Gaps almost always get filled, especially when there’s downside momentum and it’s that close to getting filled. If the gap is protected, it will often signal a change of character/reversal for the stock. If it’s able to hold and follow-through, it targets 107.25, 111-112.5 next.
$ES #ES_f
Last week was an eventful one, as sellers successfully pushed $ES below 5272 which was ‘must-hold’ support (bottom of consolidation range & breakout trigger from CPI on 5/14). This triggered downside and volatility once it broke, though didn’t hold long.
$DIS after a large pullback is testing $100-102 support with a strong reaction from buyers off this zone so far. If this successfully holds, it’s a major sign of strength from buyers due to the gap fill slightly below there ($99.3) being protected.
All this recent pullback has done is backtest the breakout from 12/13 (FOMC meeting) and built out a bullflag in the process.
Next week I’ll be watching the 192.3-193.15 zone to act as the key pivot.
Simple R/R to trade it - enter above 193.15 and back below 192.3 is risk/SL.
Is $IWM next up to join the rally?
- the index had a 27% move up from lows at the end of January to end of December.
- Healthy pullback and built out a bullflag for the last 3 weeks.
Now potentially setting up for the next leg higher starting next week.