The Wizard's Zone by Akhilesh Poddar

CA (Rank Holder), CFA (Gold Medalist). Ex Citibanker. 20+ years in market. 3 Pillars of my strategy - Fundamentals, Technical and Data. Focus - F&O Stocks only

[The Wizard's Zone by Akhilesh Poddar @TheWizardsZone1]

Muted Results. Slowing economy. Markets had rallied 25%+ from lows and now breaking down again. Is big correction on its way again or is this going to be a minor pullback to 200 SMA? With DXY breaking out can FIIs turn sellers again and bring Indian market down

[FinancialJuice @financialjuice]

Germany’s Chancellor Merz: Oil prices could rise further from February levels.

[Pankaj Tibrewal @pankajtibre]

Markets, like life, move in cycles of excitement and pause. Since July 2024 (15 months) our markets have been flat. MSCI India has underperformed MSCI EM by more than 25% on rolling one year basis.

Market breadth has been extremely weak - only 44% of stocks managed to outperform the BSE 500, and barely 30% of BSE 500 names are even in the green on a rolling one-year basis.

[CA Bijay Kr Sharma @Bijay_reborn]

@piyushchaudhry Ghor kalyug ka ant nikat hai.

[The Wizard's Zone by Akhilesh Poddar @TheWizardsZone1]

@indian_stockss Interesting. How do you get chart on tradingview which is adjusted for Dividend?

[The Wizard's Zone by Akhilesh Poddar @TheWizardsZone1]

@indian_stockss Is previous all time high now 500 as shown in Tradingview?

[The Wizard's Zone by Akhilesh Poddar @TheWizardsZone1]

Watchout for *Titan* on short side. With *Gold* going crazy they may see some dip in volumes as people most likely defer their discretionary purchase

#GOLD #TITAN

[🐐 @Itshitmanera]

This kid can analyze cricket better than you can, @SushantNMehta 😭

[The Wizard's Zone by Akhilesh Poddar @TheWizardsZone1]

Exide: Making a strong move after 7-8 years of breakout retest. This comes on back of a tie-up with Kia and Hyundai. I think stock is heading much higher. Possibly 500+

[The Wizard's Zone by Akhilesh Poddar @TheWizardsZone1]

#NATIONALUM 20 Year Breakout #NALCO

[The Wizard's Zone by Akhilesh Poddar @TheWizardsZone1]

Hardwork and patience pays. Make India Proud @sarfarazkhan . Wait was long but your time has finally come

[BCCI @BCCI]

A journey that is all heart 🫶🥹

Hear from a proud father on a very memorable day for Sarfaraz Khan 🤗 - By @ameyatilak

#TeamIndia | #INDvENG | @IDFCFIRSTBank

[The Wizard's Zone by Akhilesh Poddar @TheWizardsZone1]

@indian_stockss Under this scheme Ministry is providing 40% subsidy for the first 3 kW and 20% subsidy beyond 3 kW and upto 10 kW. This is what the government will be funding

[The Wizard's Zone by Akhilesh Poddar @TheWizardsZone1]

@indian_stockss Yes frequency of shakeouts have increased. Will it give a sustained breakdown below 21 EMA?

[Mangalam Maloo @blitzkreigm]

Let me just say it - Air Travel is becoming a mess.

What was once a joyful experience is now becoming a dread.

Unfortunately consumers have no say in it. We're at the behest of a crazily one sided ecosystem.

For a 9 am flight, one's day roughly starts at 5 am and by the time they reach any destination it's past noon at least. Not to mention the crazy mafia of cabbies or the ordeal to get out of the airport post landing.

This 8 hour ordeal is filled with a long journey to the airport, navigating through multiple ID checks, multiple bag screenings, security checks and no real assistance from the staff who only look at everyone as if they're doing them a favour.

This, is assuming the flight is on time and all goes well.

Now God Forbid, If your flight is delayed, your problems have begun to compound. You are now going to get sucked into the quicksand of an apathetic ecosystem.

No clear communication by the staff, no empathy or aid to passengers who may either be old, unwell, travelling for a happy family occasion, a bereavement or even an all important work commitment.

Why is this lopsided?
- If you get to the airport even marginally after their long cut-off time, you aren't allowed to fly. But they can continue to delay flights without any intimation.

- If your bag is even marginally heavier, they won't let it in without charging you. But, if you're carrying just a handbag on a full flight they'll bully you into checking that in, because "no space"

- If you carry a bottle of a beverage, it’s considered a security threat. If they sell the same bottle at 5X the price, it’s convenience.

- They can keep you on a stationery plane without air conditioning, food or even the freedom to use a lavatory. But the minute you show any frustration, they may take strict security action against you and perhaps even make you ineligible for flying.

- You're at the mercy of an airline where gate changes, flight changes, aerobridge and bus changes are frequent and random. But if you miss any of these announcements it's your fault because we told you its a Silent Airport.

- You have to book tickets and pay in full immediately, that’s fair. But they will return the money only in 7 working days after deducting crazy cancellation charges of your initial amount. In a lot of cases, any refund is given through discount vouchers and subject to terms and conditions.

The worst part however is, no one knows a way out of this! Demand-Supply-Cost-Infra-Rules-Regulations-Safety-Security are all important and must be adhered to. Everyone's equally helpless.

The only solution – Airlines - please, please, please – train your staff to be more empathetic, helpful and respectful to passengers and ensure the processes are all customer focused and not just cost focused. What's a process, can't be changed. But what can, is the experience you provide.

Not sure if this will even make a difference to anyone, but that’s all one can do as a customer without much choice, right? Make a suggestion or voice a rant.

An airline isn’t just about stuffing people in a metal tube and transporting them. It’s about connecting people to their loved ones. Parents meeting children in different cities, a couple celebrating a milestone occasion, a family having worked very hard to save up for this trip. It’s a celebration of one of mankind’s greatest inventions.

@airindia @airvistara @AkasaAir @IndiGo6E @flyspicejet @DGCAIndia @consaff @LiveFromALounge @TheSanjivKapoor

[The Wizard's Zone by Akhilesh Poddar @TheWizardsZone1]

@_ThirdSide_ One way bias views does not make sense always. The stock was 2500 when he shared his views. From their it went to 5,700. Quoting 1.5 year old view when stock has started falling does not make sense.

[Deepak Shenoy @deepakshenoy]

RBI has a new rule: NBFCs cannot use AIFs to evergreen loans. Let me explain. This is going to take some time.

NBFCs have seen increased regulation over time, mostly because they tried silly stunts. So RBI forces them to recognize bad loans after 90 days of non payment etc. NBFCs don't like this because it looks bad and needs higher provisioning etc. For the uninitiated, NBFCs are Non-Banking Financial Companies which can lend you money, but don't have the word "Bank" in their name. AIFs are Alternative Investment Funds, which is a SEBI regulated investment vehicle that takes a minimum of Rs. 1 cr. per investor and then can buy just about anything.

Let's say there's this builder who is about to default. No matter how much houses are selling for, brokers are queuing up, and all the drama, there will always be builders nearing default, after taking loans from an NBFC. The NBFC knows. NBFC is like hello uncle, wait, I have an idea.

So, enter the AIF. The NBFC usually has some group link with a Cat 2 or 3 AIF, which can invest in debt. NBFC makes the nearly defaulted builder issue bonds. These bonds are bought by the AIF. Where does the AIF get money? From investors. Who is the stupid investor that wants to buy nearly defaulted debt? Uhem.

The NBFC itself subscribes to units of the AIF. Here, take my money, it says and buys between 25% and 40% of the AIF corpus. That money goes to buy the bonds of the near-defaulter, which takes the money and gives it back to the NBFC. So, magically, no default.

But, you say, won't the builder default to the AIF? Well, sure, but the AIF can hold defaulted debt, and wait long times for recovery, because hey, rich people's money etc. This doesn't even translate to a much lower NAV for the AIF, mostly. Round trip the money, the NBFC has no NPA, the AIF gets time to keep this opaque, the NBFC's exposure to the AIF doesn't even show the default!

Also, as it turns out, the AIF needs other investors. Not just an NBFC. Now people who have minimum 1 cr. to give, are usually not stupid. So the NBFC says, don't worry boss, if there is a default, my units, which are "subordinate" units, will take all the blame and the financial hit if indeed they default. That way the first 25% or 40% of any default gets absorbed by an NBFC, and only beyond that is where an external investors is hit. In reality, of course, another AIF can be used similarly to further evergreen this default, and in any case, an AIF gets like 7-10 years before they have to call it a completely unrecoverable thing. Meanwhile the NBFC owns the AIF units and can keep them as "investments" without needing to recognize impairment until the eventual default, many years away. Evergreening.

This is a problem because the risk is hidden.

Oh, wait. I should put this in a more readable long form format, so the rest of it is here:
https://t.co/0GyhLbHM6n

[The Wizard's Zone by Akhilesh Poddar @TheWizardsZone1]

@CountyChamp Missing Leg Stump

[The Wizard's Zone by Akhilesh Poddar @TheWizardsZone1]

@palashmalpani @ProdigalTrader Beautiful set-up to go long at long as it remains above Anchor VWAP

[The Wizard's Zone by Akhilesh Poddar @TheWizardsZone1]

A Very Happy Dhanteras to All 😀🙏

[The Wizard's Zone by Akhilesh Poddar @TheWizardsZone1]

Both are Legends of the Game, no doubt. But their is only one GOD 😀

[Mangalam Maloo @blitzkreigm]

ODI CENTURIES

Sachin - 49 & Virat - 49

Sachin - “I hope you break my record in the next few days”

Virat - “I’m never gonna be as good as him”

Legends, both of them :)

Lucky we got to witness both of them in our lifetime.

#Kohli #SachinTendulkar #Legend #GOAT𓃵