KingRichardFx • TheTurtleSouper

Macro Financial Economist | Analyst | Trader📈

Fundamental for Direction, Technicals for Entry.

[KingRichardFx • TheTurtleSouper @TheTurtleSouper]

In the Battlefield of Trading
Edge is your Sword 🗡
Risk Management is your Shield 🛡

[KingRichardFx • TheTurtleSouper @TheTurtleSouper]

@richard_mill_ NGN

[KingRichardFx • TheTurtleSouper @TheTurtleSouper]

@jamaal_trades Forget this Furus😂
U.S. inflation remains at 3.4%.
Drop your macro insight🤲🫡

[KingRichardFx • TheTurtleSouper @TheTurtleSouper]

@Kingboban237 What pair?😂

[KingRichardFx • TheTurtleSouper @TheTurtleSouper]

Much harder when you consume wrong information.

[King boban @Kingboban237]

an extreme sport

[KingRichardFx • TheTurtleSouper @TheTurtleSouper]

That is the real USD story right now:

The market is no longer asking, “When will the Fed cut?”

It is increasingly asking:

“What if the Fed cannot cut at all?”

[KingRichardFx • TheTurtleSouper @TheTurtleSouper]

THE FED IS GETTING A VERY UNCOMFORTABLE SIGNAL FROM THE MARKET.

The U.S. economy just added 162K jobs in August, far above expectations, while unemployment held at 4.1%.

That alone reduces the case for cutting rates.

But now oil is approaching $100.

That changes the equation.

[KingRichardFx • TheTurtleSouper @TheTurtleSouper]

And this is happening just days before U.S. CPI.

The interesting part?

The Fed doesn’t need to hike simply because growth is strong.

But if inflation reaccelerates while the labour market remains resilient, the argument for keeping rates higher becomes much stronger.

[KingRichardFx • TheTurtleSouper @TheTurtleSouper]

@jamaal_trades How’d you observe COT positioning for US dollar?

[KingRichardFx • TheTurtleSouper @TheTurtleSouper]

@jamaal_trades June Nfp revised up
July nfp revised up

Stable labour market✅

[KingRichardFx • TheTurtleSouper @TheTurtleSouper]

Stable US Labour Market

My Expectations for bullish USD stands.

[KingRichardFx • TheTurtleSouper @TheTurtleSouper]

Cautiously bullish on USD this week and potentially September too.

[KingRichardFx • TheTurtleSouper @TheTurtleSouper]

@jamaal_trades You’re on a different level bro💯

[KingRichardFx • TheTurtleSouper @TheTurtleSouper]

Exit Liquidity propaganda

[Kalshi @Kalshi]

BREAKING: Trump says stock market will “go up”

[KingRichardFx • TheTurtleSouper @TheTurtleSouper]

@jamaal_trades @Emmanueltony28 Oh that’s great 💯
Where can I get your free ebook? TrutraderFx website?

[KingRichardFx • TheTurtleSouper @TheTurtleSouper]

@IconiqDanie @bankonralph Fundamental: Cause
Technical: Effect

[KingRichardFx • TheTurtleSouper @TheTurtleSouper]

@bankonralph Solid macro divergence🫡

[KingRichardFx • TheTurtleSouper @TheTurtleSouper]

@jamaal_trades @BeSomebodyFX Well said🫡

[Jamaal Trades @jamaal_trades]

The Fed weights price stability much more heavily and is far more willing to look through labor softness.

The Fed won’t pivot to a cut on a 9K ADP miss, which means it does nothing to constrain their optionality.

ADP is low-signal.

[KingRichardFx • TheTurtleSouper @TheTurtleSouper]

@jamaal_trades @BeSomebodyFX What you think about ADP?