*New Feature Alert!*
The IV surface and smiles for VIX options are now available on https://t.co/JBXSW3IDvA.
Check out the usual suspects:
- Positive skew
- Wide spreads
- Backwardation (not always the case)
Here is our previous blog on the topic of options on vol:
https://t.co/qjaC63QslB
for a roughly at-the-money option with no higher order convexity, theta decay is equal to the market's expectation of gamma PNL from moves in the underlying spot price, regardless of time to maturity
the actual logic behind this graph is different >>
I’m officially calling it…
$PYPL is the next highly undervalued stock to see a parabolic squeeze with 300%+ upside.
With 200% revenue growth within the past 3 years, and only at a 14x P/E show how undervalued $PYPL truly is.
$240+ incoming within a year time.
Mark my words…
I went long $PLTR at $7.
After Q2 2025, I see $ABCL increasingly evolving into the $PLTR of biotech.
And $ABCL is now positioned to go through a MASSIVE inflection point over the next year 🧵
Lots of retail interest in $IREN.
Huge 03 OCT positive skew as call buyers bid up and OMMs hedge.
Term structure in backwardation; vol is now!
24 OCT monthly has wide spreads and flat skew.
https://t.co/MluiQe38Kt
If you missed $OPEN, $HOOD or $OKLO then your next opportunity is here…
$RKLB has been consolidating for over 3 months and is about to see its largest squeeze ever.
Backed by $754M in cash, 36% YoY Revenue growth, $RKLB is an easy buy.
$90+ is incoming soon.
Don’t miss it…
Options market forecasting important event vol for $HIMS earnings.
21 Nov expiry ATM implied volatility over 95%.
Smile in symmetric skew.
https://t.co/ZDFxvRLT8Y
$LULU has bottomed out and is about to go on a historical rally…
Currently at the most undervalued it has ever been with zero debt, $1.3B in cash, and a 42% ROE, $LULU is an obvious buy.
Investors like Michael Burry are loading heavy.
V shape to $400+ soon.
Don’t miss it…
Very interesting implied volatility surface for $LMND.
Skew is symmetric and spreads are wide.
Lots of chop on the ivol term structure.
https://t.co/MluiQe2AUV
I went long $SPOT at $97.50 and it's now up 7X.
After reviewing the Q2 2025 earnings report, I see $LMND developing into the $SPOT of insurance.
This is my $LMND thesis 🧵
$HIMS has completed its final pullback to $50 before we never see these prices again…
With $HIMS at a 40% short interest, bouncing off the 200 SMA, and holding the 50 DMA this can be a generational squeeze.
Final warning for all the bears.
$120+ incoming this year.
Mark it…
$TTD is grossly undervalued now.
It's facing some headwinds, but nowhere near to justify a 67% drop.
Let's make some very conservative assumptions:
- 15% annual growth
- 25 times exit multiple
- 25% net income margin
We get a $34 billion company in 2030.
Discount it back to this day at 8% annual rate, and we get a $23 billion company.
It's currently valued at $22 billion, meaning it's undervalued even on very conservative assumptions.
In a bit bullish scenario, it can easily double in the next 5 years.
Why wouldn't this work from here?
Keep an eye on this one ✍️
Rep. Lisa McClain (R) just filed a $50K buy of Bigbear AI
Why is it notable?
1) According to multiple sources, the majority of their revenue comes from Government Contracts
2) This is the first time a Politician ever bought $BBAI
3) $BBAI is down 25% since her buy meaning if you buy you'd get in at better price
Doing more research now, but will continue to keep an eye from here