Latest long-range ECMWF is in. Control member sticking with its guns on Arctic blast Dec. 27 - Jan 2 emanating from Canada; general cooler themes from prev. forecast in Canada and extreme N. US. Fresh post tomorrow AM #winterwx#natgas
New Post: Long-Range ECMWF ENS Control Member Shows Frigid January https://t.co/L1ukCf10h8 Not as exciting as the shifting MJO, in my eyes, but worth discussing
18z CFS control member plowing the Arctic into the U.S. Don't get lost in the pretty colors; the previous two control member runs had widespread warmth! Such is the life of a >month-away forecast. #winterwx
We're only two days away from the Preliminary 2019-2020 Winter Forecast release! Formatting is done, all ready to go. 12:00 PM central time this Saturday!
Just finished up my 2019-2020 Preliminary Winter Forecast. 54 pages, just under 20,000 words, nearly 50 graphics. Still just as much fun to write as I remember! Release comes August 17th at 12:00 PM central time.
Aircraft recon by NOAA2 looks like a closed circulation, can’t imagine it’ll be much longer before we have #Barry. AF303 (second recon mission) also out there just starting its flight to confirm.