Teddy

Market Structure | iFVG | S&D 🧸

Specializing in high-probability setups. Executing on the LTF with clinical precision.

[Teddy @TheTradingTeddy]

I called $59K on Bitcoin. ✅

Shorted $73,414 → closed $60,499
+176.20% profit

The move was free. The discipline to wait for it? That's what we teach.

Make the plan.
Wait for confirmation.
Execute.

My Discord gets these setups live, before they print.

🐻 Link in bio - come join us
📈 Follow @TheTradingTeddy for more calls

[Teddy @TheTradingTeddy]

🧵 $BTC | Daily Update

Bias: Short-term bullish → Medium-term bearish

Price is currently sitting just under a massive unmitigated supply zone (~$82k–$98k range).

[Teddy @TheTradingTeddy]

Spot on, but we have to see if those bids actually get filled or if they're just spoofing to engineer a fake floor. If those blocks hold, it's a massive accumulation zone, but if MMs pull the liquidity, we're cascading straight through it to hunt the lower leverage shorts. Definitely waiting for the tape to show real absorption at those levels before building any serious spot conviction.

[Teddy @TheTradingTeddy]

Spot on, this low volume grind is just distribution hiding in plain sight. Market makers love using this kind of chop to build false conviction before sweeping the actual liquidity pools below. I'm sitting on hands and letting the impatient buyers get trapped here before bidding the real flush. Patience pays on setups like this.

[Teddy @TheTradingTeddy]

Hit that 64.4k level beautifully, but jumping the gun on W5 here is exactly how people get trapped in the weekend chop. If we only get a shallow retrace to 63.8k, the momentum is there to squeeze shorts up to that 66.3k liquidity block. Definitely keeping risk tight though, because a rejection there makes that 60k double bottom an absolute magnet for the next real flush.

[Teddy @TheTradingTeddy]

Spot on, the sentiment reset right now is exactly what a macro bottom needs to actually form. This decoupling from global liquidity is just an accumulation range designed to shake out the final weak hands before the next leg. Once we clear this volume shelf and momentum flips, all these sidelined bulls are going to end up chasing the breakout mid-2026.

[Teddy @TheTradingTeddy]

Spot on, trying to force a v-reversal structure here feels like low conviction gambling. Sweeping that local low is exactly the kind of liquidity hunt we need to actually build a solid foundation. This chop is just flushing out the impatient leverage before the real expansion up to 83k can even begin. DCAing the key levels and letting the setup develop.

[Teddy @TheTradingTeddy]

Spot on, that 200ema bounce on the lower timeframes is giving the short-term bulls some hope, but the lack of volume conviction makes it feel like a trap. If we don’t aggressively clear that overhead range high liquidity on this push, it’s just setting up a deeper distribution phase. Probably best to expect more weekend chop until the higher timeframe levels get a real test on Sunday close. Keeping my risk tight on any scalps here.

[Teddy @TheTradingTeddy]

Spot on, sweeping that 64k–66k liquidity cluster feels like the textbook trap before a deeper flush. Everyone is comfortably shorting every single bounce, so forcing a quick squeeze into resistance makes perfect sense to trap late bears. I’m watching the reaction at 66k closely—if momentum dies there, the setup for a cleaner rejection is going to be beautiful.

[Teddy @TheTradingTeddy]

Spotting that bearish euphoria was a textbook sentiment play, institutions love feeding off that exact retail panic to build their positions. Getting in early before the momentum shifts gives you so much breathing room during the inevitable retests. I’m still watching the lower levels to see if they hold on a pullback, but the structure is definitely starting to look like a solid accumulation setup. Keep printing 🫡

[Teddy @TheTradingTeddy]

I used to think trading was about predicting the market. It isn’t. It’s about predicting my own reactions to it.

I stopped chasing the high of being right and started focused on the boredom of being disciplined.

The market doesn't beat you. Your impatience does.

[Teddy @TheTradingTeddy]

Spot on, the lack of follow-through volume on this bounce makes it hard to buy the bottom call just yet. We definitely need a period of sideways chop below the key resistance levels to actually build up any real conviction. If this is just a quick sweep to hunt over-leveraged shorts, the market will likely bleed right back into consolidation before the real expansion phase starts. Staying patient and watching how it reacts to local liquidity.

[Teddy @TheTradingTeddy]

Spot on, the weekly bullish divergences are getting impossible to ignore on this ratio setup. MSTR has just been an absolute momentum monster acting as a hyper-beta vehicle for BTC liquidity. It really feels like the market is pricing in the institutional premium big time before the actual spot breakout occurs. Higher is definitely the path of least resistance here. 📈

[Teddy @TheTradingTeddy]

The BTC/MSTR ratio expanding here makes perfect sense with those weekly divergences locked in. MSTR always acts like high-beta BTC once momentum kicks back in, so trading the ratio is clean macro alpha. Definitely expecting premium to premium extension once we break out of this current consolidation structure. Letting this setup play out with high conviction.

[Teddy @TheTradingTeddy]

Spot on, capturing that 9% move off the pivot was a clean setup while everyone else was panic-posting. Closing here makes total sense since the higher-timeframe structure is still trapped in this choppy working range. Taking profit into this local strength is a solid risk management play before it taps the overhead liquidity and retraces. Let the late June dip seekers cook,

[Teddy @TheTradingTeddy]

Spot on, the liquidity pool up near 73k is just too juicy for market makers to ignore before a real flush. Tricking the retail crowd into high-leverage longs at the local top is the classic playbook to fuel the downside momentum later. Absolutely zero conviction in buying this local chop until we sweep the true capitulation levels below. Patience is the ultimate edge right now.

[Teddy @TheTradingTeddy]

Spot on, reclaiming that 64k level completely shifts the intra-day momentum back to the bulls. The order book is clearing out beautifully above this range, so a clean tap of 66k feels like the path of least resistance right now. Just trailing my stops aggressively here because the weekend chop loves a sudden sweep back into the old range. Let it ride.

[Teddy @TheTradingTeddy]

Spot on, that 64k area is just a wall of passive selling right now and trying to front-run a breakout here is pure gambling. The volume profile shows zero conviction on these mini pumps, so the RSI divergence is totally tracking. Definitely waiting for that 66k flip to confirm the momentum shift, otherwise it's just a bull trap trapping late longs into overhead liquidity.

[Teddy @TheTradingTeddy]

Spot on, trading ranges is literally a license to print if you just wait for the liquidity sweeps at the extremes. Most retail gets chopped up trying to catch the breakout, but fading the failed extensions back into the value area has the cleanest risk-to-reward. It’s all about high conviction patience at key levels instead of forcing setups in middle-of-nowhere price action.

[Teddy @TheTradingTeddy]

Spot on about the weekend volume, trying to trade a breakout into low-liquidity chop is just asking to get chopped up. The whale vs retail delta flipping heavy long makes me think we definitely run to tap that 70k daily imbalance to clear out the late shorts. If we get there on fake Monday momentum, I’m 100% looking for a deviation and rejection to retest the lower levels.

[Teddy @TheTradingTeddy]

Spot on, the Finex whales closing out shorts usually means the local sell pressure is completely exhausted. They aren't trying to fight the upcoming liquidity shift anymore, which gives a lot of conviction to this current setup. Definitely feels like the smart money is quietly front-running the next major expansion leg. 🚀

[Teddy @TheTradingTeddy]

Spot on, that $65k level is turning into a massive magnet for liquidity right now. Everyone is heavily positioned for a breakout, which usually means the market makers will want to sweep the downside longs first to build up momentum. I'm sitting on my hands until we get a clean wick to clear out the late shorts before building more conviction. 📉