Thenics SMC

Trader | Market Analyst | Developer

[Thenics SMC @Thenics_SMC]

$BTC - Monthly Analysis

Big drop incoming!

Price has tapped into the monthly FVG. From here, I’m looking for bearish order flow on the Daily Timeframe as confirmation.

If that happens, I’ll be taking shorts, targeting the 48K–50K.

[Thenics SMC @Thenics_SMC]

ethereum:native – Monthly Analysis

I remain bearish on the monthly chart.

My main POI sits at $1,384.
This is the first area where I expect a reaction, as it aligns with previous inefficiencies and liquidity pools.

If price fails to hold there, I’m targeting:
→ $1,071 - $878 (Engineered Liq Points)

Until we see a clear bullish reaction, the draw remains to the downside.

What’s your bias here? Short, long, or waiting? 👇

[Thenics SMC @Thenics_SMC]

@muri0n Facts 💯

[Thenics SMC @Thenics_SMC]

@muri0n I hope they fix it soon

[Thenics SMC @Thenics_SMC]

🚨 Who else missed out on a trade because of the latest #TradingView update?

You can no longer place Limit Orders by clicking with the Position Tool…
And indicators are also not working properly.

This used to be such a fast and useful feature. Now it’s just broken.

Who else missed entries or got screwed by this?

[Thenics SMC @Thenics_SMC]

@PolibioXXI Same bro, this change killed the speed.

[Thenics SMC @Thenics_SMC]

@playboyp117 Exactly why I missed a setup today...

[Thenics SMC @Thenics_SMC]

@Translum Hopefully just temporary… but it’s annoying af

[Murion @muri0n]

If this level fails to hold us you can see $BTC below 50 thousand American dollars

I saw one post were this exact pattern played out last bull and resulted in -52% move lower.

That would be really HC as it would be below 30k.

Let's see🤓

[Thenics SMC @Thenics_SMC]

@muri0n Same here, was waiting but no setup presented, so no trade today.

[Thenics SMC @Thenics_SMC]

Pre-Market Analysis - 29 June 2026

$NQ & $ES
- Monthly BISI unfilled
- Daily SIBI on ES unfilled

Possible daily SIBI as PDA to fill the monthly BISI.

Watching NY Open for confirmation.

What’s your bias today?

[Thenics SMC @Thenics_SMC]

$MGC | ethereum:0x68749665ff8d2d112fa859aa293f07a622782f38 – Longs Incoming at Monthly BISI

In March I called bearish from ~4550 into the Monthly BISI.

We have now arrived exactly there.

I’m looking for longs this week on a clean daily Orderflow Flip.

This level also aligns perfectly with the renewed Iran-US tensions, textbook safe-haven flow for gold.

Who else is watching this BISI for a reversal? 👀

[Thenics SMC @Thenics_SMC]

ethereum:native | +4.15R | +8.480 pts

🔹Bearish Bias (Towards Daily ERL)
🔹NY 8:30AM - 12PM (Time)
🔹Daily ERL (Draw)
🔹4h SIBI + 1h OFF (Narrative)
🔹1h SIBI (Entry)

[Thenics SMC @Thenics_SMC]

@m27oflegend @SirPickle_ Great Work! 🔥

[Daan @daanjaimz]

bitcoin:native Imo one of the most obvious trades, no sustainable rally. No volume no traction.

It will go much deeper than many expect. What will bitcoin do if the nasdaq is going to fall -60-80%?

Bottom at 50k???????🥹🥹🥹

Your holdings are going to be in danger.

[Thenics SMC @Thenics_SMC]

$BTC - Monthly Analysis

Big drop incoming!

Price has tapped into the monthly FVG. From here, I’m looking for bearish order flow on the Daily Timeframe as confirmation.

If that happens, I’ll be taking shorts, targeting the 48K–50K.

[Thenics SMC @Thenics_SMC]

$BTC - Monthly Analysis

I remain bearish on the Monthly time frame.

My main POI sits at 48–49K.
This is the first area where I expect price to react, as it aligns with previous inefficiencies and liquidity pools.

If price fails to hold that level, I’m looking at:
→ 38-27K (unfilled imbalances)

Until a clear reaction is seen, the draw remains to the downside.

[Thenics SMC @Thenics_SMC]

$NQ & $ES - Monthly Analysis #Update

Scenario 1 played out, with price moving higher from the Monthly BISI. The delivery was clean with a lot of trade opportunities, price is now trading above ATH.

Clear shift from Q1, early Q2 already showing strong expansion and continuation.

[Thenics SMC @Thenics_SMC]

$NQ & $ES- Monthly Analysis

I’m currently considering two scenarios for NQ & ES, as direction is not fully clear yet.

Scenario 1:
Price moves higher from the Monthly BISI .
Scenario 2:
Price trades lower into the BAG below the Monthly BISI, then expands higher.

I don’t expect price to trade below these levels for now.

We also have a new Monthly candle closing in 1 day, which should provide further confirmation.

[Thenics SMC @Thenics_SMC]

$EURUSD | +2.71R | +84 pts

🔹Bullish Bias (Towards Daily ERL)
🔹Daily ERL/PDH (Draw)
🔹Daily IRL (Narrative)
🔹1h BISI (Entry)

[Thenics SMC @Thenics_SMC]

$MGC | $XAU | +2.56R | +376 pts

🔹Bullish Bias (Towards Daily ERL)
🔹NY 8:30AM - 12PM (Time)
🔹Daily ERL (Draw)
🔹Daily IRL (Narrative)
🔹15m BISI (Entry)

[Murion @muri0n]

80,000 is the draw on $BTC, I will take a short there towards 50k lows.

400% move with 10x leverage - put 2k in -> 8000 USD PNL

Then put those 8k into $BTC spot at 50k

Should be free money