If you're buying individual stocks, at some point you have to do the due diligence others aren't willing to do so you have the conviction to bet big on a company you believe in…Or be okay reading about other investors doing it. Conviction is uncomfortable, that's why it's rare.
$EVVTY is a simple bet on durability. It doesn’t need heroic growth. It needs to remain the supplier operators can’t afford to drop. If that stays true, $85 looks attractive here. If it becomes interchangeable, the economics change quickly.
The stock market punishes attachment and rewards adaptability.
Investing in stocks should not be seen as a single bet but a series of bets. Businesses evolve very quickly, in good and bad ways. In 3-6-12 months, a business might deserve more of your capital or none of it.
You don’t find great stocks by hunting for them. That’s what amateurs do. You build a system that makes it inevitable.
Relationships, networks, tools. You build these over time. Like a spider spinning a web.
When something hits the web, you act on it. You see what you caught.
The biggest positions in your stock portfolio should only be considered big because they performed well. Not because you kept averaging down to prove to the market you were right.
Price should validate your reason for buying. Not your stubbornness.
Most startups don’t fail because of competitors.
They fail because founders don’t get honest feedback from their team.
If you’re a founder, your team will tell you what they think you want to hear.
It’s your job to make sure they don’t.
We see this in almost every early-stage company we invest in.
S&P 500 is down 18% off all-time highs.
Most investors won’t buy the dip.
They’ll wait. Until stocks bounce 20–30% off the lows. Not because they timed it right. But because it finally felt safe.
By then, the opportunity’s gone.
But they’ll still say they did.
To sound smart.
To protect their ego.
Move before it’s comfortable.
Play for longevity, not applause.
Most investors chase the high of being right. The ones who win know it’s about staying in the game long enough to be rewarded when they are.
What they tell you:
If you invested $1k in Nvidia’s IPO and held shares until today, that investment would be worth $4.8M today.
What they don't tell you:
If you invested $1k in Nvidia’s IPO and held shares until today, you would have endured 17 declines of 20% or more.
The best thing about the smallest decile of the stock market (microcap companies with less than $100M market cap) is that institutions can’t sell what they don’t own.
If a microcap is growing, profitable, and self-funding, then institutions can only buy them at a higher price.
The more you know, the less you fear.
The more due diligence you do on an investment, the more volatility you can handle.
When you truly understand your portfolio, volatility isn’t a threat. It becomes an opportunity.
What you tell yourself:
"If X stock drops to Y price I'll buy it."
Reality:
90% of the time you won't. You'll come up with another excuse not to buy it. You might be right. But you let price action determine your conviction instead of doing the work to value the business.
Investing 101
Fear, greed, and emotional impulses have destroyed more investment portfolios than any recession we have ever been through.
Fortune favors the disciplined.
Evolution Gaming $EVVTY is now the cheapest it has EVER been.
– 6.6% FCF Yield
– 29% Free Cash Flow Growth
– Wide moat driven from scale economies and high switching costs
If you call yourself a long-term investor, then stop wasting your time with these:
❌ Price targets
❌ Analyst reports
❌ Earnings forecasts
❌ Technical analysis
Instead, focus on these:
✅ Fair value
✅ Economic moat
✅ Management quality
✅ Fundamental analysis
Spend your time wisely.
RIP Jim Simons – the man who beat the market.
How good was he?
If you invested $1,000 into his Medallion Fund in 1988, you'd have $42,000,000 today.
His Medallion Fund returned 66% per year over 30 years – making him one of the best hedge fund managers ever.
Few can match his success.
If you constantly worry about selling a great business when it reaches fair value, then you won’t get 5x, 10x, 20x returns.
Instead shift your focus to whether the business is growing its earnings & cash flows at sustainably high rates 📈