghai titles, still the record there.

[The Record Race @TheRecordRace]

@Djoko_UTD Federer reached five Roland Garros finals. Nadal was on the other side in four of them.

[The Record Race @TheRecordRace]

At 25, Sinner has exactly as many Grand Slams as Djokovic had at that age. Djokovic went on to win 19 more. Our model's middle path takes Sinner to 12. Can he do a Djokovic?

[The Record Race @TheRecordRace]

@SkySportDE So the year-end No. 1 is settled. The only open question is which Monday in November he takes over https://t.co/Tnr5aKs6ee

[The Record Race @TheRecordRace]

Sinner's season is over, so it's no longer if, but when. Our model has Zverev at No. 1 on November 2 in six of ten simulations, and by November 16 in all of them. He's set to become the first German man to finish a year on top.

[The Record Race @TheRecordRace]

At 23, Alcaraz has more Grand Slams than Federer, Nadal or Djokovic had at the same age. Our model's middle path takes him to 17, fourth on the all-time list. Too low?

[The Record Race @TheRecordRace]

@DjokovicFan_ The first of those 21 came in Amersfoort in July 2006. Alcaraz was three, Sinner was four.

[The Record Race @TheRecordRace]

@PuntoDBreak Our model, injuries included, gets him past 20 in about one in five careers. Half of the simulations end with at least 17, which would already make him No. 4 of all time.

[The Record Race @TheRecordRace]

@tennisweeklypod The ranking rewards the whole year, and his was remarkably steady. He's the only man who reached the semis or better at all four majors in 2026, with two titles among them.

[The Record Race @TheRecordRace]

@sportful That's title No. 102, one behind Federer. And next up is Shanghai, where he's won four times.

[The Record Race @TheRecordRace]

@Tiempodetenis1 He'll also be the first German man to finish a year at No. 1. Becker got to the top in 1991, but never at season's end. Here's when Zverev takes over: https://t.co/Tnr5aKsE3M

[The Record Race @TheRecordRace]

Sinner's season is over, so it's no longer if, but when. Our model has Zverev at No. 1 on November 2 in six of ten simulations, and by November 16 in all of them. He's set to become the first German man to finish a year on top.

[The Record Race @TheRecordRace]

@jmgmoron And they drop in three steps: Vienna's 500 on October 26, Paris's 1,000 on November 2 and Turin's 1,500 on November 16. Zverev can take over on the 2nd if he earns enough in Shanghai and Vienna.

[The Record Race @TheRecordRace]

@atptour First Beijing title in 2009, five more in the 2010s, and now one in the 2020s. Three decades at the same tournament without losing a single match there.

[The Record Race @TheRecordRace]

@UniversTennis Get well soon, Jannik. Even from the sidelines he stays No. 1 until at least the end of October, which makes 95 weeks. Agassi's 101 for ninth all-time is a nice target for 2027.

[The Record Race @TheRecordRace]

@carlosalcaraz Ten matches in Tokyo, ten wins. Next up is Shanghai, one of the three Masters titles you're still missing, along with Canada and Paris. Good luck!