The Regime Report

R² classifies every market before a single indicator is applied. Equities · Commodities · Currencies · Ratios. Every Sunday.

[The Regime Report @TheRegimeReport]

7/7 "The regime determines the tool. Not the other way around."
We are also watching the Iran ceasefire deal closely—if confirmed, expect oil to test $75-78 and a massive commodity deflation event.
Are you positioned for the Warsh FOMC? Let me know your plan below! 👇

[The Regime Report @TheRegimeReport]

2/7 🚨 VALUE ROTATION CONFIRMED
The Dow Jones just broke above its 52-week high to 51,202. Meanwhile, the Nasdaq is recovering from its recent semiconductor crash but remains fragile with flat conviction.
The play? The framework signals a strong moderate trend for the Dow—buy dips to the 9 EMA.

[The Regime Report @TheRegimeReport]

6/7 🏛️ THE WARSH FOMC WILDCARD
Everything hinges on Kevin Warsh's first FOMC on June 16-17. It's a binary event for every asset class. 🦅 Hawkish Warsh: DXY pushes past 100.5, Gold tests 3,900−4,000, EUR/USD breaks its 21 EMA support. 🕊️ Dovish Warsh: Structural dollar weakness resumes, Gold recovers toward $4,500+, and EUR/USD targets 1.1638.

[The Regime Report @TheRegimeReport]

https://t.co/Ov7I4esqp5

[The Regime Report @TheRegimeReport]

Know the regime before you pick the tool. Read the full brief at https://t.co/7lbNp88mse ! 👇

[The Regime Report @TheRegimeReport]

1/6 🚨 Thursday delivered one of the most data-dense and geopolitically volatile sessions of the year. A hot PPI print, an abrupt Iran de-escalation, and the lead-up to history's largest IPO caused the market's rare "four-trap condition" to violently resolve in opposite directions. Here are today’s regime alerts 🧵👇

[The Regime Report @TheRegimeReport]

Read the full brief at
https://t.co/Ov7I4esqp5 ! 👇

[The Regime Report @TheRegimeReport]

4/6 📈 THE LIVE TREND: The US 10-Year Yield remains the strongest trending asset on the board with an advancing R² of 0.80. The long trade remains live and is advancing steadily toward our 4.75% (+2.0σ) target.

[The Regime Report @TheRegimeReport]

6/6 🧠 The reactive trader got chopped up buying the initial CPI relief yesterday. The planned trader saw the equity R² declining beforehand and knew the trap conditions were already set.

[The Regime Report @TheRegimeReport]

Know the regime before you pick the tool